Wasilla, AK — Momentum Score, Home Values & Best-For

All states·Alaska·Wasilla

Matanuska-Susitna Borough · Anchorage · population 10,318

Growing fastSmall-town feel
View watchlist →
76
Rising
Momentum score · 0–100

Where Wasilla stands

At or near all-time high. home values up 7.3% in the last year. population growing 3.3% per year.

Median home $417,945
1-year +7.3%
5-yr CAGR +5.5%
vs 5-yr peak +0.0%
Population +3.3%/yr

Home value trajectory · last 10 years

Zillow ZHVI · monthly
peak 2026-04$418k$0k$145k$290k$435k201620182020202220242026

Lifestyle scores

🚶
Walkability
25/100
Very car-dependent
Estimated from population density. Higher = denser, more amenities within walking distance.
🚉
Public transit
15/100
Transit limited
Curated list of major US transit systems + population-based estimate. Higher = real subway/rail/bus options.
💻
Remote work fit
66/100
Strong remote-work fit
Composite of city size, housing cost, state tax structure, and region's remote-work track record.

Scores are heuristic estimates from population density, state, and known transit/walkable cities. Not based on a paid Walk Score / Transit Score API — see methodology for the formula.

Rent trajectory · last 5 years

Zillow ZORI · monthly
$1,718/mo$1,394$1,608$1,82120242026

Home value vs rent · indexed to 100

Both rebased at first month of ZORI data (~2015)
Home valueRent11511610012020242026

Rent vs buy

Price-to-rent ratio: 20.3
Lean rent

At a 20.3 price-to-rent ratio, the math is starting to lean toward renting in Wasilla. Owner-occupier ROI requires longer holds and the assumption that prices keep appreciating roughly at the rate of rent.

How the momentum score breaks down

methodology →
Home YoY
83 · w22%
Home 5-yr CAGR
68 · w22%
Distance from peak
90 · w18%
Population growth
90 · w16%
Rent YoY
54 · w12%
Home 10-yr CAGR
60 · w10%
Long thesis

Wasilla has been growing population at 3.3% per year while home values compounded +5.5% annually. Demand-driven appreciation — the kind that persists as long as people keep showing up, which they currently are.

Short thesis

Wasilla's bear case is the boring one: the cycle is real and any market that's run hard can stall. Watch for slowing population growth, rising days-on-market, or builder discounts as the early warning signals.

About Wasilla

Wasilla is a city in Matanuska-Susitna Borough, Alaska, with an estimated population of 10,318. It anchors the Anchorage metro area. The population has grown 3.3% per year on average between 2020 and 2024 — among the faster-growing communities in the state. The median home value in Wasilla is $417,945 as of 2026-04, up 7.3% over the last 12 months. Over the last five years, home values have averaged +5.5% annual growth, with prices at or near the 5-year peak. Rents in Wasilla average $1,718 per month, roughly flat year-over-year (+1.4%). The composite momentum score is 76 of 100 (Rising). The market is healthy with prices supported by underlying demand.

Bull case

Trend still working: prices up 7.3% in the last 12 months — buyers are still chasing inventory.
People are voting with their feet: population growing 3.3% per year since 2020 — that’s faster than ~80% of US cities.
Healthy 5-year run: +5.5% annualized over 5 years, outpacing US inflation.
Held the highs: currently +0.0% from the 5-year peak — this market refused to give back gains.

Bear case

Local nuance: city-level data smooths over neighborhood differences. School zones, HOA rules, and street-level character matter — visit before deciding.

Playbook

Buyer

You're not in a frenzy but you're not getting bargains either. Make a competitive offer with normal inspection terms. Don't lowball — the listing will move with or without you.

Seller

Price at fair market value; expect movement in 30-45 days. Don't get clever with terms (rent-back, contingencies) — buyers in a Rising market have options.

Investor

Appreciation tailwind exists but cash flow requires discipline on price. Run the numbers conservatively and confirm rent comps before committing.

Local safety & alerts

No active National Weather Service alerts for Matanuska-Susitna Borough right now.

Public-safety links are official .gov sources, not curated by us. Matanuska-Susitna Borough routes NWS alerts; check the state EM portal for non-weather emergencies.

Neighborhoods of Wasilla

3 tracked · ranked by median home value
1North Lakes$431,076+7.2%
2Tanaina$415,779+8.5%
3Knik-Fairview$405,822+5.6%

Cities like Wasilla

Sources: Zillow ZHVI (home values), Zillow ZORI (rents), US Census ACS + place population. Updated when source agencies publish revisions.

Climate & natural-disaster risk

Winter (Jan)
25° / 10°
avg high / low
Summer (Jul)
67° / 50°
avg high / low
Sunny days/yr
125
~34% of year
Annual precip
22″ rain
75″ snow
Disaster risk (1=very low, 5=very high)
Hurricane
Very low
Tornado
Very low
Wildfire
Moderate
Earthquake
Very high
Flood
Moderate

State-level averages from NOAA Climate Normals (1991-2020) and FEMA National Risk Index. City-level conditions can vary significantly within a state.

Current weather

Loading current conditions…

7-day forecast on weather.gov →

Find rentals & listings

Open current Wasilla listings on the major real-estate sites.

Links open the live search on the destination site — results are always current.

Local sports teams

Major professional teams the Anchorage area cheers for. Detailed stats, schedules, and player pages on intherafters.com.

Local economy & environment

Humidity
80%
Very humid climate
Median household income
$86,400
Alaska state median
Top industries (state-level)
Oil & GasTourismGovernment

Humidity is annual average relative humidity (NOAA). Income is Census ACS 5-year estimate. Industries are largest employment sectors statewide (BLS); the local mix in a given city may vary.

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