El Dorado, AR — Momentum Score, Home Values & Best-For

All states·Arkansas·El Dorado

Union County · El Dorado · population 16,657

AffordabilityShrinkingSmall-town feel
View watchlist →
45
Cooling
Momentum score · 0–100

Where El Dorado stands

Population shrinking 1.6% per year.

Median home $132,904
1-year +2.2%
5-yr CAGR +0.4%
vs 5-yr peak -5.6%
Population -1.6%/yr

Home value trajectory · last 10 years

Zillow ZHVI · monthly
peak 2022-01$133k$94k$112k$129k$146k201620182020202220242026

Lifestyle scores

🚶
Walkability
32/100
Very car-dependent
Estimated from population density. Higher = denser, more amenities within walking distance.
🚉
Public transit
15/100
Transit limited
Curated list of major US transit systems + population-based estimate. Higher = real subway/rail/bus options.
💻
Remote work fit
56/100
Workable for remote workers
Composite of city size, housing cost, state tax structure, and region's remote-work track record.

Scores are heuristic estimates from population density, state, and known transit/walkable cities. Not based on a paid Walk Score / Transit Score API — see methodology for the formula.

How the momentum score breaks down

methodology →
Home YoY
61 · w22%
Home 5-yr CAGR
37 · w22%
Distance from peak
58 · w18%
Population growth
21 · w16%
Home 10-yr CAGR
45 · w10%
Long thesis

El Dorado has held up across the cycle: home values at $132,904 with +0.4% 5-year CAGR. The bull case is structural — population, location, employer base — and holds even if next year's print is soft.

Short thesis

El Dorado's population is shrinking 1.6% per year. Housing demand has to come from somewhere — if people are leaving, the buyer pool is shrinking faster than the inventory. That eventually shows up in price.

About El Dorado

El Dorado is a city in Union County, Arkansas, with an estimated population of 16,657. The population has contracted 1.6% per year on average since 2020. The median home value in El Dorado is $132,904 as of 2026-04, up 2.2% over the last 12 months. Over the last five years, home values have averaged +0.4% annual growth (-5.6% from the 5-year peak). The composite momentum score is 45 of 100 (Cooling). Buyers may find more room to negotiate; sellers should price realistically.

Bull case

Affordable AND rising: median home $132,904 with positive recent direction — rare combination most of the country can’t offer.
Quiet strength: +2.2% over the trailing year — not a melt-up, but the market is bid.

Bear case

Net out-migration: population shrinking 1.6% per year — services, schools, and tax base will follow.
Local nuance: city-level data smooths over neighborhood differences. School zones, HOA rules, and street-level character matter — visit before deciding.

Playbook

Buyer

You have leverage. Negotiate price, ask for closing-cost credits, and don't waive inspection. Walk-away power is real in a Cooling market — use it.

Seller

Price aggressively (at or below recent sold comps) or be prepared to wait. Concessions — rate buydowns, closing costs, repair credits — are how deals close right now.

Investor

Cap rates are more attractive than they were 12 months ago but the appreciation tailwind is gone. Confirm tenant demand, vacancy rates, and exit liquidity before committing capital.

Local safety & alerts

No active National Weather Service alerts for Union County right now.

Public-safety links are official .gov sources, not curated by us. Union County routes NWS alerts; check the state EM portal for non-weather emergencies.

Cities like El Dorado

Sources: Zillow ZHVI (home values), Zillow ZORI (rents), US Census ACS + place population. Updated when source agencies publish revisions.

Climate & natural-disaster risk

Winter (Jan)
49° / 30°
avg high / low
Summer (Jul)
92° / 70°
avg high / low
Sunny days/yr
217
~59% of year
Annual precip
50″ rain
5″ snow
Disaster risk (1=very low, 5=very high)
Hurricane
Very low
Tornado
Very high
Wildfire
Low
Earthquake
Moderate
Flood
High

State-level averages from NOAA Climate Normals (1991-2020) and FEMA National Risk Index. City-level conditions can vary significantly within a state.

Current weather

Loading current conditions…

7-day forecast on weather.gov →

Find rentals & listings

Open current El Dorado listings on the major real-estate sites.

Links open the live search on the destination site — results are always current.

Local sports teams

Major professional teams the El Dorado area cheers for. Detailed stats, schedules, and player pages on intherafters.com.

Local economy & environment

Humidity
70%
Humid climate
Median household income
$55,400
Arkansas state median
Top industries (state-level)
Retail (Walmart HQ)ManufacturingHealthcare

Humidity is annual average relative humidity (NOAA). Income is Census ACS 5-year estimate. Industries are largest employment sectors statewide (BLS); the local mix in a given city may vary.

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