Ward, AR — Momentum Score, Home Values & Best-For

Lonoke County · Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway · population 7,022

First-time buyersInvestorsGrowing fastSmall-town feel
View watchlist →
78
Hot
Momentum score · 0–100

Where Ward stands

At or near all-time high. home values up 4.2% in the last year. averaging 7.2% annual growth over 5 years. population growing 3.8% per year.

Median home $207,289
1-year +4.2%
5-yr CAGR +7.2%
vs 5-yr peak +0.0%
Population +3.8%/yr

Home value trajectory · last 10 years

Zillow ZHVI · monthly
peak 2026-04$207k$114k$148k$182k$216k201620182020202220242026

Lifestyle scores

🚶
Walkability
25/100
Very car-dependent
Estimated from population density. Higher = denser, more amenities within walking distance.
🚉
Public transit
10/100
Transit limited
Curated list of major US transit systems + population-based estimate. Higher = real subway/rail/bus options.
💻
Remote work fit
64/100
Workable for remote workers
Composite of city size, housing cost, state tax structure, and region's remote-work track record.

Scores are heuristic estimates from population density, state, and known transit/walkable cities. Not based on a paid Walk Score / Transit Score API — see methodology for the formula.

Rent vs buy

Price-to-rent ratio: 14.5
Buy

At a 14.5 price-to-rent ratio, buying generally beats renting in Ward on a long-enough horizon. The headline math is that one year of mortgage payments approximates 14.5 years of rent — well below the 15+ threshold where ownership starts to dominate.

How the momentum score breaks down

methodology →
Home YoY
71 · w22%
Home 5-yr CAGR
75 · w22%
Distance from peak
90 · w18%
Population growth
90 · w16%
Home 10-yr CAGR
64 · w10%
Long thesis

Ward has been growing population at 3.8% per year while home values compounded +7.2% annually. Demand-driven appreciation — the kind that persists as long as people keep showing up, which they currently are.

Short thesis

Ward's bear case is the boring one: the cycle is real and any market that's run hard can stall. Watch for slowing population growth, rising days-on-market, or builder discounts as the early warning signals.

About Ward

Ward is a city in Lonoke County, Arkansas, with an estimated population of 7,022. It anchors the Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway metro area. The population has grown 3.8% per year on average between 2020 and 2024 — among the faster-growing communities in the state. The median home value in Ward is $207,289 as of 2026-04, up 4.2% over the last 12 months. Over the last five years, home values have averaged +7.2% annual growth, with prices at or near the 5-year peak. Rents in Ward average $1,195 per month. The composite momentum score is 78 of 100 (Hot). Buyers should expect competition and limited negotiation room in this market.

Bull case

People are voting with their feet: population growing 3.8% per year since 2020 — that’s faster than ~80% of US cities.
Affordable AND rising: median home $207,289 with positive recent direction — rare combination most of the country can’t offer.
Healthy 5-year run: +7.2% annualized over 5 years, outpacing US inflation.
Quiet strength: +4.2% over the trailing year — not a melt-up, but the market is bid.
Held the highs: currently +0.0% from the 5-year peak — this market refused to give back gains.

Bear case

Local nuance: city-level data smooths over neighborhood differences. School zones, HOA rules, and street-level character matter — visit before deciding.

Playbook

Buyer

Expect competition, escalation clauses, and pressure to waive inspections. Make your strongest offer up front — Hot markets reward decisiveness, not negotiation. If you can't write a clean offer, you may not be the best fit for this market right now.

Seller

Price slightly above recent comps and let multiple offers work. Days-on-market should be short. Don't accept the first offer in the first 48 hours unless it's significantly above ask.

Investor

Cap rates are still workable thanks to a reasonable price-to-rent ratio. Buy-and-hold math works if the trend continues; underwrite a moderate slowdown to be safe.

Local safety & alerts

No active National Weather Service alerts for Lonoke County right now.

Public-safety links are official .gov sources, not curated by us. Lonoke County routes NWS alerts; check the state EM portal for non-weather emergencies.

Cities like Ward

Sources: Zillow ZHVI (home values), Zillow ZORI (rents), US Census ACS + place population. Updated when source agencies publish revisions.

Climate & natural-disaster risk

Winter (Jan)
49° / 30°
avg high / low
Summer (Jul)
92° / 70°
avg high / low
Sunny days/yr
217
~59% of year
Annual precip
50″ rain
5″ snow
Disaster risk (1=very low, 5=very high)
Hurricane
Very low
Tornado
Very high
Wildfire
Low
Earthquake
Moderate
Flood
High

State-level averages from NOAA Climate Normals (1991-2020) and FEMA National Risk Index. City-level conditions can vary significantly within a state.

Current weather

Loading current conditions…

7-day forecast on weather.gov →

Find rentals & listings

Open current Ward listings on the major real-estate sites.

Links open the live search on the destination site — results are always current.

Local sports teams

Major professional teams the Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway area cheers for. Detailed stats, schedules, and player pages on intherafters.com.

Local economy & environment

Humidity
70%
Humid climate
Median household income
$55,400
Arkansas state median
Top industries (state-level)
Retail (Walmart HQ)ManufacturingHealthcare

Humidity is annual average relative humidity (NOAA). Income is Census ACS 5-year estimate. Industries are largest employment sectors statewide (BLS); the local mix in a given city may vary.

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