Contra Costa County · San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley · population 15,524
Where El Sobrante stands
15% off 5-year peak. home values down 5.3% in the last year.
Home value trajectory · last 10 years
Zillow ZHVI · monthlyLifestyle scores
Scores are heuristic estimates from population density, state, and known transit/walkable cities. Not based on a paid Walk Score / Transit Score API — see methodology for the formula.
Rent vs buy
At a 23.0 price-to-rent ratio, the math is starting to lean toward renting in El Sobrante. Owner-occupier ROI requires longer holds and the assumption that prices keep appreciating roughly at the rate of rent.
How the momentum score breaks down
methodology →El Sobrante has held up across the cycle: home values at $676,320 with -0.3% 5-year CAGR. The bull case is structural — population, location, employer base — and holds even if next year's print is soft.
El Sobrante is down 5.3% over the last 12 months and the trend isn't flattening. Falling knife rule applies: you don't catch one with your hands, you wait for it to hit the floor and stop moving.
About El Sobrante
El Sobrante is a city in Contra Costa County, California, with an estimated population of 15,524. It anchors the San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley metro area. The median home value in El Sobrante is $676,320 as of 2026-04, down 5.3% over the last 12 months. Over the last five years, home values have averaged -0.3% annual growth, and the market currently sits about 15% below its 5-year peak. Rents in El Sobrante average $2,453 per month. The composite momentum score is 32 of 100 (Declining). The market is well off recent highs — patient long-term buyers may find opportunities, but resale liquidity is reduced.
▲ Bull case
▼ Bear case
Playbook
Make sure you're not catching a falling knife. Verify local fundamentals — jobs, population trend, school enrollment — before assuming the bottom is in. Negotiate hard and walk away from anything that doesn't pencil.
Be realistic. Below-list pricing may be required; time is not your friend. If you can wait 2-3 years for the cycle to turn, consider holding.
Cap rates can look great in Declining markets, but verify tenant pool, income stability, and exit liquidity before committing. A 10% cap on a vacant property is 0%.
Local safety & alerts
No active National Weather Service alerts for Contra Costa County right now.
Public-safety links are official .gov sources, not curated by us. Contra Costa County routes NWS alerts; check the state EM portal for non-weather emergencies.
Cities like El Sobrante
Run the numbers for El Sobrante
Sources: Zillow ZHVI (home values), Zillow ZORI (rents), US Census ACS + place population. Updated when source agencies publish revisions.
Climate & natural-disaster risk
State-level averages from NOAA Climate Normals (1991-2020) and FEMA National Risk Index. City-level conditions can vary significantly within a state.
Local sports teams
Major professional teams the San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley area cheers for. Detailed stats, schedules, and player pages on intherafters.com.
Current weather
Find rentals & listings
Open current El Sobrante listings on the major real-estate sites.
Links open the live search on the destination site — results are always current.
Local economy & environment
Humidity is annual average relative humidity (NOAA). Income is Census ACS 5-year estimate. Industries are largest employment sectors statewide (BLS); the local mix in a given city may vary.
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Explore other places with comparable momentum or affordability.