Gilroy, CA — Momentum Score, Home Values & Best-For

All states·California·Gilroy

Santa Clara County · San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara · population 60,390

Gilroy, CA
Image: Wikipedia · Gilroy, California
OverviewCost of livingMoving guide
View watchlist →
56
Stable
Momentum score · 0–100

Where Gilroy stands

Steady, no major recent move.

Median home $1,077,359
1-year -2.3%
5-yr CAGR +3.4%
vs 5-yr peak -3.9%
Population +0.4%/yr

Home value trajectory · last 10 years

Zillow ZHVI · monthly
peak 2024-12$1077k$599k$788k$977k$1166k201620182020202220242026

Lifestyle scores

🚶
Walkability
52/100
Somewhat walkable
Estimated from population density. Higher = denser, more amenities within walking distance.
🚉
Public transit
22/100
Transit limited
Curated list of major US transit systems + population-based estimate. Higher = real subway/rail/bus options.
💻
Remote work fit
52/100
Workable for remote workers
Composite of city size, housing cost, state tax structure, and region's remote-work track record.

Scores are heuristic estimates from population density, state, and known transit/walkable cities. Not based on a paid Walk Score / Transit Score API — see methodology for the formula.

Rent trajectory · last 5 years

Zillow ZORI · monthly
$2,696/mo$2,312$2,593$2,87320242026

Home value vs rent · indexed to 100

Both rebased at first month of ZORI data (~2015)
Home valueRent10410910020242026

Rent vs buy

Price-to-rent ratio: 33.3
Rent

At a 33.3 price-to-rent ratio, renting beats buying in Gilroy for most shorter holds. The premium you pay to own would take many years of rent savings to recoup, and that's before maintenance, taxes, and opportunity cost on the down payment.

How the momentum score breaks down

methodology →
Home YoY
38 · w22%
Home 5-yr CAGR
55 · w22%
Distance from peak
66 · w18%
Population growth
52 · w16%
Rent YoY
71 · w12%
Home 10-yr CAGR
62 · w10%
Long thesis

Gilroy has held up across the cycle: home values at $1,077,359 with +3.4% 5-year CAGR. The bull case is structural — population, location, employer base — and holds even if next year's print is soft.

Short thesis

Gilroy carries a $1,077,359 median home with only -2.3% YoY. Premium pricing in a flat tape is the bear setup — you're paying for the trend that already ran while new buyers can't afford to extend it.

About Gilroy

Gilroy is a city in Santa Clara County, California, with an estimated population of 60,390. It anchors the San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara metro area. The median home value in Gilroy is $1,077,359 as of 2026-04, down 2.3% over the last 12 months. Over the last five years, home values have averaged +3.4% annual growth (-3.9% from the 5-year peak). Rents in Gilroy average $2,696 per month, up 3.9% year-over-year. The composite momentum score is 56 of 100 (Stable). Conditions are neither hot nor cold, so the local fit matters more than market timing.

▲ Bull case

○The data is the data: Gilroy has at least 5 years of Zillow tracking, full Census identification, and is included in the 1-criteria momentum score on this page.

▼ Bear case

●Expensive AND not growing: median home $1,077,359 with only -2.3% YoY. You’re paying premium pricing for a flat trend.
●Cooling: -2.3% over the trailing year — momentum has stalled.

About Gilroy (Wikipedia)

Gilroy is a city in Santa Clara County, California, United States, south of the San Francisco Bay Area. It had a population of 59,520 as of the 2020 census.

Source: Wikipedia · this summary is contributed and licensed under CC-BY-SA.

City facts

MayorGreg Bozzo
Area16.55 sq mi
Elevation200 ft
EstablishedMarch 12, 1870
Nickname"Garlic Capital of the World"
Densityauto/sq mi
Named forJohn Gilroy government_type =

Extracted from the Wikipedia infobox. Values may be slightly out of date relative to the latest sources.

Playbook

Buyer

Lifestyle fit matters more than market timing in a Stable market. Take your time on the home and neighborhood; the macro trend isn't urgent. Negotiate normally.

Seller

Price competitively from day one or risk a 60+ day listing. Staging, photography, and presentation matter more in Stable markets than in Hot ones.

Investor

Stable cap rates, no big appreciation story to lean on. Underwrite this as a pure cash-flow play — the math has to work on rent alone.

Local safety & alerts

No active National Weather Service alerts for Santa Clara County right now.

NWS active alerts (CA)California Emergency ManagementHow to prepare (NWS)

Public-safety links are official .gov sources, not curated by us. Santa Clara County routes NWS alerts; check the state EM portal for non-weather emergencies.

Cities like Gilroy

Simi Valley, CA52 · StableDavis, CA50 · StableSeaside, CA51 · StablePetaluma, CA51 · Stable

Run the numbers for Gilroy

ToolCan I afford Gilroy?Income → city shortlistToolROI on a Gilroy rentalCap rate, cash-on-cash, DSCRToolCompare Gilroy to anywhereSide-by-side up to 3 citiesToolGilroy cost-of-livingEquivalent income elsewhere

Sources: Zillow ZHVI (home values), Zillow ZORI (rents), US Census ACS + place population. Updated when source agencies publish revisions.

Climate & natural-disaster risk

Winter (Jan)
60° / 41°
avg high / low
Summer (Jul)
82° / 60°
avg high / low
Sunny days/yr
258
~71% of year
Annual precip
22″ rain
8″ snow
Disaster risk (1=very low, 5=very high)
Hurricane
Very low
Tornado
Very low
Wildfire
Very high
Earthquake
Very high
Flood
Moderate

State-level averages from NOAA Climate Normals (1991-2020) and FEMA National Risk Index. City-level conditions can vary significantly within a state.

Local sports teams

Major professional teams the San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara area cheers for. Detailed stats, schedules, and player pages on intherafters.com.

Current weather

Loading current conditions…

7-day forecast on weather.gov →

Find rentals & listings

Open current Gilroy listings on the major real-estate sites.

Links open the live search on the destination site — results are always current.

Local news & community

Updated 2026-05-21 from Google News + Reddit RSS. Headlines link to original sources.

Local economy & environment

Humidity
65%
Moderate climate
Median household income
$91,500
California state median
Top industries (state-level)
TechEntertainmentAgriculture

Humidity is annual average relative humidity (NOAA). Income is Census ACS 5-year estimate. Industries are largest employment sectors statewide (BLS); the local mix in a given city may vary.

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