Orange County · Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim · population 35,469
Where San Juan Capistrano stands
At or near all-time high. averaging 8.6% annual growth over 5 years. rents up 7.3% in the last year.
Home value trajectory · last 10 years
Zillow ZHVI · monthlyLifestyle scores
Scores are heuristic estimates from population density, state, and known transit/walkable cities. Not based on a paid Walk Score / Transit Score API — see methodology for the formula.
Rent trajectory · last 5 years
Zillow ZORI · monthlyHome value vs rent · indexed to 100
Both rebased at first month of ZORI data (~2015)Rent vs buy
At a 27.0 price-to-rent ratio, renting beats buying in San Juan Capistrano for most shorter holds. The premium you pay to own would take many years of rent savings to recoup, and that's before maintenance, taxes, and opportunity cost on the down payment.
How the momentum score breaks down
methodology →San Juan Capistrano has held up across the cycle: home values at $1,350,021 with +8.6% 5-year CAGR. The bull case is structural — population, location, employer base — and holds even if next year's print is soft.
San Juan Capistrano carries a $1,350,021 median home with only +1.6% YoY. Premium pricing in a flat tape is the bear setup — you're paying for the trend that already ran while new buyers can't afford to extend it.
About San Juan Capistrano
San Juan Capistrano is a city in Orange County, California, with an estimated population of 35,469. It anchors the Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim metro area. The median home value in San Juan Capistrano is $1,350,021 as of 2026-04, up 1.6% over the last 12 months. Over the last five years, home values have averaged +8.6% annual growth, with prices at or near the 5-year peak. Rents in San Juan Capistrano average $4,164 per month, up 7.3% year-over-year. The composite momentum score is 72 of 100 (Rising). The market is healthy with prices supported by underlying demand.
▲ Bull case
▼ Bear case
About San Juan Capistrano (Wikipedia)
San Juan Capistrano is a city in southern Orange County, California, United States. The population was 35,253 at the 2020 Census.
Source: Wikipedia · this summary is contributed and licensed under CC-BY-SA.
Playbook
You're not in a frenzy but you're not getting bargains either. Make a competitive offer with normal inspection terms. Don't lowball — the listing will move with or without you.
Price at fair market value; expect movement in 30-45 days. Don't get clever with terms (rent-back, contingencies) — buyers in a Rising market have options.
Appreciation tailwind exists but cash flow requires discipline on price. Run the numbers conservatively and confirm rent comps before committing.
Local safety & alerts
No active National Weather Service alerts for Orange County right now.
Public-safety links are official .gov sources, not curated by us. Orange County routes NWS alerts; check the state EM portal for non-weather emergencies.
Cities like San Juan Capistrano
Run the numbers for San Juan Capistrano
Sources: Zillow ZHVI (home values), Zillow ZORI (rents), US Census ACS + place population. Updated when source agencies publish revisions.
Climate & natural-disaster risk
State-level averages from NOAA Climate Normals (1991-2020) and FEMA National Risk Index. City-level conditions can vary significantly within a state.
Local sports teams
Major professional teams the Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim area cheers for. Detailed stats, schedules, and player pages on intherafters.com.
Current weather
Find rentals & listings
Open current San Juan Capistrano listings on the major real-estate sites.
Links open the live search on the destination site — results are always current.
Local news & community
Latest news
- San Juan Hills High School (San Juan Capistrano, CA) BaseballMaxPreps · 4d ago
- This Charming Southern California Town Is Home to the State’s Oldest Street—and It’s Less Than 2 Hours From L.A.Travel + Leisure · 2mo ago
- Swallows Day Parade returns to San Juan Capistrano with Mercado, music, historyKTLA · 2mo ago
- Sen. Blakespear Presents Check to San Juan Capistrano for La Novia Community FarmSenator Catherine S. Blakespear (.gov) · 6mo ago
- San Juan Capistrano Selects New Mayor, Mayor Pro Tempicketfencemedia.com · 5mo ago
- CBRE Negotiates $9.8M Sale of Office Property in San Juan Capistrano, CaliforniaREBusinessOnline · 3mo ago
Updated 2026-05-21 from Google News + Reddit RSS. Headlines link to original sources.
Local economy & environment
Humidity is annual average relative humidity (NOAA). Income is Census ACS 5-year estimate. Industries are largest employment sectors statewide (BLS); the local mix in a given city may vary.
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Explore other places with comparable momentum or affordability.