Commerce City, CO — Momentum Score, Home Values & Best-For

All states·Colorado·Commerce City

Adams County · Denver-Aurora-Lakewood · population 70,245

Growing fast
Commerce City, CO
Image: Wikipedia · Commerce City, Colorado
OverviewCost of livingMoving guide
View watchlist →
52
Stable
Momentum score · 0–100

Where Commerce City stands

Home values down 4.3% in the last year. population growing 3.0% per year.

Median home $494,006
1-year -4.3%
5-yr CAGR +2.2%
vs 5-yr peak -11.2%
Population +3.0%/yr

Home value trajectory · last 10 years

Zillow ZHVI · monthly
peak 2022-07$494k$276k$377k$478k$579k201620182020202220242026

Lifestyle scores

🚶
Walkability
40/100
Car-dependent
Estimated from population density. Higher = denser, more amenities within walking distance.
🚉
Public transit
22/100
Transit limited
Curated list of major US transit systems + population-based estimate. Higher = real subway/rail/bus options.
💻
Remote work fit
79/100
Strong remote-work fit
Composite of city size, housing cost, state tax structure, and region's remote-work track record.

Scores are heuristic estimates from population density, state, and known transit/walkable cities. Not based on a paid Walk Score / Transit Score API — see methodology for the formula.

Rent trajectory · last 5 years

Zillow ZORI · monthly
$2,662/mo$1,953$2,398$2,843202220242026

Home value vs rent · indexed to 100

Both rebased at first month of ZORI data (~2015)
Home valueRent111127100120202220242026

Rent vs buy

Price-to-rent ratio: 15.5
Lean buy

At a 15.5 price-to-rent ratio, Commerce City is in the 'depends on horizon' zone. Buy if you'll be there 5+ years and value flexibility on the home; rent if you might move, want zero maintenance friction, or expect rates to drop.

How the momentum score breaks down

methodology →
Home YoY
29 · w22%
Home 5-yr CAGR
48 · w22%
Distance from peak
41 · w18%
Population growth
90 · w16%
Rent YoY
61 · w12%
Home 10-yr CAGR
62 · w10%
Long thesis

Commerce City has held up across the cycle: home values at $494,006 with +2.2% 5-year CAGR. The bull case is structural — population, location, employer base — and holds even if next year's print is soft.

Short thesis

Commerce City is down 4.3% over the last 12 months and the trend isn't flattening. Falling knife rule applies: you don't catch one with your hands, you wait for it to hit the floor and stop moving.

About Commerce City

Commerce City is a city in Adams County, Colorado, with an estimated population of 70,245. It anchors the Denver-Aurora-Lakewood metro area. The population has grown 3.0% per year on average between 2020 and 2024 — among the faster-growing communities in the state. The median home value in Commerce City is $494,006 as of 2026-04, down 4.3% over the last 12 months. Over the last five years, home values have averaged +2.2% annual growth, and the market currently sits about 11% below its 5-year peak. Rents in Commerce City average $2,662 per month, roughly flat year-over-year (+2.4%). The composite momentum score is 52 of 100 (Stable). Conditions are neither hot nor cold, so the local fit matters more than market timing.

▲ Bull case

●People are voting with their feet: population growing 3.0% per year since 2020 — that’s faster than ~80% of US cities.
○The data is the data: Commerce City has at least 5 years of Zillow tracking, full Census identification, and is included in the 2-criteria momentum score on this page.

▼ Bear case

●Cooling: -4.3% over the trailing year — momentum has stalled.
●11% off recent peak — buyers are getting through-the-cycle pricing, not the peak.

About Commerce City (Wikipedia)

Commerce City is a home rule city located in Adams County, Colorado, United States. The city population was 62,418 at the 2020 United States census, a 35.95% increase since the 2010 United States census. Commerce City is the 18th most populous municipality in Colorado. Commerce City is located north of Denver and is a part of the Denver-Aurora-Centennial, CO Metropolitan Statistical Area and the Front Range Urban Corridor.

Source: Wikipedia · this summary is contributed and licensed under CC-BY-SA.

City facts

MayorSteve Douglas
Elevation5161 ft
EstablishedDecember 12, 1952, as Town of
Density1,734/sq mi

Extracted from the Wikipedia infobox. Values may be slightly out of date relative to the latest sources.

Playbook

Buyer

Lifestyle fit matters more than market timing in a Stable market. Take your time on the home and neighborhood; the macro trend isn't urgent. Negotiate normally.

Seller

Price competitively from day one or risk a 60+ day listing. Staging, photography, and presentation matter more in Stable markets than in Hot ones.

Investor

Stable cap rates, no big appreciation story to lean on. Underwrite this as a pure cash-flow play — the math has to work on rent alone.

Local safety & alerts

No active National Weather Service alerts for Adams County right now.

NWS active alerts (CO)Colorado Emergency ManagementHow to prepare (NWS)

Public-safety links are official .gov sources, not curated by us. Adams County routes NWS alerts; check the state EM portal for non-weather emergencies.

Cities like Commerce City

Brighton, CO50 · StableParker, CO53 · StableFirestone, CO54 · StableJohnstown, CO54 · Stable

Run the numbers for Commerce City

ToolCan I afford Commerce City?Income → city shortlistToolROI on a Commerce City rentalCap rate, cash-on-cash, DSCRToolCompare Commerce City to anywhereSide-by-side up to 3 citiesToolCommerce City cost-of-livingEquivalent income elsewhere

Sources: Zillow ZHVI (home values), Zillow ZORI (rents), US Census ACS + place population. Updated when source agencies publish revisions.

Climate & natural-disaster risk

Winter (Jan)
43° / 16°
avg high / low
Summer (Jul)
86° / 56°
avg high / low
Sunny days/yr
245
~67% of year
Annual precip
17″ rain
55″ snow
Disaster risk (1=very low, 5=very high)
Hurricane
Very low
Tornado
Moderate
Wildfire
High
Earthquake
Low
Flood
Low

State-level averages from NOAA Climate Normals (1991-2020) and FEMA National Risk Index. City-level conditions can vary significantly within a state.

Local sports teams

Major professional teams the Denver-Aurora-Lakewood area cheers for. Detailed stats, schedules, and player pages on intherafters.com.

Current weather

Loading current conditions…

7-day forecast on weather.gov →

Find rentals & listings

Open current Commerce City listings on the major real-estate sites.

Links open the live search on the destination site — results are always current.

Local news & community

Updated 2026-05-21 from Google News + Reddit RSS. Headlines link to original sources.

Local economy & environment

Humidity
54%
Dry climate
Median household income
$87,600
Colorado state median
Top industries (state-level)
TechAerospaceHealthcare

Humidity is annual average relative humidity (NOAA). Income is Census ACS 5-year estimate. Industries are largest employment sectors statewide (BLS); the local mix in a given city may vary.

Cities similar to Commerce City

Explore other places with comparable momentum or affordability.

See all Colorado cities →    Browse best-of lists →