Davenport, FL — Momentum Score, Home Values & Best-For

All states·Florida·Davenport

Polk County · Lakeland-Winter Haven · population 16,764

Growing fastSmall-town feel
View watchlist →
56
Stable
Momentum score · 0–100

Where Davenport stands

Home values down 4.7% in the last year. population growing 16.7% per year.

Median home $341,663
1-year -4.7%
5-yr CAGR +5.0%
vs 5-yr peak -11.1%
Population +16.7%/yr

Home value trajectory · last 10 years

Zillow ZHVI · monthly
peak 2022-09$342k$169k$246k$323k$400k201620182020202220242026

Lifestyle scores

🚶
Walkability
32/100
Very car-dependent
Estimated from population density. Higher = denser, more amenities within walking distance.
🚉
Public transit
15/100
Transit limited
Curated list of major US transit systems + population-based estimate. Higher = real subway/rail/bus options.
💻
Remote work fit
97/100
Excellent for remote work
Composite of city size, housing cost, state tax structure, and region's remote-work track record.

Scores are heuristic estimates from population density, state, and known transit/walkable cities. Not based on a paid Walk Score / Transit Score API — see methodology for the formula.

Rent trajectory · last 5 years

Zillow ZORI · monthly
$2,036/mo$1,494$1,831$2,168202220242026

Home value vs rent · indexed to 100

Both rebased at first month of ZORI data (~2015)
Home valueRent128128100120140202220242026

Rent vs buy

Price-to-rent ratio: 14.0
Buy

At a 14.0 price-to-rent ratio, buying generally beats renting in Davenport on a long-enough horizon. The headline math is that one year of mortgage payments approximates 14.0 years of rent — well below the 15+ threshold where ownership starts to dominate.

How the momentum score breaks down

methodology →
Home YoY
27 · w22%
Home 5-yr CAGR
65 · w22%
Distance from peak
42 · w18%
Population growth
90 · w16%
Rent YoY
52 · w12%
Home 10-yr CAGR
71 · w10%
Long thesis

Davenport has been growing population at 16.7% per year while home values compounded +5.0% annually. Demand-driven appreciation — the kind that persists as long as people keep showing up, which they currently are.

Short thesis

Davenport is down 4.7% over the last 12 months and the trend isn't flattening. Falling knife rule applies: you don't catch one with your hands, you wait for it to hit the floor and stop moving.

About Davenport

Davenport is a city in Polk County, Florida, with an estimated population of 16,764. It anchors the Lakeland-Winter Haven metro area. The population has grown 16.7% per year on average between 2020 and 2024 — among the faster-growing communities in the state. The median home value in Davenport is $341,663 as of 2026-04, down 4.7% over the last 12 months. Over the last five years, home values have averaged +5.0% annual growth, and the market currently sits about 11% below its 5-year peak. Rents in Davenport average $2,036 per month, roughly flat year-over-year (+1.1%). The composite momentum score is 56 of 100 (Stable). Conditions are neither hot nor cold, so the local fit matters more than market timing.

Bull case

People are voting with their feet: population growing 16.7% per year since 2020 — that’s faster than ~80% of US cities.
Healthy 5-year run: +5.0% annualized over 5 years, outpacing US inflation.

Bear case

Cooling: -4.7% over the trailing year — momentum has stalled.
11% off recent peak — buyers are getting through-the-cycle pricing, not the peak.

Playbook

Buyer

Lifestyle fit matters more than market timing in a Stable market. Take your time on the home and neighborhood; the macro trend isn't urgent. Negotiate normally.

Seller

Price competitively from day one or risk a 60+ day listing. Staging, photography, and presentation matter more in Stable markets than in Hot ones.

Investor

Stable cap rates, no big appreciation story to lean on. Underwrite this as a pure cash-flow play — the math has to work on rent alone.

Local safety & alerts

No active National Weather Service alerts for Polk County right now.

Public-safety links are official .gov sources, not curated by us. Polk County routes NWS alerts; check the state EM portal for non-weather emergencies.

Neighborhoods of Davenport

1 tracked · ranked by median home value
1Loughman$347,289-4.1%

Cities like Davenport

Sources: Zillow ZHVI (home values), Zillow ZORI (rents), US Census ACS + place population. Updated when source agencies publish revisions.

Climate & natural-disaster risk

Winter (Jan)
70° / 51°
avg high / low
Summer (Jul)
90° / 73°
avg high / low
Sunny days/yr
233
~64% of year
Annual precip
54″ rain
0″ snow
Disaster risk (1=very low, 5=very high)
Hurricane
Very high
Tornado
Moderate
Wildfire
Low
Earthquake
Very low
Flood
Very high

State-level averages from NOAA Climate Normals (1991-2020) and FEMA National Risk Index. City-level conditions can vary significantly within a state.

Current weather

Loading current conditions…

7-day forecast on weather.gov →

Find rentals & listings

Open current Davenport listings on the major real-estate sites.

Links open the live search on the destination site — results are always current.

Local sports teams

Major professional teams the Lakeland-Winter Haven area cheers for. Detailed stats, schedules, and player pages on intherafters.com.

Local economy & environment

Humidity
76%
Very humid climate
Median household income
$67,900
Florida state median
Top industries (state-level)
TourismHealthcareConstruction

Humidity is annual average relative humidity (NOAA). Income is Census ACS 5-year estimate. Industries are largest employment sectors statewide (BLS); the local mix in a given city may vary.

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