Seminole, FL — Momentum Score, Home Values & Best-For

All states·Florida·Seminole

Pinellas County · Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater · population 19,395

Small-town feel
View watchlist →
50
Stable
Momentum score · 0–100

Where Seminole stands

Home values down 4.2% in the last year.

Median home $382,051
1-year -4.2%
5-yr CAGR +4.3%
vs 5-yr peak -9.2%
Population +0.0%/yr

Home value trajectory · last 10 years

Zillow ZHVI · monthly
peak 2024-05$382k$186k$270k$354k$437k201620182020202220242026

Lifestyle scores

🚶
Walkability
32/100
Very car-dependent
Estimated from population density. Higher = denser, more amenities within walking distance.
🚉
Public transit
15/100
Transit limited
Curated list of major US transit systems + population-based estimate. Higher = real subway/rail/bus options.
💻
Remote work fit
83/100
Excellent for remote work
Composite of city size, housing cost, state tax structure, and region's remote-work track record.

Scores are heuristic estimates from population density, state, and known transit/walkable cities. Not based on a paid Walk Score / Transit Score API — see methodology for the formula.

Rent trajectory · last 5 years

Zillow ZORI · monthly
$2,270/mo$1,476$1,973$2,470202220242026

Home value vs rent · indexed to 100

Both rebased at first month of ZORI data (~2015)
Home valueRent124144100120140202220242026

Rent vs buy

Price-to-rent ratio: 14.0
Buy

At a 14.0 price-to-rent ratio, buying generally beats renting in Seminole on a long-enough horizon. The headline math is that one year of mortgage payments approximates 14.0 years of rent — well below the 15+ threshold where ownership starts to dominate.

How the momentum score breaks down

methodology →
Home YoY
29 · w22%
Home 5-yr CAGR
61 · w22%
Distance from peak
47 · w18%
Population growth
46 · w16%
Rent YoY
56 · w12%
Home 10-yr CAGR
72 · w10%
Long thesis

Seminole has held up across the cycle: home values at $382,051 with +4.3% 5-year CAGR. The bull case is structural — population, location, employer base — and holds even if next year's print is soft.

Short thesis

Seminole is down 4.2% over the last 12 months and the trend isn't flattening. Falling knife rule applies: you don't catch one with your hands, you wait for it to hit the floor and stop moving.

About Seminole

Seminole is a city in Pinellas County, Florida, with an estimated population of 19,395. It anchors the Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater metro area. The median home value in Seminole is $382,051 as of 2026-04, down 4.2% over the last 12 months. Over the last five years, home values have averaged +4.3% annual growth (-9.2% from the 5-year peak). Rents in Seminole average $2,270 per month, roughly flat year-over-year (+1.6%). The composite momentum score is 50 of 100 (Stable). Conditions are neither hot nor cold, so the local fit matters more than market timing.

Bull case

The data is the data: Seminole has at least 5 years of Zillow tracking, full Census identification, and is included in the 1-criteria momentum score on this page.

Bear case

Cooling: -4.2% over the trailing year — momentum has stalled.
Local nuance: city-level data smooths over neighborhood differences. School zones, HOA rules, and street-level character matter — visit before deciding.

Playbook

Buyer

Lifestyle fit matters more than market timing in a Stable market. Take your time on the home and neighborhood; the macro trend isn't urgent. Negotiate normally.

Seller

Price competitively from day one or risk a 60+ day listing. Staging, photography, and presentation matter more in Stable markets than in Hot ones.

Investor

Stable cap rates, no big appreciation story to lean on. Underwrite this as a pure cash-flow play — the math has to work on rent alone.

Local safety & alerts

No active National Weather Service alerts for Pinellas County right now.

Public-safety links are official .gov sources, not curated by us. Pinellas County routes NWS alerts; check the state EM portal for non-weather emergencies.

Neighborhoods of Seminole

20 tracked · ranked by median home value
1Whispering Pines Forest$668,573-0.1%
2Seminole Woodlands$564,871-3.4%
3Bayhaven$551,305-2.0%
4Yacht Club Estates$532,634-1.8%
5Seminole Grove Estates$519,125-1.9%
6Orange Terrace$456,595-2.9%
7Boca Ciega Ridge$448,300-4.1%
8Oakhurst Groves$407,823-3.9%
9Lake Pearl Estates$402,342-5.6%
10Tamarac By The Gulf$366,420-0.4%
11Bay Ridge Estates$362,157-1.0%
12Ridgewood Groves$348,892-5.2%
13Seminole Pines$345,015-2.3%
14Cross Bayou Estates$337,721-4.3%
15Seminole Lake Village$336,542-5.6%
16Bayou Manor$322,118-8.3%
17Starkey Heights$313,181-2.2%
18Clearwood Estates$299,668-4.2%
19Bent Tree Estates$277,754-3.9%
20Crestridge$273,341-5.9%

Cities like Seminole

Sources: Zillow ZHVI (home values), Zillow ZORI (rents), US Census ACS + place population. Updated when source agencies publish revisions.

Climate & natural-disaster risk

Winter (Jan)
70° / 51°
avg high / low
Summer (Jul)
90° / 73°
avg high / low
Sunny days/yr
233
~64% of year
Annual precip
54″ rain
0″ snow
Disaster risk (1=very low, 5=very high)
Hurricane
Very high
Tornado
Moderate
Wildfire
Low
Earthquake
Very low
Flood
Very high

State-level averages from NOAA Climate Normals (1991-2020) and FEMA National Risk Index. City-level conditions can vary significantly within a state.

Local sports teams

Major professional teams the Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater area cheers for. Detailed stats, schedules, and player pages on intherafters.com.

Current weather

Loading current conditions…

7-day forecast on weather.gov →

Find rentals & listings

Open current Seminole listings on the major real-estate sites.

Links open the live search on the destination site — results are always current.

Local economy & environment

Humidity
76%
Very humid climate
Median household income
$67,900
Florida state median
Top industries (state-level)
TourismHealthcareConstruction

Humidity is annual average relative humidity (NOAA). Income is Census ACS 5-year estimate. Industries are largest employment sectors statewide (BLS); the local mix in a given city may vary.

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