Surfside, FL — Momentum Score, Home Values & Best-For

All states·Florida·Surfside

Miami-Dade County · Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach · population 5,719

InvestorsRenter-friendlySmall-town feel
View watchlist →
71
Rising
Momentum score · 0–100

Where Surfside stands

At or near all-time high. averaging 12.0% annual growth over 5 years.

Median home $1,300,702
1-year +3.5%
5-yr CAGR +12.0%
vs 5-yr peak +0.0%
Population +0.1%/yr

Home value trajectory · last 10 years

Zillow ZHVI · monthly
peak 2026-04$1301k$586k$841k$1097k$1353k201620182020202220242026

Lifestyle scores

🚶
Walkability
25/100
Very car-dependent
Estimated from population density. Higher = denser, more amenities within walking distance.
🚉
Public transit
10/100
Transit limited
Curated list of major US transit systems + population-based estimate. Higher = real subway/rail/bus options.
💻
Remote work fit
53/100
Workable for remote workers
Composite of city size, housing cost, state tax structure, and region's remote-work track record.

Scores are heuristic estimates from population density, state, and known transit/walkable cities. Not based on a paid Walk Score / Transit Score API — see methodology for the formula.

Rent trajectory · last 5 years

Zillow ZORI · monthly
$3,780/mo$3,060$3,793$4,527202220242026

Home value vs rent · indexed to 100

Both rebased at first month of ZORI data (~2015)
Home valueRent138116100120140202220242026

Rent vs buy

Price-to-rent ratio: 28.7
Rent

At a 28.7 price-to-rent ratio, renting beats buying in Surfside for most shorter holds. The premium you pay to own would take many years of rent savings to recoup, and that's before maintenance, taxes, and opportunity cost on the down payment.

How the momentum score breaks down

methodology →
Home YoY
67 · w22%
Home 5-yr CAGR
88 · w22%
Distance from peak
90 · w18%
Population growth
48 · w16%
Rent YoY
39 · w12%
Home 10-yr CAGR
78 · w10%
Long thesis

Surfside has averaged 12.0% annual appreciation over five years and the trend is still live (+3.5% in the last 12 months). When a momentum trade keeps working, the simplest explanation is usually correct: more people want in.

Short thesis

Surfside's bear case is the boring one: the cycle is real and any market that's run hard can stall. Watch for slowing population growth, rising days-on-market, or builder discounts as the early warning signals.

About Surfside

Surfside is a city in Miami-Dade County, Florida, with an estimated population of 5,719. It anchors the Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach metro area. The median home value in Surfside is $1,300,702 as of 2026-04, up 3.5% over the last 12 months. Over the last five years, home values have averaged +12.0% annual growth, with prices at or near the 5-year peak. Rents in Surfside average $3,780 per month, down 1.2% year-over-year. The composite momentum score is 71 of 100 (Rising). The market is healthy with prices supported by underlying demand.

Bull case

Multi-year compounder: home values up an average 12.0% per year over the last 5 years — sustained, not a one-year pop.
Quiet strength: +3.5% over the trailing year — not a melt-up, but the market is bid.
Held the highs: currently +0.0% from the 5-year peak — this market refused to give back gains.

Bear case

Premium territory: $1,300,702 median home is a high bar to clear — affordability constrains the buyer pool.
Thin housing market: small population means fewer transactions and slower resale. Liquidity risk on exit.

Playbook

Buyer

You're not in a frenzy but you're not getting bargains either. Make a competitive offer with normal inspection terms. Don't lowball — the listing will move with or without you.

Seller

Price at fair market value; expect movement in 30-45 days. Don't get clever with terms (rent-back, contingencies) — buyers in a Rising market have options.

Investor

Appreciation tailwind exists but cash flow requires discipline on price. Run the numbers conservatively and confirm rent comps before committing.

Local safety & alerts

No active National Weather Service alerts for Miami-Dade County right now.

Public-safety links are official .gov sources, not curated by us. Miami-Dade County routes NWS alerts; check the state EM portal for non-weather emergencies.

Cities like Surfside

Sources: Zillow ZHVI (home values), Zillow ZORI (rents), US Census ACS + place population. Updated when source agencies publish revisions.

Climate & natural-disaster risk

Winter (Jan)
70° / 51°
avg high / low
Summer (Jul)
90° / 73°
avg high / low
Sunny days/yr
233
~64% of year
Annual precip
54″ rain
0″ snow
Disaster risk (1=very low, 5=very high)
Hurricane
Very high
Tornado
Moderate
Wildfire
Low
Earthquake
Very low
Flood
Very high

State-level averages from NOAA Climate Normals (1991-2020) and FEMA National Risk Index. City-level conditions can vary significantly within a state.

Local sports teams

Major professional teams the Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach area cheers for. Detailed stats, schedules, and player pages on intherafters.com.

Current weather

Loading current conditions…

7-day forecast on weather.gov →

Find rentals & listings

Open current Surfside listings on the major real-estate sites.

Links open the live search on the destination site — results are always current.

Local economy & environment

Humidity
76%
Very humid climate
Median household income
$67,900
Florida state median
Top industries (state-level)
TourismHealthcareConstruction

Humidity is annual average relative humidity (NOAA). Income is Census ACS 5-year estimate. Industries are largest employment sectors statewide (BLS); the local mix in a given city may vary.

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