Kailua, HI — Momentum Score, Home Values & Best-For

Hawaii County · Urban Honolulu · population 19,713

Small-town feel
View watchlist →
70
Rising
Momentum score · 0–100

Where Kailua stands

At or near all-time high. rents up 6.3% in the last year.

Median home $1,530,716
1-year +0.4%
5-yr CAGR +5.7%
vs 5-yr peak -0.3%

Home value trajectory · last 10 years

Zillow ZHVI · monthly
peak 2022-06$1531k$879k$1118k$1357k$1597k201620182020202220242026

Lifestyle scores

🚶
Walkability
32/100
Very car-dependent
Estimated from population density. Higher = denser, more amenities within walking distance.
🚉
Public transit
15/100
Transit limited
Curated list of major US transit systems + population-based estimate. Higher = real subway/rail/bus options.
💻
Remote work fit
56/100
Workable for remote workers
Composite of city size, housing cost, state tax structure, and region's remote-work track record.

Scores are heuristic estimates from population density, state, and known transit/walkable cities. Not based on a paid Walk Score / Transit Score API — see methodology for the formula.

Rent trajectory · last 5 years

Zillow ZORI · monthly
$3,732/mo$2,574$3,266$3,957202220242026

Home value vs rent · indexed to 100

Both rebased at first month of ZORI data (~2015)
Home valueRent132136100120140202220242026

Rent vs buy

Price-to-rent ratio: 34.2
Rent

At a 34.2 price-to-rent ratio, renting beats buying in Kailua for most shorter holds. The premium you pay to own would take many years of rent savings to recoup, and that's before maintenance, taxes, and opportunity cost on the down payment.

How the momentum score breaks down

methodology →
Home YoY
52 · w22%
Home 5-yr CAGR
68 · w22%
Distance from peak
88 · w18%
Rent YoY
85 · w12%
Home 10-yr CAGR
61 · w10%
Long thesis

Kailua has held up across the cycle: home values at $1,530,716 with +5.7% 5-year CAGR. The bull case is structural — population, location, employer base — and holds even if next year's print is soft.

Short thesis

Kailua carries a $1,530,716 median home with only +0.4% YoY. Premium pricing in a flat tape is the bear setup — you're paying for the trend that already ran while new buyers can't afford to extend it.

About Kailua

Kailua is a city in Hawaii County, Hawaii, with an estimated population of 19,713. It anchors the Urban Honolulu metro area. The median home value in Kailua is $1,530,716 as of 2026-04, up 0.4% over the last 12 months. Over the last five years, home values have averaged +5.7% annual growth, with prices at or near the 5-year peak. Rents in Kailua average $3,732 per month, up 6.3% year-over-year. The composite momentum score is 70 of 100 (Rising). The market is healthy with prices supported by underlying demand.

Bull case

Healthy 5-year run: +5.7% annualized over 5 years, outpacing US inflation.
Held the highs: currently -0.3% from the 5-year peak — this market refused to give back gains.
Hot rental market: rents up 6.3% YoY — landlords have pricing power, supports new investment math.

Bear case

Expensive AND not growing: median home $1,530,716 with only +0.4% YoY. You’re paying premium pricing for a flat trend.
Local nuance: city-level data smooths over neighborhood differences. School zones, HOA rules, and street-level character matter — visit before deciding.

Playbook

Buyer

You're not in a frenzy but you're not getting bargains either. Make a competitive offer with normal inspection terms. Don't lowball — the listing will move with or without you.

Seller

Price at fair market value; expect movement in 30-45 days. Don't get clever with terms (rent-back, contingencies) — buyers in a Rising market have options.

Investor

Appreciation tailwind exists but cash flow requires discipline on price. Run the numbers conservatively and confirm rent comps before committing.

Local safety & alerts

No active National Weather Service alerts for Hawaii County right now.

Public-safety links are official .gov sources, not curated by us. Hawaii County routes NWS alerts; check the state EM portal for non-weather emergencies.

Cities like Kailua

Sources: Zillow ZHVI (home values), Zillow ZORI (rents), US Census ACS + place population. Updated when source agencies publish revisions.

Climate & natural-disaster risk

Winter (Jan)
80° / 65°
avg high / low
Summer (Jul)
87° / 73°
avg high / low
Sunny days/yr
271
~74% of year
Annual precip
65″ rain
0″ snow
Disaster risk (1=very low, 5=very high)
Hurricane
Moderate
Tornado
Very low
Wildfire
Low
Earthquake
Low
Flood
Moderate

State-level averages from NOAA Climate Normals (1991-2020) and FEMA National Risk Index. City-level conditions can vary significantly within a state.

Current weather

Loading current conditions…

7-day forecast on weather.gov →

Find rentals & listings

Open current Kailua listings on the major real-estate sites.

Links open the live search on the destination site — results are always current.

Local sports teams

Major professional teams the Urban Honolulu area cheers for. Detailed stats, schedules, and player pages on intherafters.com.

Local economy & environment

Humidity
73%
Humid climate
Median household income
$94,000
Hawaii state median
Top industries (state-level)
TourismMilitaryHealthcare

Humidity is annual average relative humidity (NOAA). Income is Census ACS 5-year estimate. Industries are largest employment sectors statewide (BLS); the local mix in a given city may vary.

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