Dolton, IL — Momentum Score, Home Values & Best-For

Cook County · Chicago-Naperville-Elgin · population 20,697

AffordabilityShrinkingSmall-town feel
View watchlist →
60
Stable
Momentum score · 0–100

Where Dolton stands

Population shrinking 0.9% per year. rents up 9.6% in the last year.

Median home $153,902
1-year +2.0%
5-yr CAGR +2.8%
vs 5-yr peak -5.0%
Population -0.9%/yr

Home value trajectory · last 10 years

Zillow ZHVI · monthly
peak 2022-06$154k$46k$87k$128k$168k201620182020202220242026

Lifestyle scores

🚶
Walkability
32/100
Very car-dependent
Estimated from population density. Higher = denser, more amenities within walking distance.
🚉
Public transit
15/100
Transit limited
Curated list of major US transit systems + population-based estimate. Higher = real subway/rail/bus options.
💻
Remote work fit
72/100
Strong remote-work fit
Composite of city size, housing cost, state tax structure, and region's remote-work track record.

Scores are heuristic estimates from population density, state, and known transit/walkable cities. Not based on a paid Walk Score / Transit Score API — see methodology for the formula.

Rent trajectory · last 5 years

Zillow ZORI · monthly
$2,116/mo$0$1,121$2,24320242026

Home value vs rent · indexed to 100

Both rebased at first month of ZORI data (~2015)
Home valueRent1031318010012020242026

Rent vs buy

Price-to-rent ratio: 6.1
Buy

At a 6.1 price-to-rent ratio, buying generally beats renting in Dolton on a long-enough horizon. The headline math is that one year of mortgage payments approximates 6.1 years of rent — well below the 15+ threshold where ownership starts to dominate.

How the momentum score breaks down

methodology →
Home YoY
60 · w22%
Home 5-yr CAGR
52 · w22%
Distance from peak
60 · w18%
Population growth
32 · w16%
Rent YoY
85 · w12%
Home 10-yr CAGR
94 · w10%
Long thesis

Dolton has held up across the cycle: home values at $153,902 with +2.8% 5-year CAGR. The bull case is structural — population, location, employer base — and holds even if next year's print is soft.

Short thesis

Dolton's population is shrinking 0.9% per year. Housing demand has to come from somewhere — if people are leaving, the buyer pool is shrinking faster than the inventory. That eventually shows up in price.

About Dolton

Dolton is a city in Cook County, Illinois, with an estimated population of 20,697. It anchors the Chicago-Naperville-Elgin metro area. The population has contracted 0.9% per year on average since 2020. The median home value in Dolton is $153,902 as of 2026-04, up 2.0% over the last 12 months. Over the last five years, home values have averaged +2.8% annual growth (-5.0% from the 5-year peak). Rents in Dolton average $2,116 per month, up 9.6% year-over-year. The composite momentum score is 60 of 100 (Stable). Conditions are neither hot nor cold, so the local fit matters more than market timing.

Bull case

Cheap entry point: $153,902 median home is well below the US median of $355k — room to grow without overpaying.
Hot rental market: rents up 9.6% YoY — landlords have pricing power, supports new investment math.

Bear case

Flat or shrinking population: -0.9% per year. Housing demand has to come from somewhere — verify the source.
Rental squeeze: rents up 9.6% YoY — tenants face tough renewals. Affordability deteriorating fast.

Playbook

Buyer

Lifestyle fit matters more than market timing in a Stable market. Take your time on the home and neighborhood; the macro trend isn't urgent. Negotiate normally.

Seller

Price competitively from day one or risk a 60+ day listing. Staging, photography, and presentation matter more in Stable markets than in Hot ones.

Investor

Stable cap rates, no big appreciation story to lean on. Underwrite this as a pure cash-flow play — the math has to work on rent alone.

Local safety & alerts

No active National Weather Service alerts for Cook County right now.

Public-safety links are official .gov sources, not curated by us. Cook County routes NWS alerts; check the state EM portal for non-weather emergencies.

Cities like Dolton

Sources: Zillow ZHVI (home values), Zillow ZORI (rents), US Census ACS + place population. Updated when source agencies publish revisions.

Climate & natural-disaster risk

Winter (Jan)
33° / 18°
avg high / low
Summer (Jul)
85° / 64°
avg high / low
Sunny days/yr
189
~52% of year
Annual precip
38″ rain
22″ snow
Disaster risk (1=very low, 5=very high)
Hurricane
Very low
Tornado
High
Wildfire
Very low
Earthquake
Low
Flood
Moderate

State-level averages from NOAA Climate Normals (1991-2020) and FEMA National Risk Index. City-level conditions can vary significantly within a state.

Local sports teams

Major professional teams the Chicago-Naperville-Elgin area cheers for. Detailed stats, schedules, and player pages on intherafters.com.

Current weather

Loading current conditions…

7-day forecast on weather.gov →

Find rentals & listings

Open current Dolton listings on the major real-estate sites.

Links open the live search on the destination site — results are always current.

Local economy & environment

Humidity
71%
Humid climate
Median household income
$78,400
Illinois state median
Top industries (state-level)
FinanceManufacturingHealthcare

Humidity is annual average relative humidity (NOAA). Income is Census ACS 5-year estimate. Industries are largest employment sectors statewide (BLS); the local mix in a given city may vary.

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