Morgan City, LA — Momentum Score, Home Values & Best-For

All states·Louisiana·Morgan City

St. Mary Parish · Morgan City · population 10,813

AffordabilityShrinkingSmall-town feel
View watchlist →
24
Declining
Momentum score · 0–100

Where Morgan City stands

Home values down 11.7% in the last year. population shrinking 1.5% per year.

Median home $124,505
1-year -11.7%
5-yr CAGR -0.4%
vs 5-yr peak -12.8%
Population -1.5%/yr

Home value trajectory · last 10 years

Zillow ZHVI · monthly
peak 2025-03$125k$108k$122k$135k$149k201620182020202220242026

Lifestyle scores

🚶
Walkability
25/100
Very car-dependent
Estimated from population density. Higher = denser, more amenities within walking distance.
🚉
Public transit
15/100
Transit limited
Curated list of major US transit systems + population-based estimate. Higher = real subway/rail/bus options.
💻
Remote work fit
32/100
Poor remote-work fit
Composite of city size, housing cost, state tax structure, and region's remote-work track record.

Scores are heuristic estimates from population density, state, and known transit/walkable cities. Not based on a paid Walk Score / Transit Score API — see methodology for the formula.

How the momentum score breaks down

methodology →
Home YoY
5 · w22%
Home 5-yr CAGR
33 · w22%
Distance from peak
37 · w18%
Population growth
23 · w16%
Home 10-yr CAGR
25 · w10%
Long thesis

Morgan City has held up across the cycle: home values at $124,505 with -0.4% 5-year CAGR. The bull case is structural — population, location, employer base — and holds even if next year's print is soft.

Short thesis

Morgan City is down 11.7% over the last 12 months and the trend isn't flattening. Falling knife rule applies: you don't catch one with your hands, you wait for it to hit the floor and stop moving.

About Morgan City

Morgan City is a city in St. Mary Parish, Louisiana, with an estimated population of 10,813. The population has contracted 1.5% per year on average since 2020. The median home value in Morgan City is $124,505 as of 2026-04, down 11.7% over the last 12 months. Over the last five years, home values have averaged -0.4% annual growth, and the market currently sits about 13% below its 5-year peak. The composite momentum score is 24 of 100 (Declining). The market is well off recent highs — patient long-term buyers may find opportunities, but resale liquidity is reduced.

Bull case

Cheap entry point: $124,505 median home is well below the US median of $355k — room to grow without overpaying.
The data is the data: Morgan City has at least 5 years of Zillow tracking, full Census identification, and is included in the 2-criteria momentum score on this page.

Bear case

Prices actively falling: down 11.7% in the last 12 months — buyer sentiment has flipped. Sellers competing on price.
Net out-migration: population shrinking 1.5% per year — services, schools, and tax base will follow.
13% off recent peak — buyers are getting through-the-cycle pricing, not the peak.
Stagnant long-run trend: -0.1% 10-year CAGR plus flat population — appreciation case is weak.
Thin housing market: small population means fewer transactions and slower resale. Liquidity risk on exit.

Playbook

Buyer

Make sure you're not catching a falling knife. Verify local fundamentals — jobs, population trend, school enrollment — before assuming the bottom is in. Negotiate hard and walk away from anything that doesn't pencil.

Seller

Be realistic. Below-list pricing may be required; time is not your friend. If you can wait 2-3 years for the cycle to turn, consider holding.

Investor

Cap rates can look great in Declining markets, but verify tenant pool, income stability, and exit liquidity before committing. A 10% cap on a vacant property is 0%.

Local safety & alerts

No active National Weather Service alerts for St. Mary Parish right now.

Public-safety links are official .gov sources, not curated by us. St. Mary Parish routes NWS alerts; check the state EM portal for non-weather emergencies.

Cities like Morgan City

Sources: Zillow ZHVI (home values), Zillow ZORI (rents), US Census ACS + place population. Updated when source agencies publish revisions.

Climate & natural-disaster risk

Winter (Jan)
61° / 43°
avg high / low
Summer (Jul)
91° / 74°
avg high / low
Sunny days/yr
217
~59% of year
Annual precip
60″ rain
0″ snow
Disaster risk (1=very low, 5=very high)
Hurricane
Very high
Tornado
Moderate
Wildfire
Very low
Earthquake
Very low
Flood
Very high

State-level averages from NOAA Climate Normals (1991-2020) and FEMA National Risk Index. City-level conditions can vary significantly within a state.

Current weather

Loading current conditions…

7-day forecast on weather.gov →

Find rentals & listings

Open current Morgan City listings on the major real-estate sites.

Links open the live search on the destination site — results are always current.

Local sports teams

Major professional teams the Morgan City area cheers for. Detailed stats, schedules, and player pages on intherafters.com.

Local economy & environment

Humidity
75%
Very humid climate
Median household income
$57,800
Louisiana state median
Top industries (state-level)
Oil & GasTourismShipping/Petrochemicals

Humidity is annual average relative humidity (NOAA). Income is Census ACS 5-year estimate. Industries are largest employment sectors statewide (BLS); the local mix in a given city may vary.

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