Natchitoches, LA — Momentum Score, Home Values & Best-For

All states·Louisiana·Natchitoches

Natchitoches Parish · Natchitoches · population 17,165

AffordabilityShrinkingSmall-town feel
OverviewCost of livingMoving guide
View watchlist →
38
Cooling
Momentum score · 0–100

Where Natchitoches stands

Population shrinking 1.2% per year.

Median home $185,527
1-year +0.1%
5-yr CAGR -0.6%
vs 5-yr peak -9.8%
Population -1.2%/yr

Home value trajectory · last 10 years

Zillow ZHVI · monthly
peak 2022-08$186k$159k$177k$196k$214k201620182020202220242026

Lifestyle scores

🚶
Walkability
32/100
Very car-dependent
Estimated from population density. Higher = denser, more amenities within walking distance.
🚉
Public transit
15/100
Transit limited
Curated list of major US transit systems + population-based estimate. Higher = real subway/rail/bus options.
💻
Remote work fit
56/100
Workable for remote workers
Composite of city size, housing cost, state tax structure, and region's remote-work track record.

Scores are heuristic estimates from population density, state, and known transit/walkable cities. Not based on a paid Walk Score / Transit Score API — see methodology for the formula.

How the momentum score breaks down

methodology →
Home YoY
50 · w22%
Home 5-yr CAGR
31 · w22%
Distance from peak
46 · w18%
Population growth
26 · w16%
Home 10-yr CAGR
28 · w10%
Long thesis

Natchitoches has held up across the cycle: home values at $185,527 with -0.6% 5-year CAGR. The bull case is structural — population, location, employer base — and holds even if next year's print is soft.

Short thesis

Natchitoches's population is shrinking 1.2% per year. Housing demand has to come from somewhere — if people are leaving, the buyer pool is shrinking faster than the inventory. That eventually shows up in price.

About Natchitoches

Natchitoches is a city in Natchitoches Parish, Louisiana, with an estimated population of 17,165. The population has contracted 1.2% per year on average since 2020. The median home value in Natchitoches is $185,527 as of 2026-04, up 0.1% over the last 12 months. Over the last five years, home values have averaged -0.6% annual growth (-9.8% from the 5-year peak). The composite momentum score is 38 of 100 (Cooling). Buyers may find more room to negotiate; sellers should price realistically.

▲ Bull case

●Cheap entry point: $185,527 median home is well below the US median of $355k — room to grow without overpaying.
○The data is the data: Natchitoches has at least 5 years of Zillow tracking, full Census identification, and is included in the 2-criteria momentum score on this page.

▼ Bear case

●Net out-migration: population shrinking 1.2% per year — services, schools, and tax base will follow.
●Stagnant long-run trend: +0.4% 10-year CAGR plus flat population — appreciation case is weak.

Playbook

Buyer

You have leverage. Negotiate price, ask for closing-cost credits, and don't waive inspection. Walk-away power is real in a Cooling market — use it.

Seller

Price aggressively (at or below recent sold comps) or be prepared to wait. Concessions — rate buydowns, closing costs, repair credits — are how deals close right now.

Investor

Cap rates are more attractive than they were 12 months ago but the appreciation tailwind is gone. Confirm tenant demand, vacancy rates, and exit liquidity before committing capital.

Local safety & alerts

No active National Weather Service alerts for Natchitoches Parish right now.

NWS active alerts (LA)Louisiana Emergency ManagementHow to prepare (NWS)

Public-safety links are official .gov sources, not curated by us. Natchitoches Parish routes NWS alerts; check the state EM portal for non-weather emergencies.

Cities like Natchitoches

Thibodaux, LA45 · CoolingNew Iberia, LA33 · CoolingAlexandria, LA49 · StablePineville, LA51 · Stable

Run the numbers for Natchitoches

ToolCan I afford Natchitoches?Income → city shortlistToolROI on a Natchitoches rentalCap rate, cash-on-cash, DSCRToolCompare Natchitoches to anywhereSide-by-side up to 3 citiesToolNatchitoches cost-of-livingEquivalent income elsewhere

Sources: Zillow ZHVI (home values), Zillow ZORI (rents), US Census ACS + place population. Updated when source agencies publish revisions.

Climate & natural-disaster risk

Winter (Jan)
61° / 43°
avg high / low
Summer (Jul)
91° / 74°
avg high / low
Sunny days/yr
217
~59% of year
Annual precip
60″ rain
0″ snow
Disaster risk (1=very low, 5=very high)
Hurricane
Very high
Tornado
Moderate
Wildfire
Very low
Earthquake
Very low
Flood
Very high

State-level averages from NOAA Climate Normals (1991-2020) and FEMA National Risk Index. City-level conditions can vary significantly within a state.

Current weather

Loading current conditions…

7-day forecast on weather.gov →

Find rentals & listings

Open current Natchitoches listings on the major real-estate sites.

Links open the live search on the destination site — results are always current.

Local sports teams

Major professional teams the Natchitoches area cheers for. Detailed stats, schedules, and player pages on intherafters.com.

Local economy & environment

Humidity
75%
Very humid climate
Median household income
$57,800
Louisiana state median
Top industries (state-level)
Oil & GasTourismShipping/Petrochemicals

Humidity is annual average relative humidity (NOAA). Income is Census ACS 5-year estimate. Industries are largest employment sectors statewide (BLS); the local mix in a given city may vary.

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