Lexington Park, MD — Momentum Score, Home Values & Best-For

All states·Maryland·Lexington Park

St. Mary's County · California-Lexington Park · population 13,317

Renter-friendlySmall-town feel
View watchlist →
65
Rising
Momentum score · 0–100

Where Lexington Park stands

At or near all-time high.

Median home $386,484
1-year +3.1%
5-yr CAGR +4.3%
vs 5-yr peak +0.0%

Home value trajectory · last 10 years

Zillow ZHVI · monthly
peak 2026-04$386k$226k$285k$343k$402k201620182020202220242026

Lifestyle scores

🚶
Walkability
25/100
Very car-dependent
Estimated from population density. Higher = denser, more amenities within walking distance.
🚉
Public transit
15/100
Transit limited
Curated list of major US transit systems + population-based estimate. Higher = real subway/rail/bus options.
💻
Remote work fit
62/100
Workable for remote workers
Composite of city size, housing cost, state tax structure, and region's remote-work track record.

Scores are heuristic estimates from population density, state, and known transit/walkable cities. Not based on a paid Walk Score / Transit Score API — see methodology for the formula.

Rent trajectory · last 5 years

Zillow ZORI · monthly
$1,729/mo$1,299$1,607$1,915202220242026

Home value vs rent · indexed to 100

Both rebased at first month of ZORI data (~2015)
Home valueRent123125100120202220242026

Rent vs buy

Price-to-rent ratio: 18.6
Lean buy

At a 18.6 price-to-rent ratio, Lexington Park is in the 'depends on horizon' zone. Buy if you'll be there 5+ years and value flexibility on the home; rent if you might move, want zero maintenance friction, or expect rates to drop.

How the momentum score breaks down

methodology →
Home YoY
66 · w22%
Home 5-yr CAGR
61 · w22%
Distance from peak
90 · w18%
Rent YoY
41 · w12%
Home 10-yr CAGR
58 · w10%
Long thesis

Lexington Park has held up across the cycle: home values at $386,484 with +4.3% 5-year CAGR. The bull case is structural — population, location, employer base — and holds even if next year's print is soft.

Short thesis

Lexington Park's bear case is the boring one: the cycle is real and any market that's run hard can stall. Watch for slowing population growth, rising days-on-market, or builder discounts as the early warning signals.

About Lexington Park

Lexington Park is a city in St. Mary's County, Maryland, with an estimated population of 13,317. It anchors the California-Lexington Park metro area. The median home value in Lexington Park is $386,484 as of 2026-04, up 3.1% over the last 12 months. Over the last five years, home values have averaged +4.3% annual growth, with prices at or near the 5-year peak. Rents in Lexington Park average $1,729 per month, roughly flat year-over-year (-0.9%). The composite momentum score is 65 of 100 (Rising). The market is healthy with prices supported by underlying demand.

Bull case

Quiet strength: +3.1% over the trailing year — not a melt-up, but the market is bid.
Held the highs: currently +0.0% from the 5-year peak — this market refused to give back gains.

Bear case

Thin housing market: small population means fewer transactions and slower resale. Liquidity risk on exit.
Local nuance: city-level data smooths over neighborhood differences. School zones, HOA rules, and street-level character matter — visit before deciding.

Playbook

Buyer

You're not in a frenzy but you're not getting bargains either. Make a competitive offer with normal inspection terms. Don't lowball — the listing will move with or without you.

Seller

Price at fair market value; expect movement in 30-45 days. Don't get clever with terms (rent-back, contingencies) — buyers in a Rising market have options.

Investor

Appreciation tailwind exists but cash flow requires discipline on price. Run the numbers conservatively and confirm rent comps before committing.

Local safety & alerts

No active National Weather Service alerts for St. Mary's County right now.

Public-safety links are official .gov sources, not curated by us. St. Mary's County routes NWS alerts; check the state EM portal for non-weather emergencies.

Cities like Lexington Park

Sources: Zillow ZHVI (home values), Zillow ZORI (rents), US Census ACS + place population. Updated when source agencies publish revisions.

Climate & natural-disaster risk

Winter (Jan)
42° / 25°
avg high / low
Summer (Jul)
87° / 68°
avg high / low
Sunny days/yr
203
~56% of year
Annual precip
44″ rain
18″ snow
Disaster risk (1=very low, 5=very high)
Hurricane
Moderate
Tornado
Low
Wildfire
Very low
Earthquake
Very low
Flood
Moderate

State-level averages from NOAA Climate Normals (1991-2020) and FEMA National Risk Index. City-level conditions can vary significantly within a state.

Current weather

Loading current conditions…

7-day forecast on weather.gov →

Find rentals & listings

Open current Lexington Park listings on the major real-estate sites.

Links open the live search on the destination site — results are always current.

Local sports teams

Major professional teams the California-Lexington Park area cheers for. Detailed stats, schedules, and player pages on intherafters.com.

Local economy & environment

Humidity
68%
Moderate climate
Median household income
$98,500
Maryland state median
Top industries (state-level)
Government/DefenseBiotechHealthcare

Humidity is annual average relative humidity (NOAA). Income is Census ACS 5-year estimate. Industries are largest employment sectors statewide (BLS); the local mix in a given city may vary.

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