New Carrollton, MD — Momentum Score, Home Values & Best-For

All states·Maryland·New Carrollton

Prince George's County · Washington-Arlington-Alexandria · population 13,645

Small-town feel
View watchlist →
58
Stable
Momentum score · 0–100

Where New Carrollton stands

At or near all-time high. rents up 5.0% in the last year.

Median home $402,300
1-year -0.9%
5-yr CAGR +2.2%
vs 5-yr peak -1.4%
Population -0.1%/yr

Home value trajectory · last 10 years

Zillow ZHVI · monthly
peak 2025-09$402k$232k$296k$360k$424k201620182020202220242026

Lifestyle scores

🚶
Walkability
25/100
Very car-dependent
Estimated from population density. Higher = denser, more amenities within walking distance.
🚉
Public transit
15/100
Transit limited
Curated list of major US transit systems + population-based estimate. Higher = real subway/rail/bus options.
💻
Remote work fit
56/100
Workable for remote workers
Composite of city size, housing cost, state tax structure, and region's remote-work track record.

Scores are heuristic estimates from population density, state, and known transit/walkable cities. Not based on a paid Walk Score / Transit Score API — see methodology for the formula.

Rent trajectory · last 5 years

Zillow ZORI · monthly
$1,667/mo$0$884$1,768202220242026

Home value vs rent · indexed to 100

Both rebased at first month of ZORI data (~2015)
Home valueRent10413480100120202220242026

Rent vs buy

Price-to-rent ratio: 20.1
Lean rent

At a 20.1 price-to-rent ratio, the math is starting to lean toward renting in New Carrollton. Owner-occupier ROI requires longer holds and the assumption that prices keep appreciating roughly at the rate of rent.

How the momentum score breaks down

methodology →
Home YoY
46 · w22%
Home 5-yr CAGR
48 · w22%
Distance from peak
82 · w18%
Population growth
43 · w16%
Rent YoY
78 · w12%
Home 10-yr CAGR
60 · w10%
Long thesis

New Carrollton has held up across the cycle: home values at $402,300 with +2.2% 5-year CAGR. The bull case is structural — population, location, employer base — and holds even if next year's print is soft.

Short thesis

New Carrollton is a small market with thin transaction volume and modest appreciation. The bear case is liquidity: when you eventually sell, your buyer pool is small, slow, and price-sensitive.

About New Carrollton

New Carrollton is a city in Prince George's County, Maryland, with an estimated population of 13,645. It anchors the Washington-Arlington-Alexandria metro area. The median home value in New Carrollton is $402,300 as of 2026-04, down 0.9% over the last 12 months. Over the last five years, home values have averaged +2.2% annual growth, with prices at or near the 5-year peak. Rents in New Carrollton average $1,667 per month, up 5.0% year-over-year. The composite momentum score is 58 of 100 (Stable). Conditions are neither hot nor cold, so the local fit matters more than market timing.

Bull case

Held the highs: currently -1.4% from the 5-year peak — this market refused to give back gains.
Hot rental market: rents up 5.0% YoY — landlords have pricing power, supports new investment math.

Bear case

Thin housing market: small population means fewer transactions and slower resale. Liquidity risk on exit.
Local nuance: city-level data smooths over neighborhood differences. School zones, HOA rules, and street-level character matter — visit before deciding.

Playbook

Buyer

Lifestyle fit matters more than market timing in a Stable market. Take your time on the home and neighborhood; the macro trend isn't urgent. Negotiate normally.

Seller

Price competitively from day one or risk a 60+ day listing. Staging, photography, and presentation matter more in Stable markets than in Hot ones.

Investor

Stable cap rates, no big appreciation story to lean on. Underwrite this as a pure cash-flow play — the math has to work on rent alone.

Local safety & alerts

No active National Weather Service alerts for Prince George's County right now.

Public-safety links are official .gov sources, not curated by us. Prince George's County routes NWS alerts; check the state EM portal for non-weather emergencies.

Cities like New Carrollton

Sources: Zillow ZHVI (home values), Zillow ZORI (rents), US Census ACS + place population. Updated when source agencies publish revisions.

Climate & natural-disaster risk

Winter (Jan)
42° / 25°
avg high / low
Summer (Jul)
87° / 68°
avg high / low
Sunny days/yr
203
~56% of year
Annual precip
44″ rain
18″ snow
Disaster risk (1=very low, 5=very high)
Hurricane
Moderate
Tornado
Low
Wildfire
Very low
Earthquake
Very low
Flood
Moderate

State-level averages from NOAA Climate Normals (1991-2020) and FEMA National Risk Index. City-level conditions can vary significantly within a state.

Local sports teams

Major professional teams the Washington-Arlington-Alexandria area cheers for. Detailed stats, schedules, and player pages on intherafters.com.

Current weather

Loading current conditions…

7-day forecast on weather.gov →

Find rentals & listings

Open current New Carrollton listings on the major real-estate sites.

Links open the live search on the destination site — results are always current.

Local economy & environment

Humidity
68%
Moderate climate
Median household income
$98,500
Maryland state median
Top industries (state-level)
Government/DefenseBiotechHealthcare

Humidity is annual average relative humidity (NOAA). Income is Census ACS 5-year estimate. Industries are largest employment sectors statewide (BLS); the local mix in a given city may vary.

Cities similar to New Carrollton

Explore other places with comparable momentum or affordability.

See all Maryland cities →    Browse best-of lists →