New Hope, MN — Momentum Score, Home Values & Best-For

Hennepin County · Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington · population 20,745

ShrinkingSmall-town feel
View watchlist →
62
Rising
Momentum score · 0–100

Where New Hope stands

At or near all-time high. population shrinking 1.4% per year.

Median home $354,786
1-year +3.6%
5-yr CAGR +2.9%
vs 5-yr peak -0.1%
Population -1.4%/yr

Home value trajectory · last 10 years

Zillow ZHVI · monthly
peak 2026-03$355k$196k$254k$312k$369k201620182020202220242026

Lifestyle scores

🚶
Walkability
32/100
Very car-dependent
Estimated from population density. Higher = denser, more amenities within walking distance.
🚉
Public transit
15/100
Transit limited
Curated list of major US transit systems + population-based estimate. Higher = real subway/rail/bus options.
💻
Remote work fit
72/100
Strong remote-work fit
Composite of city size, housing cost, state tax structure, and region's remote-work track record.

Scores are heuristic estimates from population density, state, and known transit/walkable cities. Not based on a paid Walk Score / Transit Score API — see methodology for the formula.

Rent trajectory · last 5 years

Zillow ZORI · monthly
$1,391/mo$0$737$1,474202220242026

Home value vs rent · indexed to 100

Both rebased at first month of ZORI data (~2015)
Home valueRent10411580100202220242026

Rent vs buy

Price-to-rent ratio: 21.3
Lean rent

At a 21.3 price-to-rent ratio, the math is starting to lean toward renting in New Hope. Owner-occupier ROI requires longer holds and the assumption that prices keep appreciating roughly at the rate of rent.

How the momentum score breaks down

methodology →
Home YoY
68 · w22%
Home 5-yr CAGR
52 · w22%
Distance from peak
89 · w18%
Population growth
23 · w16%
Rent YoY
78 · w12%
Home 10-yr CAGR
63 · w10%
Long thesis

New Hope has held up across the cycle: home values at $354,786 with +2.9% 5-year CAGR. The bull case is structural — population, location, employer base — and holds even if next year's print is soft.

Short thesis

New Hope's population is shrinking 1.4% per year. Housing demand has to come from somewhere — if people are leaving, the buyer pool is shrinking faster than the inventory. That eventually shows up in price.

About New Hope

New Hope is a city in Hennepin County, Minnesota, with an estimated population of 20,745. It anchors the Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington metro area. The population has contracted 1.4% per year on average since 2020. The median home value in New Hope is $354,786 as of 2026-04, up 3.6% over the last 12 months. Over the last five years, home values have averaged +2.9% annual growth, with prices at or near the 5-year peak. Rents in New Hope average $1,391 per month, up 5.0% year-over-year. The composite momentum score is 62 of 100 (Rising). The market is healthy with prices supported by underlying demand.

Bull case

Quiet strength: +3.6% over the trailing year — not a melt-up, but the market is bid.
Held the highs: currently -0.1% from the 5-year peak — this market refused to give back gains.

Bear case

Net out-migration: population shrinking 1.4% per year — services, schools, and tax base will follow.
Local nuance: city-level data smooths over neighborhood differences. School zones, HOA rules, and street-level character matter — visit before deciding.

Playbook

Buyer

You're not in a frenzy but you're not getting bargains either. Make a competitive offer with normal inspection terms. Don't lowball — the listing will move with or without you.

Seller

Price at fair market value; expect movement in 30-45 days. Don't get clever with terms (rent-back, contingencies) — buyers in a Rising market have options.

Investor

Appreciation tailwind exists but cash flow requires discipline on price. Run the numbers conservatively and confirm rent comps before committing.

Local safety & alerts

No active National Weather Service alerts for Hennepin County right now.

Public-safety links are official .gov sources, not curated by us. Hennepin County routes NWS alerts; check the state EM portal for non-weather emergencies.

Cities like New Hope

Sources: Zillow ZHVI (home values), Zillow ZORI (rents), US Census ACS + place population. Updated when source agencies publish revisions.

Climate & natural-disaster risk

Winter (Jan)
22° / 4°
avg high / low
Summer (Jul)
82° / 62°
avg high / low
Sunny days/yr
198
~54% of year
Annual precip
28″ rain
45″ snow
Disaster risk (1=very low, 5=very high)
Hurricane
Very low
Tornado
High
Wildfire
Very low
Earthquake
Very low
Flood
Low

State-level averages from NOAA Climate Normals (1991-2020) and FEMA National Risk Index. City-level conditions can vary significantly within a state.

Local sports teams

Major professional teams the Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington area cheers for. Detailed stats, schedules, and player pages on intherafters.com.

Current weather

Loading current conditions…

7-day forecast on weather.gov →

Find rentals & listings

Open current New Hope listings on the major real-estate sites.

Links open the live search on the destination site — results are always current.

Local economy & environment

Humidity
71%
Humid climate
Median household income
$84,300
Minnesota state median
Top industries (state-level)
Medical DevicesFinanceManufacturing

Humidity is annual average relative humidity (NOAA). Income is Census ACS 5-year estimate. Industries are largest employment sectors statewide (BLS); the local mix in a given city may vary.

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