Tenafly, NJ — Momentum Score, Home Values & Best-For

Bergen County · New York-Newark-Jersey City · population 15,455

InvestorsSmall-town feel
View watchlist →
72
Rising
Momentum score · 0–100

Where Tenafly stands

At or near all-time high. home values up 6.4% in the last year. averaging 7.2% annual growth over 5 years.

Median home $1,295,786
1-year +6.4%
5-yr CAGR +7.2%
vs 5-yr peak +0.0%
Population +0.1%/yr

Home value trajectory · last 10 years

Zillow ZHVI · monthly
peak 2026-04$1296k$790k$976k$1162k$1348k201620182020202220242026

Lifestyle scores

🚶
Walkability
32/100
Very car-dependent
Estimated from population density. Higher = denser, more amenities within walking distance.
🚉
Public transit
15/100
Transit limited
Curated list of major US transit systems + population-based estimate. Higher = real subway/rail/bus options.
💻
Remote work fit
48/100
Marginal for remote
Composite of city size, housing cost, state tax structure, and region's remote-work track record.

Scores are heuristic estimates from population density, state, and known transit/walkable cities. Not based on a paid Walk Score / Transit Score API — see methodology for the formula.

Rent vs buy

Price-to-rent ratio: 18.1
Lean buy

At a 18.1 price-to-rent ratio, Tenafly is in the 'depends on horizon' zone. Buy if you'll be there 5+ years and value flexibility on the home; rent if you might move, want zero maintenance friction, or expect rates to drop.

How the momentum score breaks down

methodology →
Home YoY
80 · w22%
Home 5-yr CAGR
75 · w22%
Distance from peak
90 · w18%
Population growth
46 · w16%
Home 10-yr CAGR
55 · w10%
Long thesis

Tenafly has averaged 7.2% annual appreciation over five years and the trend is still live (+6.4% in the last 12 months). When a momentum trade keeps working, the simplest explanation is usually correct: more people want in.

Short thesis

Tenafly's bear case is the boring one: the cycle is real and any market that's run hard can stall. Watch for slowing population growth, rising days-on-market, or builder discounts as the early warning signals.

About Tenafly

Tenafly is a city in Bergen County, New Jersey, with an estimated population of 15,455. It anchors the New York-Newark-Jersey City metro area. The median home value in Tenafly is $1,295,786 as of 2026-04, up 6.4% over the last 12 months. Over the last five years, home values have averaged +7.2% annual growth, with prices at or near the 5-year peak. Rents in Tenafly average $5,978 per month. The composite momentum score is 72 of 100 (Rising). The market is healthy with prices supported by underlying demand.

Bull case

Trend still working: prices up 6.4% in the last 12 months — buyers are still chasing inventory.
Healthy 5-year run: +7.2% annualized over 5 years, outpacing US inflation.
Held the highs: currently +0.0% from the 5-year peak — this market refused to give back gains.

Bear case

Premium territory: $1,295,786 median home is a high bar to clear — affordability constrains the buyer pool.
Local nuance: city-level data smooths over neighborhood differences. School zones, HOA rules, and street-level character matter — visit before deciding.

Playbook

Buyer

You're not in a frenzy but you're not getting bargains either. Make a competitive offer with normal inspection terms. Don't lowball — the listing will move with or without you.

Seller

Price at fair market value; expect movement in 30-45 days. Don't get clever with terms (rent-back, contingencies) — buyers in a Rising market have options.

Investor

Appreciation tailwind exists but cash flow requires discipline on price. Run the numbers conservatively and confirm rent comps before committing.

Local safety & alerts

No active National Weather Service alerts for Bergen County right now.

Public-safety links are official .gov sources, not curated by us. Bergen County routes NWS alerts; check the state EM portal for non-weather emergencies.

Cities like Tenafly

Sources: Zillow ZHVI (home values), Zillow ZORI (rents), US Census ACS + place population. Updated when source agencies publish revisions.

Climate & natural-disaster risk

Winter (Jan)
38° / 23°
avg high / low
Summer (Jul)
85° / 65°
avg high / low
Sunny days/yr
207
~57% of year
Annual precip
47″ rain
25″ snow
Disaster risk (1=very low, 5=very high)
Hurricane
High
Tornado
Very low
Wildfire
Very low
Earthquake
Very low
Flood
High

State-level averages from NOAA Climate Normals (1991-2020) and FEMA National Risk Index. City-level conditions can vary significantly within a state.

Local sports teams

Major professional teams the New York-Newark-Jersey City area cheers for. Detailed stats, schedules, and player pages on intherafters.com.

Current weather

Loading current conditions…

7-day forecast on weather.gov →

Find rentals & listings

Open current Tenafly listings on the major real-estate sites.

Links open the live search on the destination site — results are always current.