Chaparral, NM — Momentum Score, Home Values & Best-For

Doña Ana County · Las Cruces · population 16,551

First-time buyersSmall-town feel
View watchlist →
59
Stable
Momentum score · 0–100

Where Chaparral stands

Steady, no major recent move.

Median home $213,916
1-year -2.6%
5-yr CAGR +5.6%
vs 5-yr peak -3.1%

Home value trajectory · last 10 years

Zillow ZHVI · monthly
peak 2025-02$214k$107k$148k$189k$230k201620182020202220242026

Lifestyle scores

🚶
Walkability
32/100
Very car-dependent
Estimated from population density. Higher = denser, more amenities within walking distance.
🚉
Public transit
15/100
Transit limited
Curated list of major US transit systems + population-based estimate. Higher = real subway/rail/bus options.
💻
Remote work fit
78/100
Strong remote-work fit
Composite of city size, housing cost, state tax structure, and region's remote-work track record.

Scores are heuristic estimates from population density, state, and known transit/walkable cities. Not based on a paid Walk Score / Transit Score API — see methodology for the formula.

How the momentum score breaks down

methodology →
Home YoY
37 · w22%
Home 5-yr CAGR
68 · w22%
Distance from peak
71 · w18%
Home 10-yr CAGR
70 · w10%
Long thesis

Chaparral has held up across the cycle: home values at $213,916 with +5.6% 5-year CAGR. The bull case is structural — population, location, employer base — and holds even if next year's print is soft.

Short thesis

Chaparral's bear case is the boring one: the cycle is real and any market that's run hard can stall. Watch for slowing population growth, rising days-on-market, or builder discounts as the early warning signals.

About Chaparral

Chaparral is a city in Doña Ana County, New Mexico, with an estimated population of 16,551. It anchors the Las Cruces metro area. The median home value in Chaparral is $213,916 as of 2026-04, down 2.6% over the last 12 months. Over the last five years, home values have averaged +5.6% annual growth (-3.1% from the 5-year peak). The composite momentum score is 59 of 100 (Stable). Conditions are neither hot nor cold, so the local fit matters more than market timing.

Bull case

Healthy 5-year run: +5.6% annualized over 5 years, outpacing US inflation.
The data is the data: Chaparral has at least 5 years of Zillow tracking, full Census identification, and is included in the 2-criteria momentum score on this page.

Bear case

Cooling: -2.6% over the trailing year — momentum has stalled.
Local nuance: city-level data smooths over neighborhood differences. School zones, HOA rules, and street-level character matter — visit before deciding.

Playbook

Buyer

Lifestyle fit matters more than market timing in a Stable market. Take your time on the home and neighborhood; the macro trend isn't urgent. Negotiate normally.

Seller

Price competitively from day one or risk a 60+ day listing. Staging, photography, and presentation matter more in Stable markets than in Hot ones.

Investor

Stable cap rates, no big appreciation story to lean on. Underwrite this as a pure cash-flow play — the math has to work on rent alone.

Local safety & alerts

No active National Weather Service alerts for Doña Ana County right now.

Public-safety links are official .gov sources, not curated by us. Doña Ana County routes NWS alerts; check the state EM portal for non-weather emergencies.

Cities like Chaparral

Sources: Zillow ZHVI (home values), Zillow ZORI (rents), US Census ACS + place population. Updated when source agencies publish revisions.

Climate & natural-disaster risk

Winter (Jan)
50° / 25°
avg high / low
Summer (Jul)
87° / 61°
avg high / low
Sunny days/yr
280
~77% of year
Annual precip
14″ rain
12″ snow
Disaster risk (1=very low, 5=very high)
Hurricane
Very low
Tornado
Low
Wildfire
Very high
Earthquake
Low
Flood
Low

State-level averages from NOAA Climate Normals (1991-2020) and FEMA National Risk Index. City-level conditions can vary significantly within a state.

Current weather

Loading current conditions…

7-day forecast on weather.gov →

Find rentals & listings

Open current Chaparral listings on the major real-estate sites.

Links open the live search on the destination site — results are always current.

Local sports teams

Major professional teams the Las Cruces area cheers for. Detailed stats, schedules, and player pages on intherafters.com.

Local economy & environment

Humidity
48%
Dry climate
Median household income
$58,700
New Mexico state median
Top industries (state-level)
Government (labs)TourismOil & Gas

Humidity is annual average relative humidity (NOAA). Income is Census ACS 5-year estimate. Industries are largest employment sectors statewide (BLS); the local mix in a given city may vary.

Cities similar to Chaparral

Explore other places with comparable momentum or affordability.

See all New Mexico cities →    Browse best-of lists →