Baldwinsville, NY — Momentum Score, Home Values & Best-For

Onondaga County · Syracuse · population 7,662

InvestorsShrinkingSmall-town feel

Rising

Momentum score · 0–100

Where Baldwinsville stands

At or near all-time high. home values up 7.6% in the last year. averaging 9.0% annual growth over 5 years. population shrinking 0.8% per year.

Median home $326,577

1-year +7.6%

5-yr CAGR +9.0%

vs 5-yr peak +0.0%

Population -0.8%/yr

Home value trajectory · last 10 years

Zillow ZHVI · monthly

Lifestyle scores

🚶

Walkability

25/100

Very car-dependent

Estimated from population density. Higher = denser, more amenities within walking distance.

🚉

Public transit

10/100

Transit limited

Curated list of major US transit systems + population-based estimate. Higher = real subway/rail/bus options.

💻

Remote work fit

56/100

Workable for remote workers

Composite of city size, housing cost, state tax structure, and region's remote-work track record.

Scores are heuristic estimates from population density, state, and known transit/walkable cities. Not based on a paid Walk Score / Transit Score API — see methodology for the formula.

Rent vs buy

Price-to-rent ratio: 15.2

Lean buy

At a 15.2 price-to-rent ratio, Baldwinsville is in the 'depends on horizon' zone. Buy if you'll be there 5+ years and value flexibility on the home; rent if you might move, want zero maintenance friction, or expect rates to drop.

How the momentum score breaks down

methodology →

Home YoY

84 · w22%

Home 5-yr CAGR

84 · w22%

Distance from peak

90 · w18%

Population growth

34 · w16%

Home 10-yr CAGR

80 · w10%

Long thesis

Baldwinsville has averaged 9.0% annual appreciation over five years and the trend is still live (+7.6% in the last 12 months). When a momentum trade keeps working, the simplest explanation is usually correct: more people want in.

Short thesis

Baldwinsville's population is shrinking 0.8% per year. Housing demand has to come from somewhere — if people are leaving, the buyer pool is shrinking faster than the inventory. That eventually shows up in price.

About Baldwinsville

Baldwinsville is a city in Onondaga County, New York, with an estimated population of 7,662. It anchors the Syracuse metro area. The population has contracted 0.8% per year on average since 2020. The median home value in Baldwinsville is $326,577 as of 2026-04, up 7.6% over the last 12 months. Over the last five years, home values have averaged +9.0% annual growth, with prices at or near the 5-year peak. Rents in Baldwinsville average $1,786 per month. The composite momentum score is 75 of 100 (Rising). The market is healthy with prices supported by underlying demand.

▲ Bull case

●Multi-year compounder: home values up an average 9.0% per year over the last 5 years — sustained, not a one-year pop.

●Trend still working: prices up 7.6% in the last 12 months — buyers are still chasing inventory.

●Held the highs: currently +0.0% from the 5-year peak — this market refused to give back gains.

▼ Bear case

●Flat or shrinking population: -0.8% per year. Housing demand has to come from somewhere — verify the source.

○Thin housing market: small population means fewer transactions and slower resale. Liquidity risk on exit.

Playbook

Buyer

You're not in a frenzy but you're not getting bargains either. Make a competitive offer with normal inspection terms. Don't lowball — the listing will move with or without you.

Seller

Price at fair market value; expect movement in 30-45 days. Don't get clever with terms (rent-back, contingencies) — buyers in a Rising market have options.

Investor

Appreciation tailwind exists but cash flow requires discipline on price. Run the numbers conservatively and confirm rent comps before committing.

Local safety & alerts

No active National Weather Service alerts for Onondaga County right now.

NWS active alerts (NY)New York Emergency Management How to prepare (NWS)

Public-safety links are official .gov sources, not curated by us. Onondaga County routes NWS alerts; check the state EM portal for non-weather emergencies.