Carrboro, NC — Momentum Score, Home Values & Best-For

Orange County · Durham-Chapel Hill · population 21,079

Renter-friendlySmall-town feel
View watchlist →
56
Stable
Momentum score · 0–100

Where Carrboro stands

Steady, no major recent move.

Median home $431,560
1-year -2.9%
5-yr CAGR +6.2%
vs 5-yr peak -2.9%
Population -0.3%/yr

Home value trajectory · last 10 years

Zillow ZHVI · monthly
peak 2025-03$432k$210k$294k$378k$462k201620182020202220242026

Lifestyle scores

🚶
Walkability
32/100
Very car-dependent
Estimated from population density. Higher = denser, more amenities within walking distance.
🚉
Public transit
15/100
Transit limited
Curated list of major US transit systems + population-based estimate. Higher = real subway/rail/bus options.
💻
Remote work fit
77/100
Strong remote-work fit
Composite of city size, housing cost, state tax structure, and region's remote-work track record.

Scores are heuristic estimates from population density, state, and known transit/walkable cities. Not based on a paid Walk Score / Transit Score API — see methodology for the formula.

Rent trajectory · last 5 years

Zillow ZORI · monthly
$1,473/mo$1,293$1,463$1,63320242026

Home value vs rent · indexed to 100

Both rebased at first month of ZORI data (~2015)
Home valueRent10010510020242026

Rent vs buy

Price-to-rent ratio: 24.4
Lean rent

At a 24.4 price-to-rent ratio, the math is starting to lean toward renting in Carrboro. Owner-occupier ROI requires longer holds and the assumption that prices keep appreciating roughly at the rate of rent.

How the momentum score breaks down

methodology →
Home YoY
36 · w22%
Home 5-yr CAGR
71 · w22%
Distance from peak
72 · w18%
Population growth
41 · w16%
Rent YoY
44 · w12%
Home 10-yr CAGR
73 · w10%
Long thesis

Carrboro has held up across the cycle: home values at $431,560 with +6.2% 5-year CAGR. The bull case is structural — population, location, employer base — and holds even if next year's print is soft.

Short thesis

Carrboro's bear case is the boring one: the cycle is real and any market that's run hard can stall. Watch for slowing population growth, rising days-on-market, or builder discounts as the early warning signals.

About Carrboro

Carrboro is a city in Orange County, North Carolina, with an estimated population of 21,079. It anchors the Durham-Chapel Hill metro area. The median home value in Carrboro is $431,560 as of 2026-04, down 2.9% over the last 12 months. Over the last five years, home values have averaged +6.2% annual growth (-2.9% from the 5-year peak). Rents in Carrboro average $1,473 per month, roughly flat year-over-year (-0.2%). The composite momentum score is 56 of 100 (Stable). Conditions are neither hot nor cold, so the local fit matters more than market timing.

Bull case

Healthy 5-year run: +6.2% annualized over 5 years, outpacing US inflation.
Held the highs: currently -2.9% from the 5-year peak — this market refused to give back gains.

Bear case

Cooling: -2.9% over the trailing year — momentum has stalled.
Local nuance: city-level data smooths over neighborhood differences. School zones, HOA rules, and street-level character matter — visit before deciding.

Playbook

Buyer

Lifestyle fit matters more than market timing in a Stable market. Take your time on the home and neighborhood; the macro trend isn't urgent. Negotiate normally.

Seller

Price competitively from day one or risk a 60+ day listing. Staging, photography, and presentation matter more in Stable markets than in Hot ones.

Investor

Stable cap rates, no big appreciation story to lean on. Underwrite this as a pure cash-flow play — the math has to work on rent alone.

Local safety & alerts

No active National Weather Service alerts for Orange County right now.

Public-safety links are official .gov sources, not curated by us. Orange County routes NWS alerts; check the state EM portal for non-weather emergencies.

Cities like Carrboro

Sources: Zillow ZHVI (home values), Zillow ZORI (rents), US Census ACS + place population. Updated when source agencies publish revisions.

Climate & natural-disaster risk

Winter (Jan)
50° / 30°
avg high / low
Summer (Jul)
88° / 68°
avg high / low
Sunny days/yr
213
~58% of year
Annual precip
50″ rain
6″ snow
Disaster risk (1=very low, 5=very high)
Hurricane
High
Tornado
Moderate
Wildfire
Low
Earthquake
Very low
Flood
High

State-level averages from NOAA Climate Normals (1991-2020) and FEMA National Risk Index. City-level conditions can vary significantly within a state.

Local sports teams

Major professional teams the Durham-Chapel Hill area cheers for. Detailed stats, schedules, and player pages on intherafters.com.

Current weather

Loading current conditions…

7-day forecast on weather.gov →

Find rentals & listings

Open current Carrboro listings on the major real-estate sites.

Links open the live search on the destination site — results are always current.

Local economy & environment

Humidity
71%
Humid climate
Median household income
$67,500
North Carolina state median
Top industries (state-level)
Banking (Charlotte)Tech (RTP)Manufacturing

Humidity is annual average relative humidity (NOAA). Income is Census ACS 5-year estimate. Industries are largest employment sectors statewide (BLS); the local mix in a given city may vary.

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