Watford City, ND — Momentum Score, Home Values & Best-For

All states·North Dakota·Watford City

McKenzie County · population 6,207

Small-town feel
View watchlist →
65
Rising
Momentum score · 0–100

Where Watford City stands

At or near all-time high. home values up 7.0% in the last year.

Median home $385,935
1-year +7.0%
5-yr CAGR +4.2%
vs 5-yr peak -0.0%
Population +0.0%/yr

Home value trajectory · last 10 years

Zillow ZHVI · monthly
peak 2026-03$386k$266k$311k$356k$401k2020202220242026

Lifestyle scores

🚶
Walkability
25/100
Very car-dependent
Estimated from population density. Higher = denser, more amenities within walking distance.
🚉
Public transit
10/100
Transit limited
Curated list of major US transit systems + population-based estimate. Higher = real subway/rail/bus options.
💻
Remote work fit
65/100
Strong remote-work fit
Composite of city size, housing cost, state tax structure, and region's remote-work track record.

Scores are heuristic estimates from population density, state, and known transit/walkable cities. Not based on a paid Walk Score / Transit Score API — see methodology for the formula.

Rent vs buy

Price-to-rent ratio: 25.6
Rent

At a 25.6 price-to-rent ratio, renting beats buying in Watford City for most shorter holds. The premium you pay to own would take many years of rent savings to recoup, and that's before maintenance, taxes, and opportunity cost on the down payment.

How the momentum score breaks down

methodology →
Home YoY
82 · w22%
Home 5-yr CAGR
60 · w22%
Distance from peak
90 · w18%
Population growth
45 · w16%
Home 10-yr CAGR
25 · w10%
Long thesis

Watford City has held up across the cycle: home values at $385,935 with +4.2% 5-year CAGR. The bull case is structural — population, location, employer base — and holds even if next year's print is soft.

Short thesis

Watford City's bear case is the boring one: the cycle is real and any market that's run hard can stall. Watch for slowing population growth, rising days-on-market, or builder discounts as the early warning signals.

About Watford City

Watford City is a city in McKenzie County, North Dakota, with an estimated population of 6,207. The median home value in Watford City is $385,935 as of 2026-04, up 7.0% over the last 12 months. Over the last five years, home values have averaged +4.2% annual growth, with prices at or near the 5-year peak. Rents in Watford City average $1,258 per month. The composite momentum score is 65 of 100 (Rising). The market is healthy with prices supported by underlying demand.

Bull case

Trend still working: prices up 7.0% in the last 12 months — buyers are still chasing inventory.
Held the highs: currently -0.0% from the 5-year peak — this market refused to give back gains.

Bear case

Stagnant long-run trend: +0.0% 10-year CAGR plus flat population — appreciation case is weak.
Thin housing market: small population means fewer transactions and slower resale. Liquidity risk on exit.

Playbook

Buyer

You're not in a frenzy but you're not getting bargains either. Make a competitive offer with normal inspection terms. Don't lowball — the listing will move with or without you.

Seller

Price at fair market value; expect movement in 30-45 days. Don't get clever with terms (rent-back, contingencies) — buyers in a Rising market have options.

Investor

Appreciation tailwind exists but cash flow requires discipline on price. Run the numbers conservatively and confirm rent comps before committing.

Local safety & alerts

No active National Weather Service alerts for McKenzie County right now.

Public-safety links are official .gov sources, not curated by us. McKenzie County routes NWS alerts; check the state EM portal for non-weather emergencies.

Cities like Watford City

Sources: Zillow ZHVI (home values), Zillow ZORI (rents), US Census ACS + place population. Updated when source agencies publish revisions.

Climate & natural-disaster risk

Winter (Jan)
21° / 1°
avg high / low
Summer (Jul)
83° / 59°
avg high / low
Sunny days/yr
209
~57% of year
Annual precip
18″ rain
39″ snow
Disaster risk (1=very low, 5=very high)
Hurricane
Very low
Tornado
Moderate
Wildfire
Very low
Earthquake
Very low
Flood
Moderate

State-level averages from NOAA Climate Normals (1991-2020) and FEMA National Risk Index. City-level conditions can vary significantly within a state.

Current weather

Loading current conditions…

7-day forecast on weather.gov →

Find rentals & listings

Open current Watford City listings on the major real-estate sites.

Links open the live search on the destination site — results are always current.

Local sports teams

Major professional teams the Minneapolis area cheers for. Detailed stats, schedules, and player pages on intherafters.com.

Local economy & environment

Humidity
70%
Humid climate
Median household income
$73,900
North Dakota state median
Top industries (state-level)
Oil & Gas (Bakken)AgricultureManufacturing

Humidity is annual average relative humidity (NOAA). Income is Census ACS 5-year estimate. Industries are largest employment sectors statewide (BLS); the local mix in a given city may vary.

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