Johnstown, PA — Momentum Score, Home Values & Best-For

Cambria County · Johnstown · population 17,853

AffordabilityShrinkingSmall-town feel
View watchlist →
43
Cooling
Momentum score · 0–100

Where Johnstown stands

Home values down 3.4% in the last year. population shrinking 0.8% per year. rents up 9.4% in the last year.

Median home $100,454
1-year -3.4%
5-yr CAGR +1.0%
vs 5-yr peak -13.0%
Population -0.8%/yr

Home value trajectory · last 10 years

Zillow ZHVI · monthly
peak 2023-03$100k$63k$82k$101k$120k201620182020202220242026

Lifestyle scores

🚶
Walkability
32/100
Very car-dependent
Estimated from population density. Higher = denser, more amenities within walking distance.
🚉
Public transit
15/100
Transit limited
Curated list of major US transit systems + population-based estimate. Higher = real subway/rail/bus options.
💻
Remote work fit
59/100
Workable for remote workers
Composite of city size, housing cost, state tax structure, and region's remote-work track record.

Scores are heuristic estimates from population density, state, and known transit/walkable cities. Not based on a paid Walk Score / Transit Score API — see methodology for the formula.

Rent trajectory · last 5 years

Zillow ZORI · monthly
$868/mo$0$460$920202220242026

Home value vs rent · indexed to 100

Both rebased at first month of ZORI data (~2015)
Home valueRent10513880100120140202220242026

Rent vs buy

Price-to-rent ratio: 9.6
Buy

At a 9.6 price-to-rent ratio, buying generally beats renting in Johnstown on a long-enough horizon. The headline math is that one year of mortgage payments approximates 9.6 years of rent — well below the 15+ threshold where ownership starts to dominate.

How the momentum score breaks down

methodology →
Home YoY
33 · w22%
Home 5-yr CAGR
41 · w22%
Distance from peak
36 · w18%
Population growth
34 · w16%
Rent YoY
85 · w12%
Home 10-yr CAGR
43 · w10%
Long thesis

Johnstown has held up across the cycle: home values at $100,454 with +1.0% 5-year CAGR. The bull case is structural — population, location, employer base — and holds even if next year's print is soft.

Short thesis

Johnstown's population is shrinking 0.8% per year. Housing demand has to come from somewhere — if people are leaving, the buyer pool is shrinking faster than the inventory. That eventually shows up in price.

About Johnstown

Johnstown is a city in Cambria County, Pennsylvania, with an estimated population of 17,853. The population has contracted 0.8% per year on average since 2020. The median home value in Johnstown is $100,454 as of 2026-04, down 3.4% over the last 12 months. Over the last five years, home values have averaged +1.0% annual growth, and the market currently sits about 13% below its 5-year peak. Rents in Johnstown average $868 per month, up 9.4% year-over-year. The composite momentum score is 43 of 100 (Cooling). Buyers may find more room to negotiate; sellers should price realistically.

Bull case

Cheap entry point: $100,454 median home is well below the US median of $355k — room to grow without overpaying.
Hot rental market: rents up 9.4% YoY — landlords have pricing power, supports new investment math.

Bear case

Cooling: -3.4% over the trailing year — momentum has stalled.
13% off recent peak — buyers are getting through-the-cycle pricing, not the peak.
Flat or shrinking population: -0.8% per year. Housing demand has to come from somewhere — verify the source.
Rental squeeze: rents up 9.4% YoY — tenants face tough renewals. Affordability deteriorating fast.

Playbook

Buyer

You have leverage. Negotiate price, ask for closing-cost credits, and don't waive inspection. Walk-away power is real in a Cooling market — use it.

Seller

Price aggressively (at or below recent sold comps) or be prepared to wait. Concessions — rate buydowns, closing costs, repair credits — are how deals close right now.

Investor

Cap rates are more attractive than they were 12 months ago but the appreciation tailwind is gone. Confirm tenant demand, vacancy rates, and exit liquidity before committing capital.

Local safety & alerts

No active National Weather Service alerts for Cambria County right now.

Public-safety links are official .gov sources, not curated by us. Cambria County routes NWS alerts; check the state EM portal for non-weather emergencies.

Neighborhoods of Johnstown

2 tracked · ranked by median home value
1Belmont$146,658-6.9%
2Elim$129,257+7.6%

Cities like Johnstown

Sources: Zillow ZHVI (home values), Zillow ZORI (rents), US Census ACS + place population. Updated when source agencies publish revisions.

Climate & natural-disaster risk

Winter (Jan)
36° / 21°
avg high / low
Summer (Jul)
83° / 63°
avg high / low
Sunny days/yr
186
~51% of year
Annual precip
42″ rain
30″ snow
Disaster risk (1=very low, 5=very high)
Hurricane
Low
Tornado
Low
Wildfire
Very low
Earthquake
Very low
Flood
Moderate

State-level averages from NOAA Climate Normals (1991-2020) and FEMA National Risk Index. City-level conditions can vary significantly within a state.

Current weather

Loading current conditions…

7-day forecast on weather.gov →

Find rentals & listings

Open current Johnstown listings on the major real-estate sites.

Links open the live search on the destination site — results are always current.

Local sports teams

Major professional teams the Johnstown area cheers for. Detailed stats, schedules, and player pages on intherafters.com.

Local economy & environment

Humidity
71%
Humid climate
Median household income
$73,800
Pennsylvania state median
Top industries (state-level)
Healthcare (Pittsburgh)Finance (Philly)Manufacturing

Humidity is annual average relative humidity (NOAA). Income is Census ACS 5-year estimate. Industries are largest employment sectors statewide (BLS); the local mix in a given city may vary.

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