Bolivar, TN — Momentum Score, Home Values & Best-For

Hardeman County · population 5,084

AffordabilityShrinkingSmall-town feel
View watchlist →
57
Stable
Momentum score · 0–100

Where Bolivar stands

Population shrinking 0.6% per year.

Median home $149,926
1-year -1.1%
5-yr CAGR +6.8%
vs 5-yr peak -4.9%
Population -0.6%/yr

Home value trajectory · last 10 years

Zillow ZHVI · monthly
peak 2024-09$150k$73k$104k$134k$164k201620182020202220242026

Lifestyle scores

🚶
Walkability
25/100
Very car-dependent
Estimated from population density. Higher = denser, more amenities within walking distance.
🚉
Public transit
10/100
Transit limited
Curated list of major US transit systems + population-based estimate. Higher = real subway/rail/bus options.
💻
Remote work fit
61/100
Workable for remote workers
Composite of city size, housing cost, state tax structure, and region's remote-work track record.

Scores are heuristic estimates from population density, state, and known transit/walkable cities. Not based on a paid Walk Score / Transit Score API — see methodology for the formula.

How the momentum score breaks down

methodology →
Home YoY
45 · w22%
Home 5-yr CAGR
73 · w22%
Distance from peak
61 · w18%
Population growth
36 · w16%
Home 10-yr CAGR
72 · w10%
Long thesis

Bolivar offers a $149,926 median home with +6.8% annualized 5-year appreciation. Affordability + positive trend is one of the better risk/reward setups in US residential — small downside, room to compound.

Short thesis

Bolivar's population is shrinking 0.6% per year. Housing demand has to come from somewhere — if people are leaving, the buyer pool is shrinking faster than the inventory. That eventually shows up in price.

About Bolivar

Bolivar is a city in Hardeman County, Tennessee, with an estimated population of 5,084. The population has contracted 0.6% per year on average since 2020. The median home value in Bolivar is $149,926 as of 2026-04, down 1.1% over the last 12 months. Over the last five years, home values have averaged +6.8% annual growth (-4.9% from the 5-year peak). The composite momentum score is 57 of 100 (Stable). Conditions are neither hot nor cold, so the local fit matters more than market timing.

Bull case

Healthy 5-year run: +6.8% annualized over 5 years, outpacing US inflation.
Cheap entry point: $149,926 median home is well below the US median of $355k — room to grow without overpaying.

Bear case

Flat or shrinking population: -0.6% per year. Housing demand has to come from somewhere — verify the source.
Thin housing market: small population means fewer transactions and slower resale. Liquidity risk on exit.

Playbook

Buyer

Lifestyle fit matters more than market timing in a Stable market. Take your time on the home and neighborhood; the macro trend isn't urgent. Negotiate normally.

Seller

Price competitively from day one or risk a 60+ day listing. Staging, photography, and presentation matter more in Stable markets than in Hot ones.

Investor

Stable cap rates, no big appreciation story to lean on. Underwrite this as a pure cash-flow play — the math has to work on rent alone.

Local safety & alerts

No active National Weather Service alerts for Hardeman County right now.

Public-safety links are official .gov sources, not curated by us. Hardeman County routes NWS alerts; check the state EM portal for non-weather emergencies.

Cities like Bolivar

Sources: Zillow ZHVI (home values), Zillow ZORI (rents), US Census ACS + place population. Updated when source agencies publish revisions.

Climate & natural-disaster risk

Winter (Jan)
47° / 28°
avg high / low
Summer (Jul)
88° / 68°
avg high / low
Sunny days/yr
207
~57% of year
Annual precip
54″ rain
5″ snow
Disaster risk (1=very low, 5=very high)
Hurricane
Very low
Tornado
High
Wildfire
Low
Earthquake
Moderate
Flood
Moderate

State-level averages from NOAA Climate Normals (1991-2020) and FEMA National Risk Index. City-level conditions can vary significantly within a state.

Current weather

Loading current conditions…

7-day forecast on weather.gov →

Find rentals & listings

Open current Bolivar listings on the major real-estate sites.

Links open the live search on the destination site — results are always current.

Local sports teams

Major professional teams the Nashville area cheers for. Detailed stats, schedules, and player pages on intherafters.com.

Local economy & environment

Humidity
71%
Humid climate
Median household income
$64,700
Tennessee state median
Top industries (state-level)
HealthcareMusic/EntertainmentManufacturing

Humidity is annual average relative humidity (NOAA). Income is Census ACS 5-year estimate. Industries are largest employment sectors statewide (BLS); the local mix in a given city may vary.

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