Alvin, TX — Momentum Score, Home Values & Best-For

All states·Texas·Alvin

Brazoria County · Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land · population 29,869

First-time buyersGrowing fast
OverviewCost of livingMoving guide
View watchlist →
67
Rising
Momentum score · 0–100

Where Alvin stands

At or near all-time high. population growing 2.5% per year.

Median home $294,161
1-year +0.3%
5-yr CAGR +4.6%
vs 5-yr peak -0.1%
Population +2.5%/yr

Home value trajectory · last 10 years

Zillow ZHVI · monthly
peak 2026-03$294k$160k$209k$257k$306k201620182020202220242026

Lifestyle scores

🚶
Walkability
32/100
Very car-dependent
Estimated from population density. Higher = denser, more amenities within walking distance.
🚉
Public transit
15/100
Transit limited
Curated list of major US transit systems + population-based estimate. Higher = real subway/rail/bus options.
💻
Remote work fit
97/100
Excellent for remote work
Composite of city size, housing cost, state tax structure, and region's remote-work track record.

Scores are heuristic estimates from population density, state, and known transit/walkable cities. Not based on a paid Walk Score / Transit Score API — see methodology for the formula.

Rent trajectory · last 5 years

Zillow ZORI · monthly
$1,566/mo$1,409$1,545$1,6812026

Home value vs rent · indexed to 100

Both rebased at first month of ZORI data (~2015)
Home valueRent1001051002026

Rent vs buy

Price-to-rent ratio: 15.7
Lean buy

At a 15.7 price-to-rent ratio, Alvin is in the 'depends on horizon' zone. Buy if you'll be there 5+ years and value flexibility on the home; rent if you might move, want zero maintenance friction, or expect rates to drop.

How the momentum score breaks down

methodology →
Home YoY
51 · w22%
Home 5-yr CAGR
63 · w22%
Distance from peak
90 · w18%
Population growth
85 · w16%
Rent YoY
50 · w12%
Home 10-yr CAGR
65 · w10%
Long thesis

Alvin has held up across the cycle: home values at $294,161 with +4.6% 5-year CAGR. The bull case is structural — population, location, employer base — and holds even if next year's print is soft.

Short thesis

Alvin's bear case is the boring one: the cycle is real and any market that's run hard can stall. Watch for slowing population growth, rising days-on-market, or builder discounts as the early warning signals.

About Alvin

Alvin is a city in Brazoria County, Texas, with an estimated population of 29,869. It anchors the Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land metro area. The population has grown 2.5% per year on average between 2020 and 2024 — among the faster-growing communities in the state. The median home value in Alvin is $294,161 as of 2026-04, up 0.3% over the last 12 months. Over the last five years, home values have averaged +4.6% annual growth, with prices at or near the 5-year peak. Rents in Alvin average $1,566 per month, roughly flat year-over-year (+0.7%). The composite momentum score is 67 of 100 (Rising). The market is healthy with prices supported by underlying demand.

▲ Bull case

●People are voting with their feet: population growing 2.5% per year since 2020 — that’s faster than ~80% of US cities.
●Held the highs: currently -0.1% from the 5-year peak — this market refused to give back gains.

▼ Bear case

○Local nuance: city-level data smooths over neighborhood differences. School zones, HOA rules, and street-level character matter — visit before deciding.

About Alvin (Wikipedia)

Alvin is a city in the U.S. state of Texas within the Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land metropolitan area and Brazoria County. As of the 2020 census, Alvin had a population of 27,098. Alvin's claim to fame is Baseball Hall of Famer Nolan Ryan, who moved with his family to the city in 1947 as an infant and lived there until he moved to Round Rock in 2003. The Nolan Ryan Museum is in the Nolan Ryan Foundation and Exhibit Center on the campus of Alvin Community College. Alvin is also the home town of professional pitcher Nathan Eovaldi and professional football quarterback Joe Ferguson.

Source: Wikipedia · this summary is contributed and licensed under CC-BY-SA.

Playbook

Buyer

You're not in a frenzy but you're not getting bargains either. Make a competitive offer with normal inspection terms. Don't lowball — the listing will move with or without you.

Seller

Price at fair market value; expect movement in 30-45 days. Don't get clever with terms (rent-back, contingencies) — buyers in a Rising market have options.

Investor

Appreciation tailwind exists but cash flow requires discipline on price. Run the numbers conservatively and confirm rent comps before committing.

Local safety & alerts

No active National Weather Service alerts for Brazoria County right now.

NWS active alerts (TX)Texas Emergency ManagementHow to prepare (NWS)

Public-safety links are official .gov sources, not curated by us. Brazoria County routes NWS alerts; check the state EM portal for non-weather emergencies.

Neighborhoods of Alvin

3 tracked · ranked by median home value
1Kendall Lakes$324,758-1.2%
2Callaway Heights$289,551+3.5%
3Easton$189,474+2.9%

Cities like Alvin

Harker Heights, TX60 · StableLa Porte, TX64 · RisingCopperas Cove, TX65 · RisingAthens, TX66 · Rising

Run the numbers for Alvin

ToolCan I afford Alvin?Income → city shortlistToolROI on a Alvin rentalCap rate, cash-on-cash, DSCRToolCompare Alvin to anywhereSide-by-side up to 3 citiesToolAlvin cost-of-livingEquivalent income elsewhere

Sources: Zillow ZHVI (home values), Zillow ZORI (rents), US Census ACS + place population. Updated when source agencies publish revisions.

Climate & natural-disaster risk

Winter (Jan)
60° / 39°
avg high / low
Summer (Jul)
95° / 73°
avg high / low
Sunny days/yr
232
~64% of year
Annual precip
29″ rain
1″ snow
Disaster risk (1=very low, 5=very high)
Hurricane
High
Tornado
Very high
Wildfire
Moderate
Earthquake
Low
Flood
Very high

State-level averages from NOAA Climate Normals (1991-2020) and FEMA National Risk Index. City-level conditions can vary significantly within a state.

Local sports teams

Major professional teams the Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land area cheers for. Detailed stats, schedules, and player pages on intherafters.com.

Current weather

Loading current conditions…

7-day forecast on weather.gov →

Find rentals & listings

Open current Alvin listings on the major real-estate sites.

Links open the live search on the destination site — results are always current.

Local news & community

Updated 2026-05-21 from Google News + Reddit RSS. Headlines link to original sources.

Local economy & environment

Humidity
64%
Moderate climate
Median household income
$73,000
Texas state median
Top industries (state-level)
Energy/Oil & GasTech (Austin)Healthcare

Humidity is annual average relative humidity (NOAA). Income is Census ACS 5-year estimate. Industries are largest employment sectors statewide (BLS); the local mix in a given city may vary.

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