Brownfield, TX — Momentum Score, Home Values & Best-For

All states·Texas·Brownfield

Terry County · population 8,682

AffordabilityBargain huntersShrinkingSmall-town feel
View watchlist →
22
Declining
Momentum score · 0–100

Where Brownfield stands

22% off 5-year peak. home values down 4.3% in the last year. population shrinking 0.7% per year.

Median home $126,023
1-year -4.3%
5-yr CAGR -4.8%
vs 5-yr peak -21.8%
Population -0.7%/yr

Home value trajectory · last 10 years

Zillow ZHVI · monthly
peak 2020-10$126k$111k$133k$155k$177k201620182020202220242026

Lifestyle scores

🚶
Walkability
25/100
Very car-dependent
Estimated from population density. Higher = denser, more amenities within walking distance.
🚉
Public transit
10/100
Transit limited
Curated list of major US transit systems + population-based estimate. Higher = real subway/rail/bus options.
💻
Remote work fit
45/100
Marginal for remote
Composite of city size, housing cost, state tax structure, and region's remote-work track record.

Scores are heuristic estimates from population density, state, and known transit/walkable cities. Not based on a paid Walk Score / Transit Score API — see methodology for the formula.

How the momentum score breaks down

methodology →
Home YoY
28 · w22%
Home 5-yr CAGR
6 · w22%
Distance from peak
21 · w18%
Population growth
34 · w16%
Home 10-yr CAGR
25 · w10%
Long thesis

Brownfield has held up across the cycle: home values at $126,023 with -4.8% 5-year CAGR. The bull case is structural — population, location, employer base — and holds even if next year's print is soft.

Short thesis

Brownfield has given back 22% from its 5-year peak — that's not a healthy correction, it's a market still digesting an overshoot. The bear case is that the floor hasn't been found yet.

About Brownfield

Brownfield is a city in Terry County, Texas, with an estimated population of 8,682. The population has contracted 0.7% per year on average since 2020. The median home value in Brownfield is $126,023 as of 2026-04, down 4.3% over the last 12 months. Over the last five years, home values have averaged -4.8% annual growth, and the market currently sits about 22% below its 5-year peak. The composite momentum score is 22 of 100 (Declining). The market is well off recent highs — patient long-term buyers may find opportunities, but resale liquidity is reduced.

Bull case

Cheap entry point: $126,023 median home is well below the US median of $355k — room to grow without overpaying.
The data is the data: Brownfield has at least 5 years of Zillow tracking, full Census identification, and is included in the 2-criteria momentum score on this page.

Bear case

22% off the 5-year peak. That’s not a healthy correction — that’s a market that ran too far and is still digesting.
Cooling: -4.3% over the trailing year — momentum has stalled.
Flat or shrinking population: -0.7% per year. Housing demand has to come from somewhere — verify the source.
Stagnant long-run trend: -1.5% 10-year CAGR plus flat population — appreciation case is weak.
Thin housing market: small population means fewer transactions and slower resale. Liquidity risk on exit.

Playbook

Buyer

Make sure you're not catching a falling knife. Verify local fundamentals — jobs, population trend, school enrollment — before assuming the bottom is in. Negotiate hard and walk away from anything that doesn't pencil. Brownfield is currently 22% off its 5-year peak — historically, that's been the discount tier of this market.

Seller

Be realistic. Below-list pricing may be required; time is not your friend. If you can wait 2-3 years for the cycle to turn, consider holding.

Investor

Cap rates can look great in Declining markets, but verify tenant pool, income stability, and exit liquidity before committing. A 10% cap on a vacant property is 0%.

Local safety & alerts

No active National Weather Service alerts for Terry County right now.

Public-safety links are official .gov sources, not curated by us. Terry County routes NWS alerts; check the state EM portal for non-weather emergencies.

Cities like Brownfield

Sources: Zillow ZHVI (home values), Zillow ZORI (rents), US Census ACS + place population. Updated when source agencies publish revisions.

Climate & natural-disaster risk

Winter (Jan)
60° / 39°
avg high / low
Summer (Jul)
95° / 73°
avg high / low
Sunny days/yr
232
~64% of year
Annual precip
29″ rain
1″ snow
Disaster risk (1=very low, 5=very high)
Hurricane
High
Tornado
Very high
Wildfire
Moderate
Earthquake
Low
Flood
Very high

State-level averages from NOAA Climate Normals (1991-2020) and FEMA National Risk Index. City-level conditions can vary significantly within a state.

Current weather

Loading current conditions…

7-day forecast on weather.gov →

Find rentals & listings

Open current Brownfield listings on the major real-estate sites.

Links open the live search on the destination site — results are always current.

Local sports teams

Major professional teams the Dallas area cheers for. Detailed stats, schedules, and player pages on intherafters.com.

Local economy & environment

Humidity
64%
Moderate climate
Median household income
$73,000
Texas state median
Top industries (state-level)
Energy/Oil & GasTech (Austin)Healthcare

Humidity is annual average relative humidity (NOAA). Income is Census ACS 5-year estimate. Industries are largest employment sectors statewide (BLS); the local mix in a given city may vary.

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