Buda, TX — Momentum Score, Home Values & Best-For

Hays County · Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown · population 16,090

Bargain huntersRenter-friendlySmall-town feel
View watchlist →
36
Cooling
Momentum score · 0–100

Where Buda stands

26% off 5-year peak. home values down 5.9% in the last year.

Median home $359,234
1-year -5.9%
5-yr CAGR
vs 5-yr peak -25.9%
Population +1.6%/yr

Home value trajectory · last 10 years

Zillow ZHVI · monthly
peak 2022-06$359k$0k$168k$336k$504k201620182020202220242026

Lifestyle scores

🚶
Walkability
32/100
Very car-dependent
Estimated from population density. Higher = denser, more amenities within walking distance.
🚉
Public transit
15/100
Transit limited
Curated list of major US transit systems + population-based estimate. Higher = real subway/rail/bus options.
💻
Remote work fit
78/100
Strong remote-work fit
Composite of city size, housing cost, state tax structure, and region's remote-work track record.

Scores are heuristic estimates from population density, state, and known transit/walkable cities. Not based on a paid Walk Score / Transit Score API — see methodology for the formula.

Rent trajectory · last 5 years

Zillow ZORI · monthly
$1,702/mo$0$1,024$2,047202220242026

Home value vs rent · indexed to 100

Both rebased at first month of ZORI data (~2015)
Home valueRent3592343910580100120140160180200240280320202220242026

Rent vs buy

Price-to-rent ratio: 17.6
Lean buy

At a 17.6 price-to-rent ratio, Buda is in the 'depends on horizon' zone. Buy if you'll be there 5+ years and value flexibility on the home; rent if you might move, want zero maintenance friction, or expect rates to drop.

How the momentum score breaks down

methodology →
Home YoY
21 · w22%
Home 5-yr CAGR
35 · w22%
Distance from peak
16 · w18%
Population growth
74 · w16%
Rent YoY
34 · w12%
Home 10-yr CAGR
53 · w10%
Long thesis

Buda has held up across the cycle: home values at $359,234 with +0.0% 5-year CAGR. The bull case is structural — population, location, employer base — and holds even if next year's print is soft.

Short thesis

Buda has given back 26% from its 5-year peak — that's not a healthy correction, it's a market still digesting an overshoot. The bear case is that the floor hasn't been found yet.

About Buda

Buda is a city in Hays County, Texas, with an estimated population of 16,090. It anchors the Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown metro area. The population grew 1.6% annually from 2020 to 2024, a moderate gain. The median home value in Buda is $359,234 as of 2026-04, down 5.9% over the last 12 months. Rents in Buda average $1,702 per month, down 2.3% year-over-year. The composite momentum score is 36 of 100 (Cooling). Buyers may find more room to negotiate; sellers should price realistically.

Bull case

Net positive migration: population up 1.6% per year — demand fundamentals are intact.
The data is the data: Buda has at least 5 years of Zillow tracking, full Census identification, and is included in the 2-criteria momentum score on this page.

Bear case

Prices actively falling: down 5.9% in the last 12 months — buyer sentiment has flipped. Sellers competing on price.
26% off the 5-year peak. That’s not a healthy correction — that’s a market that ran too far and is still digesting.

Playbook

Buyer

You have leverage. Negotiate price, ask for closing-cost credits, and don't waive inspection. Walk-away power is real in a Cooling market — use it. Buda is currently 26% off its 5-year peak — historically, that's been the discount tier of this market.

Seller

Price aggressively (at or below recent sold comps) or be prepared to wait. Concessions — rate buydowns, closing costs, repair credits — are how deals close right now.

Investor

Cap rates are more attractive than they were 12 months ago but the appreciation tailwind is gone. Confirm tenant demand, vacancy rates, and exit liquidity before committing capital.

Local safety & alerts

No active National Weather Service alerts for Hays County right now.

Public-safety links are official .gov sources, not curated by us. Hays County routes NWS alerts; check the state EM portal for non-weather emergencies.

Cities like Buda

Sources: Zillow ZHVI (home values), Zillow ZORI (rents), US Census ACS + place population. Updated when source agencies publish revisions.

Climate & natural-disaster risk

Winter (Jan)
60° / 39°
avg high / low
Summer (Jul)
95° / 73°
avg high / low
Sunny days/yr
232
~64% of year
Annual precip
29″ rain
1″ snow
Disaster risk (1=very low, 5=very high)
Hurricane
High
Tornado
Very high
Wildfire
Moderate
Earthquake
Low
Flood
Very high

State-level averages from NOAA Climate Normals (1991-2020) and FEMA National Risk Index. City-level conditions can vary significantly within a state.

Current weather

Loading current conditions…

7-day forecast on weather.gov →

Find rentals & listings

Open current Buda listings on the major real-estate sites.

Links open the live search on the destination site — results are always current.

Local sports teams

Major professional teams the Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown area cheers for. Detailed stats, schedules, and player pages on intherafters.com.

Local economy & environment

Humidity
64%
Moderate climate
Median household income
$73,000
Texas state median
Top industries (state-level)
Energy/Oil & GasTech (Austin)Healthcare

Humidity is annual average relative humidity (NOAA). Income is Census ACS 5-year estimate. Industries are largest employment sectors statewide (BLS); the local mix in a given city may vary.

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