Lake Jackson, TX — Momentum Score, Home Values & Best-For

All states·Texas·Lake Jackson

Brazoria County · Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land · population 28,158

First-time buyers
Lake Jackson, TX
Image: Wikipedia · Lake Jackson, Texas
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59
Stable
Momentum score · 0–100

Where Lake Jackson stands

At or near all-time high.

Median home $273,159
1-year +0.7%
5-yr CAGR +3.4%
vs 5-yr peak +0.0%
Population -0.0%/yr

Home value trajectory · last 10 years

Zillow ZHVI · monthly
peak 2026-04$273k$165k$205k$244k$284k201620182020202220242026

Lifestyle scores

🚶
Walkability
32/100
Very car-dependent
Estimated from population density. Higher = denser, more amenities within walking distance.
🚉
Public transit
15/100
Transit limited
Curated list of major US transit systems + population-based estimate. Higher = real subway/rail/bus options.
💻
Remote work fit
91/100
Excellent for remote work
Composite of city size, housing cost, state tax structure, and region's remote-work track record.

Scores are heuristic estimates from population density, state, and known transit/walkable cities. Not based on a paid Walk Score / Transit Score API — see methodology for the formula.

Rent trajectory · last 5 years

Zillow ZORI · monthly
$1,494/mo$1,266$1,442$1,619202220242026

Home value vs rent · indexed to 100

Both rebased at first month of ZORI data (~2015)
Home valueRent107109100202220242026

Rent vs buy

Price-to-rent ratio: 15.2
Lean buy

At a 15.2 price-to-rent ratio, Lake Jackson is in the 'depends on horizon' zone. Buy if you'll be there 5+ years and value flexibility on the home; rent if you might move, want zero maintenance friction, or expect rates to drop.

How the momentum score breaks down

methodology →
Home YoY
53 · w22%
Home 5-yr CAGR
55 · w22%
Distance from peak
90 · w18%
Population growth
45 · w16%
Rent YoY
48 · w12%
Home 10-yr CAGR
57 · w10%
Long thesis

Lake Jackson has held up across the cycle: home values at $273,159 with +3.4% 5-year CAGR. The bull case is structural — population, location, employer base — and holds even if next year's print is soft.

Short thesis

Lake Jackson's bear case is the boring one: the cycle is real and any market that's run hard can stall. Watch for slowing population growth, rising days-on-market, or builder discounts as the early warning signals.

About Lake Jackson

Lake Jackson is a city in Brazoria County, Texas, with an estimated population of 28,158. It anchors the Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land metro area. The median home value in Lake Jackson is $273,159 as of 2026-04, up 0.7% over the last 12 months. Over the last five years, home values have averaged +3.4% annual growth, with prices at or near the 5-year peak. Rents in Lake Jackson average $1,494 per month, roughly flat year-over-year (+0.5%). The composite momentum score is 59 of 100 (Stable). Conditions are neither hot nor cold, so the local fit matters more than market timing.

Bull case

Held the highs: currently +0.0% from the 5-year peak — this market refused to give back gains.
The data is the data: Lake Jackson has at least 5 years of Zillow tracking, full Census identification, and is included in the 2-criteria momentum score on this page.

Bear case

Local nuance: city-level data smooths over neighborhood differences. School zones, HOA rules, and street-level character matter — visit before deciding.

About Lake Jackson (Wikipedia)

Lake Jackson is a city in Brazoria County, Texas, United States, within the Greater Houston metropolitan area. As of the 2020 census, the city population was 28,177.

Source: Wikipedia · this summary is contributed and licensed under CC-BY-SA.

Playbook

Buyer

Lifestyle fit matters more than market timing in a Stable market. Take your time on the home and neighborhood; the macro trend isn't urgent. Negotiate normally.

Seller

Price competitively from day one or risk a 60+ day listing. Staging, photography, and presentation matter more in Stable markets than in Hot ones.

Investor

Stable cap rates, no big appreciation story to lean on. Underwrite this as a pure cash-flow play — the math has to work on rent alone.

Local safety & alerts

No active National Weather Service alerts for Brazoria County right now.

Public-safety links are official .gov sources, not curated by us. Brazoria County routes NWS alerts; check the state EM portal for non-weather emergencies.

Neighborhoods of Lake Jackson

11 tracked · ranked by median home value
1Timbercreek$521,618-1.5%
2Northwood Estates$515,075+1.8%
3Pecan Lake Estates$346,395-1.2%
4Lake Forest$320,861-0.8%
5Flagridge$314,151-1.7%
6Oak Forest$311,181-3.8%
7Tanglewood$281,322+1.3%
8Plantation Village$278,946+1.6%
9Shywood$275,997+4.5%
10Woodland Park$217,267+2.4%
11Parkwood$205,146-1.9%

Cities like Lake Jackson

Sources: Zillow ZHVI (home values), Zillow ZORI (rents), US Census ACS + place population. Updated when source agencies publish revisions.

Climate & natural-disaster risk

Winter (Jan)
60° / 39°
avg high / low
Summer (Jul)
95° / 73°
avg high / low
Sunny days/yr
232
~64% of year
Annual precip
29″ rain
1″ snow
Disaster risk (1=very low, 5=very high)
Hurricane
High
Tornado
Very high
Wildfire
Moderate
Earthquake
Low
Flood
Very high

State-level averages from NOAA Climate Normals (1991-2020) and FEMA National Risk Index. City-level conditions can vary significantly within a state.

Local sports teams

Major professional teams the Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land area cheers for. Detailed stats, schedules, and player pages on intherafters.com.

Current weather

Loading current conditions…

7-day forecast on weather.gov →

Find rentals & listings

Open current Lake Jackson listings on the major real-estate sites.

Links open the live search on the destination site — results are always current.

Local news & community

Updated 2026-05-21 from Google News + Reddit RSS. Headlines link to original sources.

Local economy & environment

Humidity
64%
Moderate climate
Median household income
$73,000
Texas state median
Top industries (state-level)
Energy/Oil & GasTech (Austin)Healthcare

Humidity is annual average relative humidity (NOAA). Income is Census ACS 5-year estimate. Industries are largest employment sectors statewide (BLS); the local mix in a given city may vary.

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