Lakeway, TX — Momentum Score, Home Values & Best-For

All states·Texas·Lakeway

Travis County · Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown · population 19,056

Bargain huntersSmall-town feel
View watchlist →
39
Cooling
Momentum score · 0–100

Where Lakeway stands

23% off 5-year peak.

Median home $746,510
1-year -2.8%
5-yr CAGR
vs 5-yr peak -23.5%
Population -0.2%/yr

Home value trajectory · last 10 years

Zillow ZHVI · monthly
peak 2022-06$747k$0k$338k$676k$1014k201620182020202220242026

Lifestyle scores

🚶
Walkability
32/100
Very car-dependent
Estimated from population density. Higher = denser, more amenities within walking distance.
🚉
Public transit
15/100
Transit limited
Curated list of major US transit systems + population-based estimate. Higher = real subway/rail/bus options.
💻
Remote work fit
60/100
Workable for remote workers
Composite of city size, housing cost, state tax structure, and region's remote-work track record.

Scores are heuristic estimates from population density, state, and known transit/walkable cities. Not based on a paid Walk Score / Transit Score API — see methodology for the formula.

Rent trajectory · last 5 years

Zillow ZORI · monthly
$2,673/mo$2,381$2,688$2,994202220242026

Home value vs rent · indexed to 100

Both rebased at first month of ZORI data (~2015)
Home valueRent87101100202220242026

Rent vs buy

Price-to-rent ratio: 23.3
Lean rent

At a 23.3 price-to-rent ratio, the math is starting to lean toward renting in Lakeway. Owner-occupier ROI requires longer holds and the assumption that prices keep appreciating roughly at the rate of rent.

How the momentum score breaks down

methodology →
Home YoY
36 · w22%
Home 5-yr CAGR
35 · w22%
Distance from peak
19 · w18%
Population growth
42 · w16%
Rent YoY
65 · w12%
Home 10-yr CAGR
59 · w10%
Long thesis

Lakeway has held up across the cycle: home values at $746,510 with +0.0% 5-year CAGR. The bull case is structural — population, location, employer base — and holds even if next year's print is soft.

Short thesis

Lakeway has given back 23% from its 5-year peak — that's not a healthy correction, it's a market still digesting an overshoot. The bear case is that the floor hasn't been found yet.

About Lakeway

Lakeway is a city in Travis County, Texas, with an estimated population of 19,056. It anchors the Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown metro area. The median home value in Lakeway is $746,510 as of 2026-04, down 2.8% over the last 12 months. Rents in Lakeway average $2,673 per month, up 3.0% year-over-year. The composite momentum score is 39 of 100 (Cooling). Buyers may find more room to negotiate; sellers should price realistically.

Bull case

The data is the data: Lakeway has at least 5 years of Zillow tracking, full Census identification, and is included in the 1-criteria momentum score on this page.

Bear case

23% off the 5-year peak. That’s not a healthy correction — that’s a market that ran too far and is still digesting.
Expensive AND not growing: median home $746,510 with only -2.8% YoY. You’re paying premium pricing for a flat trend.
Cooling: -2.8% over the trailing year — momentum has stalled.

Playbook

Buyer

You have leverage. Negotiate price, ask for closing-cost credits, and don't waive inspection. Walk-away power is real in a Cooling market — use it. Lakeway is currently 23% off its 5-year peak — historically, that's been the discount tier of this market.

Seller

Price aggressively (at or below recent sold comps) or be prepared to wait. Concessions — rate buydowns, closing costs, repair credits — are how deals close right now.

Investor

Cap rates are more attractive than they were 12 months ago but the appreciation tailwind is gone. Confirm tenant demand, vacancy rates, and exit liquidity before committing capital.

Local safety & alerts

No active National Weather Service alerts for Travis County right now.

Public-safety links are official .gov sources, not curated by us. Travis County routes NWS alerts; check the state EM portal for non-weather emergencies.

Cities like Lakeway

Sources: Zillow ZHVI (home values), Zillow ZORI (rents), US Census ACS + place population. Updated when source agencies publish revisions.

Climate & natural-disaster risk

Winter (Jan)
60° / 39°
avg high / low
Summer (Jul)
95° / 73°
avg high / low
Sunny days/yr
232
~64% of year
Annual precip
29″ rain
1″ snow
Disaster risk (1=very low, 5=very high)
Hurricane
High
Tornado
Very high
Wildfire
Moderate
Earthquake
Low
Flood
Very high

State-level averages from NOAA Climate Normals (1991-2020) and FEMA National Risk Index. City-level conditions can vary significantly within a state.

Current weather

Loading current conditions…

7-day forecast on weather.gov →

Find rentals & listings

Open current Lakeway listings on the major real-estate sites.

Links open the live search on the destination site — results are always current.

Local sports teams

Major professional teams the Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown area cheers for. Detailed stats, schedules, and player pages on intherafters.com.

Local economy & environment

Humidity
64%
Moderate climate
Median household income
$73,000
Texas state median
Top industries (state-level)
Energy/Oil & GasTech (Austin)Healthcare

Humidity is annual average relative humidity (NOAA). Income is Census ACS 5-year estimate. Industries are largest employment sectors statewide (BLS); the local mix in a given city may vary.

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