Lamesa, TX — Momentum Score, Home Values & Best-For

All states·Texas·Lamesa

Dawson County · Lamesa · population 8,108

AffordabilityShrinkingSmall-town feel
OverviewCost of livingMoving guide
View watchlist →
40
Cooling
Momentum score · 0–100

Where Lamesa stands

Home values up 7.8% in the last year. population shrinking 1.7% per year.

Median home $115,275
1-year +7.8%
5-yr CAGR -2.8%
vs 5-yr peak -13.6%
Population -1.7%/yr

Home value trajectory · last 10 years

Zillow ZHVI · monthly
peak 2021-05$115k$90k$107k$123k$139k201620182020202220242026

Lifestyle scores

🚶
Walkability
25/100
Very car-dependent
Estimated from population density. Higher = denser, more amenities within walking distance.
🚉
Public transit
10/100
Transit limited
Curated list of major US transit systems + population-based estimate. Higher = real subway/rail/bus options.
💻
Remote work fit
53/100
Workable for remote workers
Composite of city size, housing cost, state tax structure, and region's remote-work track record.

Scores are heuristic estimates from population density, state, and known transit/walkable cities. Not based on a paid Walk Score / Transit Score API — see methodology for the formula.

How the momentum score breaks down

methodology →
Home YoY
84 · w22%
Home 5-yr CAGR
18 · w22%
Distance from peak
34 · w18%
Population growth
20 · w16%
Home 10-yr CAGR
35 · w10%
Long thesis

Lamesa is 14% off its 5-year peak and turning back up (+7.8% in the last year). Classic 'bought back the dip' setup — risk is that the trend reverses, reward is that it doesn't and you got in early.

Short thesis

Lamesa's population is shrinking 1.7% per year. Housing demand has to come from somewhere — if people are leaving, the buyer pool is shrinking faster than the inventory. That eventually shows up in price.

About Lamesa

Lamesa is a city in Dawson County, Texas, with an estimated population of 8,108. The population has contracted 1.7% per year on average since 2020. The median home value in Lamesa is $115,275 as of 2026-04, up 7.8% over the last 12 months. Over the last five years, home values have averaged -2.8% annual growth, and the market currently sits about 14% below its 5-year peak. The composite momentum score is 40 of 100 (Cooling). Buyers may find more room to negotiate; sellers should price realistically.

▲ Bull case

●Trend still working: prices up 7.8% in the last 12 months — buyers are still chasing inventory.
●Affordable AND rising: median home $115,275 with positive recent direction — rare combination most of the country can’t offer.

▼ Bear case

●Net out-migration: population shrinking 1.7% per year — services, schools, and tax base will follow.
●14% off recent peak — buyers are getting through-the-cycle pricing, not the peak.
●Stagnant long-run trend: +1.4% 10-year CAGR plus flat population — appreciation case is weak.
○Thin housing market: small population means fewer transactions and slower resale. Liquidity risk on exit.

Playbook

Buyer

You have leverage. Negotiate price, ask for closing-cost credits, and don't waive inspection. Walk-away power is real in a Cooling market — use it.

Seller

Price aggressively (at or below recent sold comps) or be prepared to wait. Concessions — rate buydowns, closing costs, repair credits — are how deals close right now.

Investor

Cap rates are more attractive than they were 12 months ago but the appreciation tailwind is gone. Confirm tenant demand, vacancy rates, and exit liquidity before committing capital.

Local safety & alerts

No active National Weather Service alerts for Dawson County right now.

NWS active alerts (TX)Texas Emergency ManagementHow to prepare (NWS)

Public-safety links are official .gov sources, not curated by us. Dawson County routes NWS alerts; check the state EM portal for non-weather emergencies.

Cities like Lamesa

Kermit, TX45 · CoolingRaymondville, TX45 · CoolingBig Spring, TX33 · CoolingSinton, TX50 · Stable

Run the numbers for Lamesa

ToolCan I afford Lamesa?Income → city shortlistToolROI on a Lamesa rentalCap rate, cash-on-cash, DSCRToolCompare Lamesa to anywhereSide-by-side up to 3 citiesToolLamesa cost-of-livingEquivalent income elsewhere

Sources: Zillow ZHVI (home values), Zillow ZORI (rents), US Census ACS + place population. Updated when source agencies publish revisions.

Climate & natural-disaster risk

Winter (Jan)
60° / 39°
avg high / low
Summer (Jul)
95° / 73°
avg high / low
Sunny days/yr
232
~64% of year
Annual precip
29″ rain
1″ snow
Disaster risk (1=very low, 5=very high)
Hurricane
High
Tornado
Very high
Wildfire
Moderate
Earthquake
Low
Flood
Very high

State-level averages from NOAA Climate Normals (1991-2020) and FEMA National Risk Index. City-level conditions can vary significantly within a state.

Current weather

Loading current conditions…

7-day forecast on weather.gov →

Find rentals & listings

Open current Lamesa listings on the major real-estate sites.

Links open the live search on the destination site — results are always current.

Local sports teams

Major professional teams the Lamesa area cheers for. Detailed stats, schedules, and player pages on intherafters.com.

Local economy & environment

Humidity
64%
Moderate climate
Median household income
$73,000
Texas state median
Top industries (state-level)
Energy/Oil & GasTech (Austin)Healthcare

Humidity is annual average relative humidity (NOAA). Income is Census ACS 5-year estimate. Industries are largest employment sectors statewide (BLS); the local mix in a given city may vary.

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