Lavon, TX — Momentum Score, Home Values & Best-For

Collin County · Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington · population 8,491

Bargain huntersGrowing fastRenter-friendlySmall-town feel
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41
Cooling
Momentum score · 0–100

Where Lavon stands

21% off 5-year peak. home values down 8.0% in the last year. population growing 17.4% per year.

Median home $347,660
1-year -8.0%
5-yr CAGR +1.7%
vs 5-yr peak -21.4%
Population +17.4%/yr

Home value trajectory · last 10 years

Zillow ZHVI · monthly
peak 2022-07$348k$221k$301k$381k$460k201620182020202220242026

Lifestyle scores

🚶
Walkability
25/100
Very car-dependent
Estimated from population density. Higher = denser, more amenities within walking distance.
🚉
Public transit
10/100
Transit limited
Curated list of major US transit systems + population-based estimate. Higher = real subway/rail/bus options.
💻
Remote work fit
73/100
Strong remote-work fit
Composite of city size, housing cost, state tax structure, and region's remote-work track record.

Scores are heuristic estimates from population density, state, and known transit/walkable cities. Not based on a paid Walk Score / Transit Score API — see methodology for the formula.

Rent trajectory · last 5 years

Zillow ZORI · monthly
$2,416/mo$2,215$2,418$2,6202026

Home value vs rent · indexed to 100

Both rebased at first month of ZORI data (~2015)
Home valueRent92991002026

Rent vs buy

Price-to-rent ratio: 12.0
Buy

At a 12.0 price-to-rent ratio, buying generally beats renting in Lavon on a long-enough horizon. The headline math is that one year of mortgage payments approximates 12.0 years of rent — well below the 15+ threshold where ownership starts to dominate.

How the momentum score breaks down

methodology →
Home YoY
13 · w22%
Home 5-yr CAGR
45 · w22%
Distance from peak
21 · w18%
Population growth
90 · w16%
Rent YoY
41 · w12%
Home 10-yr CAGR
53 · w10%
Long thesis

Lavon has held up across the cycle: home values at $347,660 with +1.7% 5-year CAGR. The bull case is structural — population, location, employer base — and holds even if next year's print is soft.

Short thesis

Lavon has given back 21% from its 5-year peak — that's not a healthy correction, it's a market still digesting an overshoot. The bear case is that the floor hasn't been found yet.

About Lavon

Lavon is a city in Collin County, Texas, with an estimated population of 8,491. It anchors the Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington metro area. The population has grown 17.4% per year on average between 2020 and 2024 — among the faster-growing communities in the state. The median home value in Lavon is $347,660 as of 2026-04, down 8.0% over the last 12 months. Over the last five years, home values have averaged +1.7% annual growth, and the market currently sits about 21% below its 5-year peak. Rents in Lavon average $2,416 per month, roughly flat year-over-year (-0.8%). The composite momentum score is 41 of 100 (Cooling). Buyers may find more room to negotiate; sellers should price realistically.

Bull case

People are voting with their feet: population growing 17.4% per year since 2020 — that’s faster than ~80% of US cities.
The data is the data: Lavon has at least 5 years of Zillow tracking, full Census identification, and is included in the 2-criteria momentum score on this page.

Bear case

Prices actively falling: down 8.0% in the last 12 months — buyer sentiment has flipped. Sellers competing on price.
21% off the 5-year peak. That’s not a healthy correction — that’s a market that ran too far and is still digesting.

Playbook

Buyer

You have leverage. Negotiate price, ask for closing-cost credits, and don't waive inspection. Walk-away power is real in a Cooling market — use it. Lavon is currently 21% off its 5-year peak — historically, that's been the discount tier of this market.

Seller

Price aggressively (at or below recent sold comps) or be prepared to wait. Concessions — rate buydowns, closing costs, repair credits — are how deals close right now.

Investor

Cap rates are more attractive than they were 12 months ago but the appreciation tailwind is gone. Confirm tenant demand, vacancy rates, and exit liquidity before committing capital.

Local safety & alerts

No active National Weather Service alerts for Collin County right now.

Public-safety links are official .gov sources, not curated by us. Collin County routes NWS alerts; check the state EM portal for non-weather emergencies.

Cities like Lavon

Sources: Zillow ZHVI (home values), Zillow ZORI (rents), US Census ACS + place population. Updated when source agencies publish revisions.

Climate & natural-disaster risk

Winter (Jan)
60° / 39°
avg high / low
Summer (Jul)
95° / 73°
avg high / low
Sunny days/yr
232
~64% of year
Annual precip
29″ rain
1″ snow
Disaster risk (1=very low, 5=very high)
Hurricane
High
Tornado
Very high
Wildfire
Moderate
Earthquake
Low
Flood
Very high

State-level averages from NOAA Climate Normals (1991-2020) and FEMA National Risk Index. City-level conditions can vary significantly within a state.

Local sports teams

Major professional teams the Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington area cheers for. Detailed stats, schedules, and player pages on intherafters.com.

Current weather

Loading current conditions…

7-day forecast on weather.gov →

Find rentals & listings

Open current Lavon listings on the major real-estate sites.

Links open the live search on the destination site — results are always current.

Local economy & environment

Humidity
64%
Moderate climate
Median household income
$73,000
Texas state median
Top industries (state-level)
Energy/Oil & GasTech (Austin)Healthcare

Humidity is annual average relative humidity (NOAA). Income is Census ACS 5-year estimate. Industries are largest employment sectors statewide (BLS); the local mix in a given city may vary.

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