Rosenberg, TX — Momentum Score, Home Values & Best-For

All states·Texas·Rosenberg

Fort Bend County · Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land · population 42,571

Growing fast
Rosenberg, TX
Image: Wikipedia · Rosenberg, Texas
View watchlist →
58
Stable
Momentum score · 0–100

Where Rosenberg stands

Population growing 2.7% per year.

Median home $315,042
1-year -2.7%
5-yr CAGR +4.0%
vs 5-yr peak -4.6%
Population +2.7%/yr

Home value trajectory · last 10 years

Zillow ZHVI · monthly
peak 2022-09$315k$175k$231k$287k$343k201620182020202220242026

Lifestyle scores

🚶
Walkability
32/100
Very car-dependent
Estimated from population density. Higher = denser, more amenities within walking distance.
🚉
Public transit
22/100
Transit limited
Curated list of major US transit systems + population-based estimate. Higher = real subway/rail/bus options.
💻
Remote work fit
100/100
Excellent for remote work
Composite of city size, housing cost, state tax structure, and region's remote-work track record.

Scores are heuristic estimates from population density, state, and known transit/walkable cities. Not based on a paid Walk Score / Transit Score API — see methodology for the formula.

Rent trajectory · last 5 years

Zillow ZORI · monthly
$1,783/mo$1,537$1,746$1,954202220242026

Home value vs rent · indexed to 100

Both rebased at first month of ZORI data (~2015)
Home valueRent109107100202220242026

Rent vs buy

Price-to-rent ratio: 14.7
Buy

At a 14.7 price-to-rent ratio, buying generally beats renting in Rosenberg on a long-enough horizon. The headline math is that one year of mortgage payments approximates 14.7 years of rent — well below the 15+ threshold where ownership starts to dominate.

How the momentum score breaks down

methodology →
Home YoY
37 · w22%
Home 5-yr CAGR
59 · w22%
Distance from peak
62 · w18%
Population growth
87 · w16%
Rent YoY
50 · w12%
Home 10-yr CAGR
63 · w10%
Long thesis

Rosenberg has held up across the cycle: home values at $315,042 with +4.0% 5-year CAGR. The bull case is structural — population, location, employer base — and holds even if next year's print is soft.

Short thesis

Rosenberg's bear case is the boring one: the cycle is real and any market that's run hard can stall. Watch for slowing population growth, rising days-on-market, or builder discounts as the early warning signals.

About Rosenberg

Rosenberg is a city in Fort Bend County, Texas, with an estimated population of 42,571. It anchors the Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land metro area. The population has grown 2.7% per year on average between 2020 and 2024 — among the faster-growing communities in the state. The median home value in Rosenberg is $315,042 as of 2026-04, down 2.7% over the last 12 months. Over the last five years, home values have averaged +4.0% annual growth (-4.6% from the 5-year peak). Rents in Rosenberg average $1,783 per month, roughly flat year-over-year (+0.7%). The composite momentum score is 58 of 100 (Stable). Conditions are neither hot nor cold, so the local fit matters more than market timing.

Bull case

People are voting with their feet: population growing 2.7% per year since 2020 — that’s faster than ~80% of US cities.
The data is the data: Rosenberg has at least 5 years of Zillow tracking, full Census identification, and is included in the 2-criteria momentum score on this page.

Bear case

Cooling: -2.7% over the trailing year — momentum has stalled.
Local nuance: city-level data smooths over neighborhood differences. School zones, HOA rules, and street-level character matter — visit before deciding.

About Rosenberg (Wikipedia)

Rosenberg is a city in the U.S. state of Texas, within the Houston–The Woodlands–Sugar Land metropolitan area and Fort Bend County. It was named for Henry Von Rosenberg, who immigrated to Texas from Switzerland in 1843. Von Rosenberg was an important figure in the settlement of Fort Bend County and the Gulf Coast region. The population was 38,282 at the 2020 census, up from 30,618 at the 2010 census. The community holds the Fort Bend County fair in October. Rosenberg is adjacent to the city of Richmond, the Fort Bend county seat.

Source: Wikipedia · this summary is contributed and licensed under CC-BY-SA.

Playbook

Buyer

Lifestyle fit matters more than market timing in a Stable market. Take your time on the home and neighborhood; the macro trend isn't urgent. Negotiate normally.

Seller

Price competitively from day one or risk a 60+ day listing. Staging, photography, and presentation matter more in Stable markets than in Hot ones.

Investor

Stable cap rates, no big appreciation story to lean on. Underwrite this as a pure cash-flow play — the math has to work on rent alone.

Local safety & alerts

No active National Weather Service alerts for Fort Bend County right now.

Public-safety links are official .gov sources, not curated by us. Fort Bend County routes NWS alerts; check the state EM portal for non-weather emergencies.

Neighborhoods of Rosenberg

8 tracked · ranked by median home value
1Brazos Town Center$375,065-1.9%
2Summer Lakes$363,839-4.0%
3The Oaks of Rosenberg$332,741-3.5%
4Villages of Town Center$273,728-2.1%
5Seabourne Parke$256,474-2.6%
6Cottonwood$255,674-2.0%
7Cambridge Village$249,347-1.6%
8Greenwood$208,815-2.8%

Cities like Rosenberg

Sources: Zillow ZHVI (home values), Zillow ZORI (rents), US Census ACS + place population. Updated when source agencies publish revisions.

Climate & natural-disaster risk

Winter (Jan)
60° / 39°
avg high / low
Summer (Jul)
95° / 73°
avg high / low
Sunny days/yr
232
~64% of year
Annual precip
29″ rain
1″ snow
Disaster risk (1=very low, 5=very high)
Hurricane
High
Tornado
Very high
Wildfire
Moderate
Earthquake
Low
Flood
Very high

State-level averages from NOAA Climate Normals (1991-2020) and FEMA National Risk Index. City-level conditions can vary significantly within a state.

Local sports teams

Major professional teams the Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land area cheers for. Detailed stats, schedules, and player pages on intherafters.com.

Current weather

Loading current conditions…

7-day forecast on weather.gov →

Find rentals & listings

Open current Rosenberg listings on the major real-estate sites.

Links open the live search on the destination site — results are always current.

Local news & community

Updated 2026-05-21 from Google News + Reddit RSS. Headlines link to original sources.

Local economy & environment

Humidity
64%
Moderate climate
Median household income
$73,000
Texas state median
Top industries (state-level)
Energy/Oil & GasTech (Austin)Healthcare

Humidity is annual average relative humidity (NOAA). Income is Census ACS 5-year estimate. Industries are largest employment sectors statewide (BLS); the local mix in a given city may vary.

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