Selma, TX — Momentum Score, Home Values & Best-For

Bexar County · San Antonio-New Braunfels · population 11,900

First-time buyersGrowing fastRenter-friendlySmall-town feel
View watchlist →
47
Cooling
Momentum score · 0–100

Where Selma stands

Population growing 2.1% per year.

Median home $288,392
1-year -2.7%
5-yr CAGR +2.7%
vs 5-yr peak -11.9%
Population +2.1%/yr

Home value trajectory · last 10 years

Zillow ZHVI · monthly
peak 2022-08$288k$182k$235k$288k$340k201620182020202220242026

Lifestyle scores

🚶
Walkability
25/100
Very car-dependent
Estimated from population density. Higher = denser, more amenities within walking distance.
🚉
Public transit
15/100
Transit limited
Curated list of major US transit systems + population-based estimate. Higher = real subway/rail/bus options.
💻
Remote work fit
73/100
Strong remote-work fit
Composite of city size, housing cost, state tax structure, and region's remote-work track record.

Scores are heuristic estimates from population density, state, and known transit/walkable cities. Not based on a paid Walk Score / Transit Score API — see methodology for the formula.

Rent trajectory · last 5 years

Zillow ZORI · monthly
$1,317/mo$1,238$1,381$1,523202220242026

Home value vs rent · indexed to 100

Both rebased at first month of ZORI data (~2015)
Home valueRent9698100202220242026

Rent vs buy

Price-to-rent ratio: 18.3
Lean buy

At a 18.3 price-to-rent ratio, Selma is in the 'depends on horizon' zone. Buy if you'll be there 5+ years and value flexibility on the home; rent if you might move, want zero maintenance friction, or expect rates to drop.

How the momentum score breaks down

methodology →
Home YoY
37 · w22%
Home 5-yr CAGR
51 · w22%
Distance from peak
39 · w18%
Population growth
81 · w16%
Rent YoY
20 · w12%
Home 10-yr CAGR
54 · w10%
Long thesis

Selma has held up across the cycle: home values at $288,392 with +2.7% 5-year CAGR. The bull case is structural — population, location, employer base — and holds even if next year's print is soft.

Short thesis

Selma's rents are softening (-5.2% YoY) while home values stall (-2.7%). When rents fall, the cap-rate math gets ugly for investors and the 'rent vs buy' equation tilts toward renting — neither helps prices.

About Selma

Selma is a city in Bexar County, Texas, with an estimated population of 11,900. It anchors the San Antonio-New Braunfels metro area. The population has grown 2.1% per year on average between 2020 and 2024 — among the faster-growing communities in the state. The median home value in Selma is $288,392 as of 2026-04, down 2.7% over the last 12 months. Over the last five years, home values have averaged +2.7% annual growth, and the market currently sits about 12% below its 5-year peak. Rents in Selma average $1,317 per month, down 5.2% year-over-year. The composite momentum score is 47 of 100 (Cooling). Buyers may find more room to negotiate; sellers should price realistically.

Bull case

People are voting with their feet: population growing 2.1% per year since 2020 — that’s faster than ~80% of US cities.
The data is the data: Selma has at least 5 years of Zillow tracking, full Census identification, and is included in the 2-criteria momentum score on this page.

Bear case

Cooling: -2.7% over the trailing year — momentum has stalled.
12% off recent peak — buyers are getting through-the-cycle pricing, not the peak.

Playbook

Buyer

You have leverage. Negotiate price, ask for closing-cost credits, and don't waive inspection. Walk-away power is real in a Cooling market — use it.

Seller

Price aggressively (at or below recent sold comps) or be prepared to wait. Concessions — rate buydowns, closing costs, repair credits — are how deals close right now.

Investor

Cap rates are more attractive than they were 12 months ago but the appreciation tailwind is gone. Confirm tenant demand, vacancy rates, and exit liquidity before committing capital.

Local safety & alerts

No active National Weather Service alerts for Bexar County right now.

Public-safety links are official .gov sources, not curated by us. Bexar County routes NWS alerts; check the state EM portal for non-weather emergencies.

Cities like Selma

Sources: Zillow ZHVI (home values), Zillow ZORI (rents), US Census ACS + place population. Updated when source agencies publish revisions.

Climate & natural-disaster risk

Winter (Jan)
60° / 39°
avg high / low
Summer (Jul)
95° / 73°
avg high / low
Sunny days/yr
232
~64% of year
Annual precip
29″ rain
1″ snow
Disaster risk (1=very low, 5=very high)
Hurricane
High
Tornado
Very high
Wildfire
Moderate
Earthquake
Low
Flood
Very high

State-level averages from NOAA Climate Normals (1991-2020) and FEMA National Risk Index. City-level conditions can vary significantly within a state.

Local sports teams

Major professional teams the San Antonio-New Braunfels area cheers for. Detailed stats, schedules, and player pages on intherafters.com.

Current weather

Loading current conditions…

7-day forecast on weather.gov →

Find rentals & listings

Open current Selma listings on the major real-estate sites.

Links open the live search on the destination site — results are always current.

Local economy & environment

Humidity
64%
Moderate climate
Median household income
$73,000
Texas state median
Top industries (state-level)
Energy/Oil & GasTech (Austin)Healthcare

Humidity is annual average relative humidity (NOAA). Income is Census ACS 5-year estimate. Industries are largest employment sectors statewide (BLS); the local mix in a given city may vary.

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