Waxahachie, TX — Momentum Score, Home Values & Best-For

All states·Texas·Waxahachie

Ellis County · Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington · population 48,617

Growing fast
Waxahachie, TX
Image: Wikipedia · Waxahachie, Texas
OverviewCost of livingMoving guide
View watchlist →
61
Stable
Momentum score · 0–100

Where Waxahachie stands

Population growing 4.3% per year.

Median home $373,017
1-year -2.2%
5-yr CAGR +4.2%
vs 5-yr peak -5.7%
Population +4.3%/yr

Home value trajectory · last 10 years

Zillow ZHVI · monthly
peak 2022-08$373k$187k$262k$337k$412k201620182020202220242026

Lifestyle scores

🚶
Walkability
32/100
Very car-dependent
Estimated from population density. Higher = denser, more amenities within walking distance.
🚉
Public transit
22/100
Transit limited
Curated list of major US transit systems + population-based estimate. Higher = real subway/rail/bus options.
💻
Remote work fit
100/100
Excellent for remote work
Composite of city size, housing cost, state tax structure, and region's remote-work track record.

Scores are heuristic estimates from population density, state, and known transit/walkable cities. Not based on a paid Walk Score / Transit Score API — see methodology for the formula.

Rent trajectory · last 5 years

Zillow ZORI · monthly
$1,699/mo$1,268$1,538$1,809202220242026

Home value vs rent · indexed to 100

Both rebased at first month of ZORI data (~2015)
Home valueRent123126100120202220242026

Rent vs buy

Price-to-rent ratio: 18.3
Lean buy

At a 18.3 price-to-rent ratio, Waxahachie is in the 'depends on horizon' zone. Buy if you'll be there 5+ years and value flexibility on the home; rent if you might move, want zero maintenance friction, or expect rates to drop.

How the momentum score breaks down

methodology →
Home YoY
39 · w22%
Home 5-yr CAGR
60 · w22%
Distance from peak
58 · w18%
Population growth
90 · w16%
Rent YoY
58 · w12%
Home 10-yr CAGR
70 · w10%
Long thesis

Waxahachie has held up across the cycle: home values at $373,017 with +4.2% 5-year CAGR. The bull case is structural — population, location, employer base — and holds even if next year's print is soft.

Short thesis

Waxahachie's bear case is the boring one: the cycle is real and any market that's run hard can stall. Watch for slowing population growth, rising days-on-market, or builder discounts as the early warning signals.

About Waxahachie

Waxahachie is a city in Ellis County, Texas, with an estimated population of 48,617. It anchors the Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington metro area. The population has grown 4.3% per year on average between 2020 and 2024 — among the faster-growing communities in the state. The median home value in Waxahachie is $373,017 as of 2026-04, down 2.2% over the last 12 months. Over the last five years, home values have averaged +4.2% annual growth (-5.7% from the 5-year peak). Rents in Waxahachie average $1,699 per month, roughly flat year-over-year (+1.9%). The composite momentum score is 61 of 100 (Stable). Conditions are neither hot nor cold, so the local fit matters more than market timing.

▲ Bull case

●People are voting with their feet: population growing 4.3% per year since 2020 — that’s faster than ~80% of US cities.
○The data is the data: Waxahachie has at least 5 years of Zillow tracking, full Census identification, and is included in the 2-criteria momentum score on this page.

▼ Bear case

●Cooling: -2.2% over the trailing year — momentum has stalled.
○Local nuance: city-level data smooths over neighborhood differences. School zones, HOA rules, and street-level character matter — visit before deciding.

About Waxahachie (Wikipedia)

Waxahachie is a city in and the county seat of Ellis County, Texas, United States. Its population was 41,140 in 2020. The city was founded in 1850, and incorporated in 1871. Much of the employment is provided by a number of industries and by educational institutions, including primary and secondary schools, a community college and a private university. In the mid-1980s, the city became a filming location for a number of movies and occasional episodes of television series.

Source: Wikipedia · this summary is contributed and licensed under CC-BY-SA.

Playbook

Buyer

Lifestyle fit matters more than market timing in a Stable market. Take your time on the home and neighborhood; the macro trend isn't urgent. Negotiate normally.

Seller

Price competitively from day one or risk a 60+ day listing. Staging, photography, and presentation matter more in Stable markets than in Hot ones.

Investor

Stable cap rates, no big appreciation story to lean on. Underwrite this as a pure cash-flow play — the math has to work on rent alone.

Local safety & alerts

No active National Weather Service alerts for Ellis County right now.

NWS active alerts (TX)Texas Emergency ManagementHow to prepare (NWS)

Public-safety links are official .gov sources, not curated by us. Ellis County routes NWS alerts; check the state EM portal for non-weather emergencies.

Neighborhoods of Waxahachie

12 tracked · ranked by median home value
1Spring Creek$590,877+2.2%
2Tecumseh Park Estates$490,245-1.7%
3Saddle Brook Estates$349,640-3.9%
4Chapman Place$344,353-3.1%
5Garden Valley Ranch$343,663-3.2%
6Indian Hill$330,946-2.9%
7Mustang Creek$326,866-1.2%
8Windchase$317,109-2.8%
9River Oaks$295,931-1.3%
10Gingerbread Village$280,089-2.2%
11University$258,089-5.1%
12Bellevue$236,084-5.1%

Cities like Waxahachie

Burleson, TX60 · StableTemple, TX57 · StableRockwall, TX61 · StableEnnis, TX64 · Rising

Run the numbers for Waxahachie

ToolCan I afford Waxahachie?Income → city shortlistToolROI on a Waxahachie rentalCap rate, cash-on-cash, DSCRToolCompare Waxahachie to anywhereSide-by-side up to 3 citiesToolWaxahachie cost-of-livingEquivalent income elsewhere

Sources: Zillow ZHVI (home values), Zillow ZORI (rents), US Census ACS + place population. Updated when source agencies publish revisions.

Climate & natural-disaster risk

Winter (Jan)
60° / 39°
avg high / low
Summer (Jul)
95° / 73°
avg high / low
Sunny days/yr
232
~64% of year
Annual precip
29″ rain
1″ snow
Disaster risk (1=very low, 5=very high)
Hurricane
High
Tornado
Very high
Wildfire
Moderate
Earthquake
Low
Flood
Very high

State-level averages from NOAA Climate Normals (1991-2020) and FEMA National Risk Index. City-level conditions can vary significantly within a state.

Local sports teams

Major professional teams the Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington area cheers for. Detailed stats, schedules, and player pages on intherafters.com.

Current weather

Loading current conditions…

7-day forecast on weather.gov →

Find rentals & listings

Open current Waxahachie listings on the major real-estate sites.

Links open the live search on the destination site — results are always current.

Local news & community

Updated 2026-05-21 from Google News + Reddit RSS. Headlines link to original sources.

Local economy & environment

Humidity
64%
Moderate climate
Median household income
$73,000
Texas state median
Top industries (state-level)
Energy/Oil & GasTech (Austin)Healthcare

Humidity is annual average relative humidity (NOAA). Income is Census ACS 5-year estimate. Industries are largest employment sectors statewide (BLS); the local mix in a given city may vary.

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