Manassas Park, VA — Momentum Score, Home Values & Best-For

All states·Virginia·Manassas Park

Manassas Park city · Washington-Arlington-Alexandria · population 16,611

ShrinkingRenter-friendlySmall-town feel
View watchlist →
59
Stable
Momentum score · 0–100

Where Manassas Park stands

At or near all-time high. population shrinking 0.9% per year.

Median home $461,901
1-year +1.2%
5-yr CAGR +4.8%
vs 5-yr peak -0.3%
Population -0.9%/yr

Home value trajectory · last 10 years

Zillow ZHVI · monthly
peak 2026-02$462k$247k$325k$403k$482k201620182020202220242026

Lifestyle scores

🚶
Walkability
32/100
Very car-dependent
Estimated from population density. Higher = denser, more amenities within walking distance.
🚉
Public transit
15/100
Transit limited
Curated list of major US transit systems + population-based estimate. Higher = real subway/rail/bus options.
💻
Remote work fit
66/100
Strong remote-work fit
Composite of city size, housing cost, state tax structure, and region's remote-work track record.

Scores are heuristic estimates from population density, state, and known transit/walkable cities. Not based on a paid Walk Score / Transit Score API — see methodology for the formula.

Rent trajectory · last 5 years

Zillow ZORI · monthly
$2,138/mo$1,508$1,918$2,328202220242026

Home value vs rent · indexed to 100

Both rebased at first month of ZORI data (~2015)
Home valueRent126133100120140202220242026

Rent vs buy

Price-to-rent ratio: 18.0
Lean buy

At a 18.0 price-to-rent ratio, Manassas Park is in the 'depends on horizon' zone. Buy if you'll be there 5+ years and value flexibility on the home; rent if you might move, want zero maintenance friction, or expect rates to drop.

How the momentum score breaks down

methodology →
Home YoY
56 · w22%
Home 5-yr CAGR
64 · w22%
Distance from peak
88 · w18%
Population growth
32 · w16%
Rent YoY
40 · w12%
Home 10-yr CAGR
66 · w10%
Long thesis

Manassas Park has held up across the cycle: home values at $461,901 with +4.8% 5-year CAGR. The bull case is structural — population, location, employer base — and holds even if next year's print is soft.

Short thesis

Manassas Park's population is shrinking 0.9% per year. Housing demand has to come from somewhere — if people are leaving, the buyer pool is shrinking faster than the inventory. That eventually shows up in price.

About Manassas Park

Manassas Park is a city in Manassas Park city, Virginia, with an estimated population of 16,611. It anchors the Washington-Arlington-Alexandria metro area. The population has contracted 0.9% per year on average since 2020. The median home value in Manassas Park is $461,901 as of 2026-04, up 1.2% over the last 12 months. Over the last five years, home values have averaged +4.8% annual growth, with prices at or near the 5-year peak. Rents in Manassas Park average $2,138 per month, roughly flat year-over-year (-1.0%). The composite momentum score is 59 of 100 (Stable). Conditions are neither hot nor cold, so the local fit matters more than market timing.

Bull case

Held the highs: currently -0.3% from the 5-year peak — this market refused to give back gains.
The data is the data: Manassas Park has at least 5 years of Zillow tracking, full Census identification, and is included in the 2-criteria momentum score on this page.

Bear case

Flat or shrinking population: -0.9% per year. Housing demand has to come from somewhere — verify the source.
Local nuance: city-level data smooths over neighborhood differences. School zones, HOA rules, and street-level character matter — visit before deciding.

Playbook

Buyer

Lifestyle fit matters more than market timing in a Stable market. Take your time on the home and neighborhood; the macro trend isn't urgent. Negotiate normally.

Seller

Price competitively from day one or risk a 60+ day listing. Staging, photography, and presentation matter more in Stable markets than in Hot ones.

Investor

Stable cap rates, no big appreciation story to lean on. Underwrite this as a pure cash-flow play — the math has to work on rent alone.

Local safety & alerts

No active National Weather Service alerts for Manassas Park city right now.

Public-safety links are official .gov sources, not curated by us. Manassas Park city routes NWS alerts; check the state EM portal for non-weather emergencies.

Cities like Manassas Park

Sources: Zillow ZHVI (home values), Zillow ZORI (rents), US Census ACS + place population. Updated when source agencies publish revisions.

Climate & natural-disaster risk

Winter (Jan)
47° / 27°
avg high / low
Summer (Jul)
87° / 65°
avg high / low
Sunny days/yr
205
~56% of year
Annual precip
44″ rain
14″ snow
Disaster risk (1=very low, 5=very high)
Hurricane
Moderate
Tornado
Low
Wildfire
Low
Earthquake
Low
Flood
Moderate

State-level averages from NOAA Climate Normals (1991-2020) and FEMA National Risk Index. City-level conditions can vary significantly within a state.

Local sports teams

Major professional teams the Washington-Arlington-Alexandria area cheers for. Detailed stats, schedules, and player pages on intherafters.com.

Current weather

Loading current conditions…

7-day forecast on weather.gov →

Find rentals & listings

Open current Manassas Park listings on the major real-estate sites.

Links open the live search on the destination site — results are always current.

Local economy & environment

Humidity
70%
Humid climate
Median household income
$87,200
Virginia state median
Top industries (state-level)
Government/DefenseTech (NoVa)Shipbuilding

Humidity is annual average relative humidity (NOAA). Income is Census ACS 5-year estimate. Industries are largest employment sectors statewide (BLS); the local mix in a given city may vary.

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