Mill Creek, WA — Momentum Score, Home Values & Best-For

All states·Washington·Mill Creek

Snohomish County · Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue · population 20,993

Small-town feel
View watchlist →
57
Stable
Momentum score · 0–100

Where Mill Creek stands

Home values down 3.1% in the last year.

Median home $991,943
1-year -3.1%
5-yr CAGR +6.3%
vs 5-yr peak -4.8%
Population +0.1%/yr

Home value trajectory · last 10 years

Zillow ZHVI · monthly
peak 2022-06$992k$408k$633k$858k$1083k201620182020202220242026

Lifestyle scores

🚶
Walkability
32/100
Very car-dependent
Estimated from population density. Higher = denser, more amenities within walking distance.
🚉
Public transit
15/100
Transit limited
Curated list of major US transit systems + population-based estimate. Higher = real subway/rail/bus options.
💻
Remote work fit
69/100
Strong remote-work fit
Composite of city size, housing cost, state tax structure, and region's remote-work track record.

Scores are heuristic estimates from population density, state, and known transit/walkable cities. Not based on a paid Walk Score / Transit Score API — see methodology for the formula.

Rent trajectory · last 5 years

Zillow ZORI · monthly
$2,318/mo$1,771$2,130$2,489202220242026

Home value vs rent · indexed to 100

Both rebased at first month of ZORI data (~2015)
Home valueRent136123100120140202220242026

Rent vs buy

Price-to-rent ratio: 35.7
Rent

At a 35.7 price-to-rent ratio, renting beats buying in Mill Creek for most shorter holds. The premium you pay to own would take many years of rent savings to recoup, and that's before maintenance, taxes, and opportunity cost on the down payment.

How the momentum score breaks down

methodology →
Home YoY
35 · w22%
Home 5-yr CAGR
71 · w22%
Distance from peak
61 · w18%
Population growth
47 · w16%
Rent YoY
55 · w12%
Home 10-yr CAGR
83 · w10%
Long thesis

Mill Creek has held up across the cycle: home values at $991,943 with +6.3% 5-year CAGR. The bull case is structural — population, location, employer base — and holds even if next year's print is soft.

Short thesis

Mill Creek carries a $991,943 median home with only -3.1% YoY. Premium pricing in a flat tape is the bear setup — you're paying for the trend that already ran while new buyers can't afford to extend it.

About Mill Creek

Mill Creek is a city in Snohomish County, Washington, with an estimated population of 20,993. It anchors the Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue metro area. The median home value in Mill Creek is $991,943 as of 2026-04, down 3.1% over the last 12 months. Over the last five years, home values have averaged +6.3% annual growth (-4.8% from the 5-year peak). Rents in Mill Creek average $2,318 per month, roughly flat year-over-year (+1.5%). The composite momentum score is 57 of 100 (Stable). Conditions are neither hot nor cold, so the local fit matters more than market timing.

Bull case

Healthy 5-year run: +6.3% annualized over 5 years, outpacing US inflation.
The data is the data: Mill Creek has at least 5 years of Zillow tracking, full Census identification, and is included in the 2-criteria momentum score on this page.

Bear case

Expensive AND not growing: median home $991,943 with only -3.1% YoY. You’re paying premium pricing for a flat trend.
Cooling: -3.1% over the trailing year — momentum has stalled.

Playbook

Buyer

Lifestyle fit matters more than market timing in a Stable market. Take your time on the home and neighborhood; the macro trend isn't urgent. Negotiate normally.

Seller

Price competitively from day one or risk a 60+ day listing. Staging, photography, and presentation matter more in Stable markets than in Hot ones.

Investor

Stable cap rates, no big appreciation story to lean on. Underwrite this as a pure cash-flow play — the math has to work on rent alone.

Local safety & alerts

No active National Weather Service alerts for Snohomish County right now.

Public-safety links are official .gov sources, not curated by us. Snohomish County routes NWS alerts; check the state EM portal for non-weather emergencies.

Cities like Mill Creek

Sources: Zillow ZHVI (home values), Zillow ZORI (rents), US Census ACS + place population. Updated when source agencies publish revisions.

Climate & natural-disaster risk

Winter (Jan)
45° / 35°
avg high / low
Summer (Jul)
77° / 56°
avg high / low
Sunny days/yr
152
~42% of year
Annual precip
38″ rain
10″ snow
Disaster risk (1=very low, 5=very high)
Hurricane
Very low
Tornado
Very low
Wildfire
High
Earthquake
Very high
Flood
Moderate

State-level averages from NOAA Climate Normals (1991-2020) and FEMA National Risk Index. City-level conditions can vary significantly within a state.

Local sports teams

Major professional teams the Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue area cheers for. Detailed stats, schedules, and player pages on intherafters.com.

Current weather

Loading current conditions…

7-day forecast on weather.gov →

Find rentals & listings

Open current Mill Creek listings on the major real-estate sites.

Links open the live search on the destination site — results are always current.

Local economy & environment

Humidity
75%
Very humid climate
Median household income
$90,400
Washington state median
Top industries (state-level)
Tech (Amazon/MS)Aerospace (Boeing)Agriculture

Humidity is annual average relative humidity (NOAA). Income is Census ACS 5-year estimate. Industries are largest employment sectors statewide (BLS); the local mix in a given city may vary.

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