Flagstaff, AZ — Momentum Score, Home Values & Best-For

All states·Arizona·Flagstaff

Coconino County · Flagstaff · population 77,539

Flagstaff, AZ
Image: Wikipedia · Flagstaff, Arizona
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65
Rising
Momentum score · 0–100

Where Flagstaff stands

At or near all-time high.

Median home $660,972
1-year -0.2%
5-yr CAGR +6.7%
vs 5-yr peak -0.8%
Population +0.2%/yr

Home value trajectory · last 10 years

Zillow ZHVI · monthly
peak 2025-12$661k$295k$428k$561k$693k201620182020202220242026

Lifestyle scores

🚶
Walkability
25/100
Very car-dependent
Estimated from population density. Higher = denser, more amenities within walking distance.
🚉
Public transit
22/100
Transit limited
Curated list of major US transit systems + population-based estimate. Higher = real subway/rail/bus options.
💻
Remote work fit
75/100
Strong remote-work fit
Composite of city size, housing cost, state tax structure, and region's remote-work track record.

Scores are heuristic estimates from population density, state, and known transit/walkable cities. Not based on a paid Walk Score / Transit Score API — see methodology for the formula.

Rent trajectory · last 5 years

Zillow ZORI · monthly
$2,076/mo$1,496$1,870$2,244202220242026

Home value vs rent · indexed to 100

Both rebased at first month of ZORI data (~2015)
Home valueRent138130100120140202220242026

Rent vs buy

Price-to-rent ratio: 26.5
Rent

At a 26.5 price-to-rent ratio, renting beats buying in Flagstaff for most shorter holds. The premium you pay to own would take many years of rent savings to recoup, and that's before maintenance, taxes, and opportunity cost on the down payment.

How the momentum score breaks down

methodology →
Home YoY
49 · w22%
Home 5-yr CAGR
73 · w22%
Distance from peak
85 · w18%
Population growth
50 · w16%
Rent YoY
56 · w12%
Home 10-yr CAGR
79 · w10%
Long thesis

Flagstaff has held up across the cycle: home values at $660,972 with +6.7% 5-year CAGR. The bull case is structural — population, location, employer base — and holds even if next year's print is soft.

Short thesis

Flagstaff's bear case is the boring one: the cycle is real and any market that's run hard can stall. Watch for slowing population growth, rising days-on-market, or builder discounts as the early warning signals.

About Flagstaff

Flagstaff is a city in Coconino County, Arizona, with an estimated population of 77,539. The median home value in Flagstaff is $660,972 as of 2026-04, down 0.2% over the last 12 months. Over the last five years, home values have averaged +6.7% annual growth, with prices at or near the 5-year peak. Rents in Flagstaff average $2,076 per month, roughly flat year-over-year (+1.6%). The composite momentum score is 65 of 100 (Rising). The market is healthy with prices supported by underlying demand.

Bull case

Healthy 5-year run: +6.7% annualized over 5 years, outpacing US inflation.
Held the highs: currently -0.8% from the 5-year peak — this market refused to give back gains.

Bear case

Local nuance: city-level data smooths over neighborhood differences. School zones, HOA rules, and street-level character matter — visit before deciding.

About Flagstaff (Wikipedia)

Flagstaff is a city in and the county seat of Coconino County, Arizona, United States. As of the 2020 United States census, the city's population was 76,831.

Source: Wikipedia · this summary is contributed and licensed under CC-BY-SA.

City facts

MayorBecky Daggett
Area66.08 sq mi
Elevation6821 ft
Incorporated1928
Density1163.59/sq mi

Extracted from the Wikipedia infobox. Values may be slightly out of date relative to the latest sources.

Things to see in Flagstaff(Tourism)

  • Grand Canyon National Park
  • Ramada Inn
  • Super 8 motel
  • John Wiley and Sons
  • National Park Service
  • Tusayan
  • Wonder of the World
  • Grand Canyon Village

Extracted from the Wikipedia article. Names linked in the source — open the city’s Wikipedia page for details.

Playbook

Buyer

You're not in a frenzy but you're not getting bargains either. Make a competitive offer with normal inspection terms. Don't lowball — the listing will move with or without you.

Seller

Price at fair market value; expect movement in 30-45 days. Don't get clever with terms (rent-back, contingencies) — buyers in a Rising market have options.

Investor

Appreciation tailwind exists but cash flow requires discipline on price. Run the numbers conservatively and confirm rent comps before committing.

Local safety & alerts

No active National Weather Service alerts for Coconino County right now.

Public-safety links are official .gov sources, not curated by us. Coconino County routes NWS alerts; check the state EM portal for non-weather emergencies.

Neighborhoods of Flagstaff

39 tracked · ranked by median home value
1Pine Canyon$2,316,999+0.6%
2Forest Highlands$2,080,232+9.6%
3Lockett Ranches$1,936,717+6.4%
4Lakeside Acres$1,413,520+1.9%
5Amberwood$1,182,610+4.7%
6Flagstaff Ranch$1,148,458+2.1%
7Rock Ridge Estates$1,047,600+2.6%
8Cherry Hiil$823,236+3.5%
9Ponderosa Trails$807,059+1.4%
10Country Club Estates$804,369+1.9%
11Walnut Meadows$799,864-0.6%
12Boulder Point$724,251-0.4%
13Coconino Estates$719,687+1.6%
14Shadow Mountain$707,972-0.6%
15Swiss Manor$701,259-0.0%
16Switzer Ridge/Mesa$686,051-0.5%
17Downtown Flagstaff$677,219+4.5%
18University Heights/Highlands$676,725+0.2%
19Hospital Hill$667,715+3.5%
20Flagstaff Townsite$666,946+4.3%
21Cheshire$665,722-1.0%
22Bennett Estates$663,635+0.1%
23Presidio in the Pines$638,779-2.4%
24Elk Run$628,746-2.4%

See the full neighborhood ranking →

Cities like Flagstaff

Sources: Zillow ZHVI (home values), Zillow ZORI (rents), US Census ACS + place population. Updated when source agencies publish revisions.

Climate & natural-disaster risk

Winter (Jan)
65° / 41°
avg high / low
Summer (Jul)
106° / 79°
avg high / low
Sunny days/yr
286
~78% of year
Annual precip
14″ rain
2″ snow
Disaster risk (1=very low, 5=very high)
Hurricane
Very low
Tornado
Very low
Wildfire
High
Earthquake
Low
Flood
Low

State-level averages from NOAA Climate Normals (1991-2020) and FEMA National Risk Index. City-level conditions can vary significantly within a state.

Current weather

Loading current conditions…

7-day forecast on weather.gov →

Find rentals & listings

Open current Flagstaff listings on the major real-estate sites.

Links open the live search on the destination site — results are always current.

Local news & community

Updated 2026-05-21 from Google News + Reddit RSS. Headlines link to original sources.

Local sports teams

Major professional teams the Flagstaff area cheers for. Detailed stats, schedules, and player pages on intherafters.com.

Local economy & environment

Humidity
36%
Very dry climate
Median household income
$72,900
Arizona state median
Top industries (state-level)
HealthcareConstructionTech

Humidity is annual average relative humidity (NOAA). Income is Census ACS 5-year estimate. Industries are largest employment sectors statewide (BLS); the local mix in a given city may vary.

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