Winslow, AZ — Momentum Score, Home Values & Best-For

Navajo County · Show Low · population 8,577

First-time buyersShrinkingSmall-town feel
View watchlist →
47
Cooling
Momentum score · 0–100

Where Winslow stands

Home values down 4.5% in the last year. population shrinking 1.2% per year.

Median home $206,861
1-year -4.5%
5-yr CAGR +3.5%
vs 5-yr peak -5.7%
Population -1.2%/yr

Home value trajectory · last 10 years

Zillow ZHVI · monthly
peak 2024-06$207k$84k$132k$180k$228k201620182020202220242026

Lifestyle scores

🚶
Walkability
25/100
Very car-dependent
Estimated from population density. Higher = denser, more amenities within walking distance.
🚉
Public transit
10/100
Transit limited
Curated list of major US transit systems + population-based estimate. Higher = real subway/rail/bus options.
💻
Remote work fit
56/100
Workable for remote workers
Composite of city size, housing cost, state tax structure, and region's remote-work track record.

Scores are heuristic estimates from population density, state, and known transit/walkable cities. Not based on a paid Walk Score / Transit Score API — see methodology for the formula.

How the momentum score breaks down

methodology →
Home YoY
27 · w22%
Home 5-yr CAGR
56 · w22%
Distance from peak
58 · w18%
Population growth
27 · w16%
Home 10-yr CAGR
84 · w10%
Long thesis

Winslow has held up across the cycle: home values at $206,861 with +3.5% 5-year CAGR. The bull case is structural — population, location, employer base — and holds even if next year's print is soft.

Short thesis

Winslow is down 4.5% over the last 12 months and the trend isn't flattening. Falling knife rule applies: you don't catch one with your hands, you wait for it to hit the floor and stop moving.

About Winslow

Winslow is a city in Navajo County, Arizona, with an estimated population of 8,577. It anchors the Show Low metro area. The population has contracted 1.2% per year on average since 2020. The median home value in Winslow is $206,861 as of 2026-04, down 4.5% over the last 12 months. Over the last five years, home values have averaged +3.5% annual growth (-5.7% from the 5-year peak). The composite momentum score is 47 of 100 (Cooling). Buyers may find more room to negotiate; sellers should price realistically.

Bull case

The data is the data: Winslow has at least 5 years of Zillow tracking, full Census identification, and is included in the 1-criteria momentum score on this page.

Bear case

Net out-migration: population shrinking 1.2% per year — services, schools, and tax base will follow.
Cooling: -4.5% over the trailing year — momentum has stalled.
Thin housing market: small population means fewer transactions and slower resale. Liquidity risk on exit.

Playbook

Buyer

You have leverage. Negotiate price, ask for closing-cost credits, and don't waive inspection. Walk-away power is real in a Cooling market — use it.

Seller

Price aggressively (at or below recent sold comps) or be prepared to wait. Concessions — rate buydowns, closing costs, repair credits — are how deals close right now.

Investor

Cap rates are more attractive than they were 12 months ago but the appreciation tailwind is gone. Confirm tenant demand, vacancy rates, and exit liquidity before committing capital.

Local safety & alerts

No active National Weather Service alerts for Navajo County right now.

Public-safety links are official .gov sources, not curated by us. Navajo County routes NWS alerts; check the state EM portal for non-weather emergencies.

Cities like Winslow

Sources: Zillow ZHVI (home values), Zillow ZORI (rents), US Census ACS + place population. Updated when source agencies publish revisions.

Climate & natural-disaster risk

Winter (Jan)
65° / 41°
avg high / low
Summer (Jul)
106° / 79°
avg high / low
Sunny days/yr
286
~78% of year
Annual precip
14″ rain
2″ snow
Disaster risk (1=very low, 5=very high)
Hurricane
Very low
Tornado
Very low
Wildfire
High
Earthquake
Low
Flood
Low

State-level averages from NOAA Climate Normals (1991-2020) and FEMA National Risk Index. City-level conditions can vary significantly within a state.

Current weather

Loading current conditions…

7-day forecast on weather.gov →

Find rentals & listings

Open current Winslow listings on the major real-estate sites.

Links open the live search on the destination site — results are always current.

Local sports teams

Major professional teams the Show Low area cheers for. Detailed stats, schedules, and player pages on intherafters.com.

Local economy & environment

Humidity
36%
Very dry climate
Median household income
$72,900
Arizona state median
Top industries (state-level)
HealthcareConstructionTech

Humidity is annual average relative humidity (NOAA). Income is Census ACS 5-year estimate. Industries are largest employment sectors statewide (BLS); the local mix in a given city may vary.

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