Big Bear City, CA — Momentum Score, Home Values & Best-For

All states·California·Big Bear City

San Bernardino County · Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario · population 12,738

Bargain huntersSmall-town feel
View watchlist →
41
Cooling
Momentum score · 0–100

Where Big Bear City stands

17% off 5-year peak. home values down 5.8% in the last year.

Median home $395,087
1-year -5.8%
5-yr CAGR +2.8%
vs 5-yr peak -16.6%

Home value trajectory · last 10 years

Zillow ZHVI · monthly
peak 2022-07$395k$185k$287k$390k$493k201620182020202220242026

Lifestyle scores

🚶
Walkability
25/100
Very car-dependent
Estimated from population density. Higher = denser, more amenities within walking distance.
🚉
Public transit
15/100
Transit limited
Curated list of major US transit systems + population-based estimate. Higher = real subway/rail/bus options.
💻
Remote work fit
54/100
Workable for remote workers
Composite of city size, housing cost, state tax structure, and region's remote-work track record.

Scores are heuristic estimates from population density, state, and known transit/walkable cities. Not based on a paid Walk Score / Transit Score API — see methodology for the formula.

Rent trajectory · last 5 years

Zillow ZORI · monthly
$2,173/mo$1,975$2,195$2,4142026

Home value vs rent · indexed to 100

Both rebased at first month of ZORI data (~2015)
Home valueRent941001002026

Rent vs buy

Price-to-rent ratio: 15.1
Lean buy

At a 15.1 price-to-rent ratio, Big Bear City is in the 'depends on horizon' zone. Buy if you'll be there 5+ years and value flexibility on the home; rent if you might move, want zero maintenance friction, or expect rates to drop.

How the momentum score breaks down

methodology →
Home YoY
22 · w22%
Home 5-yr CAGR
52 · w22%
Distance from peak
28 · w18%
Rent YoY
46 · w12%
Home 10-yr CAGR
75 · w10%
Long thesis

Big Bear City is 17% below its 5-year peak but compounded at +6.9% per year over a decade. Long-run trend is intact; you're buying through-the-cycle pricing in a market that has historically rewarded patience.

Short thesis

Big Bear City is down 5.8% over the last 12 months and the trend isn't flattening. Falling knife rule applies: you don't catch one with your hands, you wait for it to hit the floor and stop moving.

About Big Bear City

Big Bear City is a city in San Bernardino County, California, with an estimated population of 12,738. It anchors the Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario metro area. The median home value in Big Bear City is $395,087 as of 2026-04, down 5.8% over the last 12 months. Over the last five years, home values have averaged +2.8% annual growth, and the market currently sits about 17% below its 5-year peak. Rents in Big Bear City average $2,173 per month, roughly flat year-over-year (+0.2%). The composite momentum score is 41 of 100 (Cooling). Buyers may find more room to negotiate; sellers should price realistically.

Bull case

Reset opportunity: 17% off recent peak but +6.9% annualized over 10 years — long-run trend is up even if the last year wasn’t.
The data is the data: Big Bear City has at least 5 years of Zillow tracking, full Census identification, and is included in the 2-criteria momentum score on this page.

Bear case

Prices actively falling: down 5.8% in the last 12 months — buyer sentiment has flipped. Sellers competing on price.
17% off recent peak — buyers are getting through-the-cycle pricing, not the peak.
Thin housing market: small population means fewer transactions and slower resale. Liquidity risk on exit.

Playbook

Buyer

You have leverage. Negotiate price, ask for closing-cost credits, and don't waive inspection. Walk-away power is real in a Cooling market — use it.

Seller

Price aggressively (at or below recent sold comps) or be prepared to wait. Concessions — rate buydowns, closing costs, repair credits — are how deals close right now.

Investor

Cap rates are more attractive than they were 12 months ago but the appreciation tailwind is gone. Confirm tenant demand, vacancy rates, and exit liquidity before committing capital.

Local safety & alerts

No active National Weather Service alerts for San Bernardino County right now.

Public-safety links are official .gov sources, not curated by us. San Bernardino County routes NWS alerts; check the state EM portal for non-weather emergencies.

Cities like Big Bear City

Sources: Zillow ZHVI (home values), Zillow ZORI (rents), US Census ACS + place population. Updated when source agencies publish revisions.

Climate & natural-disaster risk

Winter (Jan)
60° / 41°
avg high / low
Summer (Jul)
82° / 60°
avg high / low
Sunny days/yr
258
~71% of year
Annual precip
22″ rain
8″ snow
Disaster risk (1=very low, 5=very high)
Hurricane
Very low
Tornado
Very low
Wildfire
Very high
Earthquake
Very high
Flood
Moderate

State-level averages from NOAA Climate Normals (1991-2020) and FEMA National Risk Index. City-level conditions can vary significantly within a state.

Local sports teams

Major professional teams the Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario area cheers for. Detailed stats, schedules, and player pages on intherafters.com.

Current weather

Loading current conditions…

7-day forecast on weather.gov →

Find rentals & listings

Open current Big Bear City listings on the major real-estate sites.

Links open the live search on the destination site — results are always current.

Local economy & environment

Humidity
65%
Moderate climate
Median household income
$91,500
California state median
Top industries (state-level)
TechEntertainmentAgriculture

Humidity is annual average relative humidity (NOAA). Income is Census ACS 5-year estimate. Industries are largest employment sectors statewide (BLS); the local mix in a given city may vary.

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