San Francisco, CA — Momentum Score, Home Values & Best-For

All states·California·San Francisco

San Francisco County · San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley · population 827,526

ShrinkingBig-city amenities
San Francisco, CA
Image: Wikipedia · San Francisco
View watchlist →
51
Stable
Momentum score · 0–100

Where San Francisco stands

Home values up 6.0% in the last year. population shrinking 1.4% per year. rents up 16.4% in the last year.

Median home $1,369,171
1-year +6.0%
5-yr CAGR -0.0%
vs 5-yr peak -9.8%
Population -1.4%/yr

Home value trajectory · last 10 years

Zillow ZHVI · monthly
peak 2022-05$1369k$1055k$1230k$1405k$1580k201620182020202220242026

Lifestyle scores

🚶
Walkability
100/100
Walker's paradise
Estimated from population density. Higher = denser, more amenities within walking distance.
🚉
Public transit
87/100
Excellent transit
Curated list of major US transit systems + population-based estimate. Higher = real subway/rail/bus options.
💻
Remote work fit
31/100
Poor remote-work fit
Composite of city size, housing cost, state tax structure, and region's remote-work track record.

Scores are heuristic estimates from population density, state, and known transit/walkable cities. Not based on a paid Walk Score / Transit Score API — see methodology for the formula.

Rent trajectory · last 5 years

Zillow ZORI · monthly
$4,101/mo$2,784$3,565$4,347202220242026

Home value vs rent · indexed to 100

Both rebased at first month of ZORI data (~2015)
Home valueRent100138100120140202220242026

Rent vs buy

Price-to-rent ratio: 27.8
Rent

At a 27.8 price-to-rent ratio, renting beats buying in San Francisco for most shorter holds. The premium you pay to own would take many years of rent savings to recoup, and that's before maintenance, taxes, and opportunity cost on the down payment.

How the momentum score breaks down

methodology →
Home YoY
78 · w22%
Home 5-yr CAGR
35 · w22%
Distance from peak
45 · w18%
Population growth
25 · w16%
Rent YoY
85 · w12%
Home 10-yr CAGR
35 · w10%
Long thesis

San Francisco has held up across the cycle: home values at $1,369,171 with -0.0% 5-year CAGR. The bull case is structural — population, location, employer base — and holds even if next year's print is soft.

Short thesis

San Francisco's population is shrinking 1.4% per year. Housing demand has to come from somewhere — if people are leaving, the buyer pool is shrinking faster than the inventory. That eventually shows up in price.

About San Francisco

San Francisco is a city in San Francisco County, California, with an estimated population of 827,526. It anchors the San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley metro area. The population has contracted 1.4% per year on average since 2020. The median home value in San Francisco is $1,369,171 as of 2026-04, up 6.0% over the last 12 months. Over the last five years, home values have averaged -0.0% annual growth (-9.8% from the 5-year peak). Rents in San Francisco average $4,101 per month, up 16.4% year-over-year. The composite momentum score is 51 of 100 (Stable). Conditions are neither hot nor cold, so the local fit matters more than market timing.

Bull case

Quiet strength: +6.0% over the trailing year — not a melt-up, but the market is bid.
Hot rental market: rents up 16.4% YoY — landlords have pricing power, supports new investment math.
Scale = optionality: 827,526 population gives you airports, hospitals, a deep job market, and a real cultural scene.

Bear case

Net out-migration: population shrinking 1.4% per year — services, schools, and tax base will follow.
Premium territory: $1,369,171 median home is a high bar to clear — affordability constrains the buyer pool.
Rental squeeze: rents up 16.4% YoY — tenants face tough renewals. Affordability deteriorating fast.
Stagnant long-run trend: +1.4% 10-year CAGR plus flat population — appreciation case is weak.

About San Francisco (Wikipedia)

San Francisco, officially the City and County of San Francisco, is the fourth-most populous city in California and the 17th-most populous in the United States, with a population of 826,079 in 2025. Among U.S. cities with a population of 200,000 or more, San Francisco is ranked first by per capita income, second by population density, and sixth by aggregate income as of 2024. Some 4.6 million residents live in the city's metropolitan statistical area, which is the 13th-largest in the United States. Around 9.2 million live in the San Jose–San Francisco–Oakland combined statistical area, the fifth-largest in the United States.

Source: Wikipedia · this summary is contributed and licensed under CC-BY-SA.

City facts

MayorDaniel Lurie (D)
Area231.91 sq mi
Elevation52 ft
EstablishedJune 29, 1776
Density18634.65/sq mi
Named forSt. Francis of Assisi

Extracted from the Wikipedia infobox. Values may be slightly out of date relative to the latest sources.

Things to see in San Francisco(Tourism and conventions)

  • Fisherman's Wharf
  • Moscone Center
  • Travel Channel
  • Golden Gate Bridge
  • Alamo Square Park
  • Painted Ladies
  • Full House
  • Lombard Street
  • Pier 39
  • California sea lions
  • Aquarium of the Bay
  • Alcatraz Island

+4 more on Wikipedia.

Extracted from the Wikipedia article. Names linked in the source — open the city’s Wikipedia page for details.

Playbook

Buyer

Lifestyle fit matters more than market timing in a Stable market. Take your time on the home and neighborhood; the macro trend isn't urgent. Negotiate normally.

Seller

Price competitively from day one or risk a 60+ day listing. Staging, photography, and presentation matter more in Stable markets than in Hot ones.

Investor

Stable cap rates, no big appreciation story to lean on. Underwrite this as a pure cash-flow play — the math has to work on rent alone.

Local safety & alerts

No active National Weather Service alerts for San Francisco County right now.

Public-safety links are official .gov sources, not curated by us. San Francisco County routes NWS alerts; check the state EM portal for non-weather emergencies.

Neighborhoods of San Francisco

107 tracked · ranked by median home value
1Presidio Heights$4,510,960+18.0%
2Seacliff$4,367,861+7.8%
3St. Francis Wood$3,794,151+12.1%
4Cow Hollow$3,075,904+9.9%
5Monterey Heights$2,720,269+6.5%
6Forest Hill$2,707,755+9.0%
7Lake$2,675,067+11.6%
8Laurel Heights$2,524,017+11.3%
9Lake Street$2,428,843+6.8%
10Ashbury Heights$2,393,940+15.4%
11Balboa Terrace$2,386,041+2.6%
12Marina District$2,158,994+9.1%
13Noe Valley$2,138,021+11.9%
14Ingleside Terrace$2,137,581+5.0%
15Laguna Honda$2,096,999+10.9%
16Dolores Heights$2,027,304+9.2%
17Westwood Highlands$2,017,064+8.1%
18Clarendon Heights$1,995,403+10.9%
19Pacific Heights$1,970,574+9.8%
20Merced Manor$1,966,178+11.7%
21West Portal$1,964,099+12.3%
22Sherwood Forest$1,946,165+10.4%
23Parnassus Heights$1,945,900+9.9%
24Eureka Valley$1,922,446+10.3%

See the full neighborhood ranking →

Cities like San Francisco

Sources: Zillow ZHVI (home values), Zillow ZORI (rents), US Census ACS + place population. Updated when source agencies publish revisions.

Climate & natural-disaster risk

Winter (Jan)
60° / 41°
avg high / low
Summer (Jul)
82° / 60°
avg high / low
Sunny days/yr
258
~71% of year
Annual precip
22″ rain
8″ snow
Disaster risk (1=very low, 5=very high)
Hurricane
Very low
Tornado
Very low
Wildfire
Very high
Earthquake
Very high
Flood
Moderate

State-level averages from NOAA Climate Normals (1991-2020) and FEMA National Risk Index. City-level conditions can vary significantly within a state.

Local sports teams

Major professional teams the San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley area cheers for. Detailed stats, schedules, and player pages on intherafters.com.

Current weather

Loading current conditions…

7-day forecast on weather.gov →

Find rentals & listings

Open current San Francisco listings on the major real-estate sites.

Links open the live search on the destination site — results are always current.

Local news & community

Updated 2026-05-21 from Google News + Reddit RSS. Headlines link to original sources.

Local economy & environment

Humidity
65%
Moderate climate
Median household income
$91,500
California state median
Top industries (state-level)
TechEntertainmentAgriculture

Humidity is annual average relative humidity (NOAA). Income is Census ACS 5-year estimate. Industries are largest employment sectors statewide (BLS); the local mix in a given city may vary.

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