Manteca, CA — Momentum Score, Home Values & Best-For

All states·California·Manteca

San Joaquin County · Stockton · population 94,292

Growing fast
Manteca, CA
Image: Wikipedia · Manteca, California
OverviewCost of livingMoving guide
View watchlist →
51
Stable
Momentum score · 0–100

Where Manteca stands

Home values down 4.8% in the last year. population growing 3.1% per year.

Median home $588,534
1-year -4.8%
5-yr CAGR +2.2%
vs 5-yr peak -10.7%
Population +3.1%/yr

Home value trajectory · last 10 years

Zillow ZHVI · monthly
peak 2022-06$589k$323k$444k$565k$686k201620182020202220242026

Lifestyle scores

🚶
Walkability
52/100
Somewhat walkable
Estimated from population density. Higher = denser, more amenities within walking distance.
🚉
Public transit
30/100
Minimal transit
Curated list of major US transit systems + population-based estimate. Higher = real subway/rail/bus options.
💻
Remote work fit
74/100
Strong remote-work fit
Composite of city size, housing cost, state tax structure, and region's remote-work track record.

Scores are heuristic estimates from population density, state, and known transit/walkable cities. Not based on a paid Walk Score / Transit Score API — see methodology for the formula.

Rent trajectory · last 5 years

Zillow ZORI · monthly
$2,509/mo$1,930$2,304$2,677202220242026

Home value vs rent · indexed to 100

Both rebased at first month of ZORI data (~2015)
Home valueRent111122100120202220242026

Rent vs buy

Price-to-rent ratio: 19.5
Lean buy

At a 19.5 price-to-rent ratio, Manteca is in the 'depends on horizon' zone. Buy if you'll be there 5+ years and value flexibility on the home; rent if you might move, want zero maintenance friction, or expect rates to drop.

How the momentum score breaks down

methodology →
Home YoY
26 · w22%
Home 5-yr CAGR
48 · w22%
Distance from peak
43 · w18%
Population growth
90 · w16%
Rent YoY
51 · w12%
Home 10-yr CAGR
64 · w10%
Long thesis

Manteca has held up across the cycle: home values at $588,534 with +2.2% 5-year CAGR. The bull case is structural — population, location, employer base — and holds even if next year's print is soft.

Short thesis

Manteca is down 4.8% over the last 12 months and the trend isn't flattening. Falling knife rule applies: you don't catch one with your hands, you wait for it to hit the floor and stop moving.

About Manteca

Manteca is a city in San Joaquin County, California, with an estimated population of 94,292. It anchors the Stockton metro area. The population has grown 3.1% per year on average between 2020 and 2024 — among the faster-growing communities in the state. The median home value in Manteca is $588,534 as of 2026-04, down 4.8% over the last 12 months. Over the last five years, home values have averaged +2.2% annual growth, and the market currently sits about 11% below its 5-year peak. Rents in Manteca average $2,509 per month, roughly flat year-over-year (+0.9%). The composite momentum score is 51 of 100 (Stable). Conditions are neither hot nor cold, so the local fit matters more than market timing.

▲ Bull case

●People are voting with their feet: population growing 3.1% per year since 2020 — that’s faster than ~80% of US cities.
○The data is the data: Manteca has at least 5 years of Zillow tracking, full Census identification, and is included in the 2-criteria momentum score on this page.

▼ Bear case

●Cooling: -4.8% over the trailing year — momentum has stalled.
●11% off recent peak — buyers are getting through-the-cycle pricing, not the peak.

About Manteca (Wikipedia)

Manteca is a city in San Joaquin County, California. The city had a population of 83,498 as of the 2020 Census. It is part of the Stockton-Lodi, CA Metropolitan Statistical Area.

Source: Wikipedia · this summary is contributed and licensed under CC-BY-SA.

City facts

MayorGary Singh
Area21.41 sq mi
Elevation36 ft
EstablishedMay 28, 1918Cite web
NicknameThe Family City
Density3,899.95/sq mi

Extracted from the Wikipedia infobox. Values may be slightly out of date relative to the latest sources.

Playbook

Buyer

Lifestyle fit matters more than market timing in a Stable market. Take your time on the home and neighborhood; the macro trend isn't urgent. Negotiate normally.

Seller

Price competitively from day one or risk a 60+ day listing. Staging, photography, and presentation matter more in Stable markets than in Hot ones.

Investor

Stable cap rates, no big appreciation story to lean on. Underwrite this as a pure cash-flow play — the math has to work on rent alone.

Local safety & alerts

No active National Weather Service alerts for San Joaquin County right now.

NWS active alerts (CA)California Emergency ManagementHow to prepare (NWS)

Public-safety links are official .gov sources, not curated by us. San Joaquin County routes NWS alerts; check the state EM portal for non-weather emergencies.

Cities like Manteca

Tracy, CA49 · StableOakley, CA52 · StableRancho Cordova, CA52 · StableLos Banos, CA55 · Stable

Run the numbers for Manteca

ToolCan I afford Manteca?Income → city shortlistToolROI on a Manteca rentalCap rate, cash-on-cash, DSCRToolCompare Manteca to anywhereSide-by-side up to 3 citiesToolManteca cost-of-livingEquivalent income elsewhere

Sources: Zillow ZHVI (home values), Zillow ZORI (rents), US Census ACS + place population. Updated when source agencies publish revisions.

Climate & natural-disaster risk

Winter (Jan)
60° / 41°
avg high / low
Summer (Jul)
82° / 60°
avg high / low
Sunny days/yr
258
~71% of year
Annual precip
22″ rain
8″ snow
Disaster risk (1=very low, 5=very high)
Hurricane
Very low
Tornado
Very low
Wildfire
Very high
Earthquake
Very high
Flood
Moderate

State-level averages from NOAA Climate Normals (1991-2020) and FEMA National Risk Index. City-level conditions can vary significantly within a state.

Current weather

Loading current conditions…

7-day forecast on weather.gov →

Find rentals & listings

Open current Manteca listings on the major real-estate sites.

Links open the live search on the destination site — results are always current.

Local news & community

Updated 2026-05-21 from Google News + Reddit RSS. Headlines link to original sources.

Local sports teams

Major professional teams the Stockton area cheers for. Detailed stats, schedules, and player pages on intherafters.com.

Local economy & environment

Humidity
65%
Moderate climate
Median household income
$91,500
California state median
Top industries (state-level)
TechEntertainmentAgriculture

Humidity is annual average relative humidity (NOAA). Income is Census ACS 5-year estimate. Industries are largest employment sectors statewide (BLS); the local mix in a given city may vary.

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