Mendocino County · Ukiah · population 16,067
Where Ukiah stands
21% off 5-year peak. population shrinking 0.8% per year.
Home value trajectory · last 10 years
Zillow ZHVI · monthlyLifestyle scores
Scores are heuristic estimates from population density, state, and known transit/walkable cities. Not based on a paid Walk Score / Transit Score API — see methodology for the formula.
Rent trajectory · last 5 years
Zillow ZORI · monthlyHome value vs rent · indexed to 100
Both rebased at first month of ZORI data (~2015)Rent vs buy
At a 19.7 price-to-rent ratio, Ukiah is in the 'depends on horizon' zone. Buy if you'll be there 5+ years and value flexibility on the home; rent if you might move, want zero maintenance friction, or expect rates to drop.
How the momentum score breaks down
methodology →Ukiah has held up across the cycle: home values at $486,824 with -3.3% 5-year CAGR. The bull case is structural — population, location, employer base — and holds even if next year's print is soft.
Ukiah has given back 21% from its 5-year peak — that's not a healthy correction, it's a market still digesting an overshoot. The bear case is that the floor hasn't been found yet.
About Ukiah
Ukiah is a city in Mendocino County, California, with an estimated population of 16,067. The population has contracted 0.8% per year on average since 2020. The median home value in Ukiah is $486,824 as of 2026-04, down 2.9% over the last 12 months. Over the last five years, home values have averaged -3.3% annual growth, and the market currently sits about 21% below its 5-year peak. Rents in Ukiah average $2,056 per month. The composite momentum score is 27 of 100 (Declining). The market is well off recent highs — patient long-term buyers may find opportunities, but resale liquidity is reduced.
▲ Bull case
▼ Bear case
Playbook
Make sure you're not catching a falling knife. Verify local fundamentals — jobs, population trend, school enrollment — before assuming the bottom is in. Negotiate hard and walk away from anything that doesn't pencil. Ukiah is currently 21% off its 5-year peak — historically, that's been the discount tier of this market.
Be realistic. Below-list pricing may be required; time is not your friend. If you can wait 2-3 years for the cycle to turn, consider holding.
Cap rates can look great in Declining markets, but verify tenant pool, income stability, and exit liquidity before committing. A 10% cap on a vacant property is 0%.
Local safety & alerts
No active National Weather Service alerts for Mendocino County right now.
Public-safety links are official .gov sources, not curated by us. Mendocino County routes NWS alerts; check the state EM portal for non-weather emergencies.
Cities like Ukiah
Run the numbers for Ukiah
Sources: Zillow ZHVI (home values), Zillow ZORI (rents), US Census ACS + place population. Updated when source agencies publish revisions.
Climate & natural-disaster risk
State-level averages from NOAA Climate Normals (1991-2020) and FEMA National Risk Index. City-level conditions can vary significantly within a state.
Current weather
Find rentals & listings
Open current Ukiah listings on the major real-estate sites.
Links open the live search on the destination site — results are always current.
Local sports teams
Major professional teams the Ukiah area cheers for. Detailed stats, schedules, and player pages on intherafters.com.
Local economy & environment
Humidity is annual average relative humidity (NOAA). Income is Census ACS 5-year estimate. Industries are largest employment sectors statewide (BLS); the local mix in a given city may vary.
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