Aventura, FL — Momentum Score, Home Values & Best-For

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Miami-Dade County · Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach · population 40,531

Bargain hunters
Aventura, FL
Image: Wikipedia · Aventura, Florida
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37
Cooling
Momentum score · 0–100

Where Aventura stands

17% off 5-year peak. home values down 9.6% in the last year.

Median home $425,451
1-year -9.6%
5-yr CAGR +4.5%
vs 5-yr peak -17.4%
Population +0.2%/yr

Home value trajectory · last 10 years

Zillow ZHVI · monthly
peak 2023-08$425k$301k$379k$458k$536k201620182020202220242026

Lifestyle scores

🚶
Walkability
32/100
Very car-dependent
Estimated from population density. Higher = denser, more amenities within walking distance.
🚉
Public transit
22/100
Transit limited
Curated list of major US transit systems + population-based estimate. Higher = real subway/rail/bus options.
💻
Remote work fit
73/100
Strong remote-work fit
Composite of city size, housing cost, state tax structure, and region's remote-work track record.

Scores are heuristic estimates from population density, state, and known transit/walkable cities. Not based on a paid Walk Score / Transit Score API — see methodology for the formula.

Rent trajectory · last 5 years

Zillow ZORI · monthly
$3,001/mo$0$1,625$3,250202220242026

Home value vs rent · indexed to 100

Both rebased at first month of ZORI data (~2015)
Home valueRent12514280100120140202220242026

Rent vs buy

Price-to-rent ratio: 11.8
Buy

At a 11.8 price-to-rent ratio, buying generally beats renting in Aventura on a long-enough horizon. The headline math is that one year of mortgage payments approximates 11.8 years of rent — well below the 15+ threshold where ownership starts to dominate.

How the momentum score breaks down

methodology →
Home YoY
7 · w22%
Home 5-yr CAGR
62 · w22%
Distance from peak
27 · w18%
Population growth
49 · w16%
Rent YoY
47 · w12%
Home 10-yr CAGR
37 · w10%
Long thesis

Aventura has held up across the cycle: home values at $425,451 with +4.5% 5-year CAGR. The bull case is structural — population, location, employer base — and holds even if next year's print is soft.

Short thesis

Aventura is down 9.6% over the last 12 months and the trend isn't flattening. Falling knife rule applies: you don't catch one with your hands, you wait for it to hit the floor and stop moving.

About Aventura

Aventura is a city in Miami-Dade County, Florida, with an estimated population of 40,531. It anchors the Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach metro area. The median home value in Aventura is $425,451 as of 2026-04, down 9.6% over the last 12 months. Over the last five years, home values have averaged +4.5% annual growth, and the market currently sits about 17% below its 5-year peak. Rents in Aventura average $3,001 per month, roughly flat year-over-year (+0.4%). The composite momentum score is 37 of 100 (Cooling). Buyers may find more room to negotiate; sellers should price realistically.

Bull case

The data is the data: Aventura has at least 5 years of Zillow tracking, full Census identification, and is included in the 1-criteria momentum score on this page.

Bear case

Prices actively falling: down 9.6% in the last 12 months — buyer sentiment has flipped. Sellers competing on price.
17% off recent peak — buyers are getting through-the-cycle pricing, not the peak.
Stagnant long-run trend: +1.5% 10-year CAGR plus flat population — appreciation case is weak.

About Aventura (Wikipedia)

Aventura is a planned suburban city in northeastern Miami-Dade County, Florida, United States, 15 miles (24 km) north of Miami and part of the Miami metropolitan area. The city is especially known for Aventura Mall, the fifth largest mall in the United States by total square feet of retail space and the largest mall in Florida.

Source: Wikipedia · this summary is contributed and licensed under CC-BY-SA.

Playbook

Buyer

You have leverage. Negotiate price, ask for closing-cost credits, and don't waive inspection. Walk-away power is real in a Cooling market — use it.

Seller

Price aggressively (at or below recent sold comps) or be prepared to wait. Concessions — rate buydowns, closing costs, repair credits — are how deals close right now.

Investor

Cap rates are more attractive than they were 12 months ago but the appreciation tailwind is gone. Confirm tenant demand, vacancy rates, and exit liquidity before committing capital.

Local safety & alerts

No active National Weather Service alerts for Miami-Dade County right now.

Public-safety links are official .gov sources, not curated by us. Miami-Dade County routes NWS alerts; check the state EM portal for non-weather emergencies.

Neighborhoods of Aventura

2 tracked · ranked by median home value
1Aventura Lakes$1,332,539+1.8%
2The Waterways$649,984-8.0%

Cities like Aventura

Sources: Zillow ZHVI (home values), Zillow ZORI (rents), US Census ACS + place population. Updated when source agencies publish revisions.

Climate & natural-disaster risk

Winter (Jan)
70° / 51°
avg high / low
Summer (Jul)
90° / 73°
avg high / low
Sunny days/yr
233
~64% of year
Annual precip
54″ rain
0″ snow
Disaster risk (1=very low, 5=very high)
Hurricane
Very high
Tornado
Moderate
Wildfire
Low
Earthquake
Very low
Flood
Very high

State-level averages from NOAA Climate Normals (1991-2020) and FEMA National Risk Index. City-level conditions can vary significantly within a state.

Local sports teams

Major professional teams the Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach area cheers for. Detailed stats, schedules, and player pages on intherafters.com.

Current weather

Loading current conditions…

7-day forecast on weather.gov →

Find rentals & listings

Open current Aventura listings on the major real-estate sites.

Links open the live search on the destination site — results are always current.

Local news & community

Updated 2026-05-21 from Google News + Reddit RSS. Headlines link to original sources.

Local economy & environment

Humidity
76%
Very humid climate
Median household income
$67,900
Florida state median
Top industries (state-level)
TourismHealthcareConstruction

Humidity is annual average relative humidity (NOAA). Income is Census ACS 5-year estimate. Industries are largest employment sectors statewide (BLS); the local mix in a given city may vary.

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