Longboat Key, FL — Momentum Score, Home Values & Best-For

All states·Florida·Longboat Key

Manatee County · North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton · population 7,463

Bargain huntersSmall-town feel
View watchlist →
36
Cooling
Momentum score · 0–100

Where Longboat Key stands

22% off 5-year peak. home values down 8.9% in the last year.

Median home $963,904
1-year -8.9%
5-yr CAGR +4.9%
vs 5-yr peak -22.1%
Population -0.1%/yr

Home value trajectory · last 10 years

Zillow ZHVI · monthly
peak 2022-08$964k$616k$840k$1063k$1287k201620182020202220242026

Lifestyle scores

🚶
Walkability
25/100
Very car-dependent
Estimated from population density. Higher = denser, more amenities within walking distance.
🚉
Public transit
10/100
Transit limited
Curated list of major US transit systems + population-based estimate. Higher = real subway/rail/bus options.
💻
Remote work fit
37/100
Marginal for remote
Composite of city size, housing cost, state tax structure, and region's remote-work track record.

Scores are heuristic estimates from population density, state, and known transit/walkable cities. Not based on a paid Walk Score / Transit Score API — see methodology for the formula.

Rent vs buy

Price-to-rent ratio: 11.1
Buy

At a 11.1 price-to-rent ratio, buying generally beats renting in Longboat Key on a long-enough horizon. The headline math is that one year of mortgage payments approximates 11.1 years of rent — well below the 15+ threshold where ownership starts to dominate.

How the momentum score breaks down

methodology →
Home YoY
9 · w22%
Home 5-yr CAGR
64 · w22%
Distance from peak
21 · w18%
Population growth
43 · w16%
Home 10-yr CAGR
53 · w10%
Long thesis

Longboat Key has held up across the cycle: home values at $963,904 with +4.9% 5-year CAGR. The bull case is structural — population, location, employer base — and holds even if next year's print is soft.

Short thesis

Longboat Key has given back 22% from its 5-year peak — that's not a healthy correction, it's a market still digesting an overshoot. The bear case is that the floor hasn't been found yet.

About Longboat Key

Longboat Key is a city in Manatee County, Florida, with an estimated population of 7,463. It anchors the North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton metro area. The median home value in Longboat Key is $963,904 as of 2026-04, down 8.9% over the last 12 months. Over the last five years, home values have averaged +4.9% annual growth, and the market currently sits about 22% below its 5-year peak. Rents in Longboat Key average $7,209 per month. The composite momentum score is 36 of 100 (Cooling). Buyers may find more room to negotiate; sellers should price realistically.

Bull case

The data is the data: Longboat Key has at least 5 years of Zillow tracking, full Census identification, and is included in the 1-criteria momentum score on this page.

Bear case

Prices actively falling: down 8.9% in the last 12 months — buyer sentiment has flipped. Sellers competing on price.
22% off the 5-year peak. That’s not a healthy correction — that’s a market that ran too far and is still digesting.
Expensive AND not growing: median home $963,904 with only -8.9% YoY. You’re paying premium pricing for a flat trend.
Thin housing market: small population means fewer transactions and slower resale. Liquidity risk on exit.

Playbook

Buyer

You have leverage. Negotiate price, ask for closing-cost credits, and don't waive inspection. Walk-away power is real in a Cooling market — use it. Longboat Key is currently 22% off its 5-year peak — historically, that's been the discount tier of this market.

Seller

Price aggressively (at or below recent sold comps) or be prepared to wait. Concessions — rate buydowns, closing costs, repair credits — are how deals close right now.

Investor

Cap rates are more attractive than they were 12 months ago but the appreciation tailwind is gone. Confirm tenant demand, vacancy rates, and exit liquidity before committing capital.

Local safety & alerts

No active National Weather Service alerts for Manatee County right now.

Public-safety links are official .gov sources, not curated by us. Manatee County routes NWS alerts; check the state EM portal for non-weather emergencies.

Cities like Longboat Key

Sources: Zillow ZHVI (home values), Zillow ZORI (rents), US Census ACS + place population. Updated when source agencies publish revisions.

Climate & natural-disaster risk

Winter (Jan)
70° / 51°
avg high / low
Summer (Jul)
90° / 73°
avg high / low
Sunny days/yr
233
~64% of year
Annual precip
54″ rain
0″ snow
Disaster risk (1=very low, 5=very high)
Hurricane
Very high
Tornado
Moderate
Wildfire
Low
Earthquake
Very low
Flood
Very high

State-level averages from NOAA Climate Normals (1991-2020) and FEMA National Risk Index. City-level conditions can vary significantly within a state.

Current weather

Loading current conditions…

7-day forecast on weather.gov →

Find rentals & listings

Open current Longboat Key listings on the major real-estate sites.

Links open the live search on the destination site — results are always current.

Local sports teams

Major professional teams the North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton area cheers for. Detailed stats, schedules, and player pages on intherafters.com.

Local economy & environment

Humidity
76%
Very humid climate
Median household income
$67,900
Florida state median
Top industries (state-level)
TourismHealthcareConstruction

Humidity is annual average relative humidity (NOAA). Income is Census ACS 5-year estimate. Industries are largest employment sectors statewide (BLS); the local mix in a given city may vary.

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