Pinellas County · Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater · population 8,730
Where St. Pete Beach stands
21% off 5-year peak. home values down 8.9% in the last year.
Home value trajectory · last 10 years
Zillow ZHVI · monthlyLifestyle scores
Scores are heuristic estimates from population density, state, and known transit/walkable cities. Not based on a paid Walk Score / Transit Score API — see methodology for the formula.
Rent trajectory · last 5 years
Zillow ZORI · monthlyHome value vs rent · indexed to 100
Both rebased at first month of ZORI data (~2015)Rent vs buy
At a 18.0 price-to-rent ratio, St. Pete Beach is in the 'depends on horizon' zone. Buy if you'll be there 5+ years and value flexibility on the home; rent if you might move, want zero maintenance friction, or expect rates to drop.
How the momentum score breaks down
methodology →St. Pete Beach has held up across the cycle: home values at $602,483 with +2.4% 5-year CAGR. The bull case is structural — population, location, employer base — and holds even if next year's print is soft.
St. Pete Beach has given back 21% from its 5-year peak — that's not a healthy correction, it's a market still digesting an overshoot. The bear case is that the floor hasn't been found yet.
About St. Pete Beach
St. Pete Beach is a city in Pinellas County, Florida, with an estimated population of 8,730. It anchors the Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater metro area. The median home value in St. Pete Beach is $602,483 as of 2026-04, down 8.9% over the last 12 months. Over the last five years, home values have averaged +2.4% annual growth, and the market currently sits about 21% below its 5-year peak. Rents in St. Pete Beach average $2,790 per month, down 3.2% year-over-year. The composite momentum score is 32 of 100 (Declining). The market is well off recent highs — patient long-term buyers may find opportunities, but resale liquidity is reduced.
▲ Bull case
▼ Bear case
Playbook
Make sure you're not catching a falling knife. Verify local fundamentals — jobs, population trend, school enrollment — before assuming the bottom is in. Negotiate hard and walk away from anything that doesn't pencil. St. Pete Beach is currently 21% off its 5-year peak — historically, that's been the discount tier of this market.
Be realistic. Below-list pricing may be required; time is not your friend. If you can wait 2-3 years for the cycle to turn, consider holding.
Cap rates can look great in Declining markets, but verify tenant pool, income stability, and exit liquidity before committing. A 10% cap on a vacant property is 0%.
Local safety & alerts
No active National Weather Service alerts for Pinellas County right now.
Public-safety links are official .gov sources, not curated by us. Pinellas County routes NWS alerts; check the state EM portal for non-weather emergencies.
Cities like St. Pete Beach
Run the numbers for St. Pete Beach
Sources: Zillow ZHVI (home values), Zillow ZORI (rents), US Census ACS + place population. Updated when source agencies publish revisions.
Climate & natural-disaster risk
State-level averages from NOAA Climate Normals (1991-2020) and FEMA National Risk Index. City-level conditions can vary significantly within a state.
Local sports teams
Major professional teams the Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater area cheers for. Detailed stats, schedules, and player pages on intherafters.com.
Current weather
Find rentals & listings
Open current St. Pete Beach listings on the major real-estate sites.
Links open the live search on the destination site — results are always current.
Local economy & environment
Humidity is annual average relative humidity (NOAA). Income is Census ACS 5-year estimate. Industries are largest employment sectors statewide (BLS); the local mix in a given city may vary.
Cities similar to St. Pete Beach
Explore other places with comparable momentum or affordability.