Tarpon Springs, FL — Momentum Score, Home Values & Best-For

All states·Florida·Tarpon Springs

Pinellas County · Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater · population 26,168

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Tarpon Springs, FL
Image: Wikipedia · Tarpon Springs, Florida
OverviewCost of livingMoving guide
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48
Stable
Momentum score · 0–100

Where Tarpon Springs stands

Home values down 5.2% in the last year.

Median home $388,987
1-year -5.2%
5-yr CAGR +4.0%
vs 5-yr peak -11.5%
Population +1.0%/yr

Home value trajectory · last 10 years

Zillow ZHVI · monthly
peak 2024-04$389k$200k$286k$371k$457k201620182020202220242026

Lifestyle scores

🚶
Walkability
32/100
Very car-dependent
Estimated from population density. Higher = denser, more amenities within walking distance.
🚉
Public transit
15/100
Transit limited
Curated list of major US transit systems + population-based estimate. Higher = real subway/rail/bus options.
💻
Remote work fit
86/100
Excellent for remote work
Composite of city size, housing cost, state tax structure, and region's remote-work track record.

Scores are heuristic estimates from population density, state, and known transit/walkable cities. Not based on a paid Walk Score / Transit Score API — see methodology for the formula.

Rent trajectory · last 5 years

Zillow ZORI · monthly
$2,181/mo$1,456$1,895$2,335202220242026

Home value vs rent · indexed to 100

Both rebased at first month of ZORI data (~2015)
Home valueRent122141100120140202220242026

Rent vs buy

Price-to-rent ratio: 14.9
Buy

At a 14.9 price-to-rent ratio, buying generally beats renting in Tarpon Springs on a long-enough horizon. The headline math is that one year of mortgage payments approximates 14.9 years of rent — well below the 15+ threshold where ownership starts to dominate.

How the momentum score breaks down

methodology →
Home YoY
24 · w22%
Home 5-yr CAGR
59 · w22%
Distance from peak
41 · w18%
Population growth
65 · w16%
Rent YoY
45 · w12%
Home 10-yr CAGR
68 · w10%
Long thesis

Tarpon Springs has held up across the cycle: home values at $388,987 with +4.0% 5-year CAGR. The bull case is structural — population, location, employer base — and holds even if next year's print is soft.

Short thesis

Tarpon Springs is down 5.2% over the last 12 months and the trend isn't flattening. Falling knife rule applies: you don't catch one with your hands, you wait for it to hit the floor and stop moving.

About Tarpon Springs

Tarpon Springs is a city in Pinellas County, Florida, with an estimated population of 26,168. It anchors the Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater metro area. The population grew 1.0% annually from 2020 to 2024, a moderate gain. The median home value in Tarpon Springs is $388,987 as of 2026-04, down 5.2% over the last 12 months. Over the last five years, home values have averaged +4.0% annual growth, and the market currently sits about 11% below its 5-year peak. Rents in Tarpon Springs average $2,181 per month, roughly flat year-over-year (-0.0%). The composite momentum score is 48 of 100 (Stable). Conditions are neither hot nor cold, so the local fit matters more than market timing.

▲ Bull case

●Net positive migration: population up 1.0% per year — demand fundamentals are intact.
○The data is the data: Tarpon Springs has at least 5 years of Zillow tracking, full Census identification, and is included in the 2-criteria momentum score on this page.

▼ Bear case

●Prices actively falling: down 5.2% in the last 12 months — buyer sentiment has flipped. Sellers competing on price.
●11% off recent peak — buyers are getting through-the-cycle pricing, not the peak.

About Tarpon Springs (Wikipedia)

Tarpon Springs is a city in Pinellas County, Florida, United States. It is part of the Tampa Bay area. Its population was 25,117 as of 2020.

Source: Wikipedia · this summary is contributed and licensed under CC-BY-SA.

Playbook

Buyer

Lifestyle fit matters more than market timing in a Stable market. Take your time on the home and neighborhood; the macro trend isn't urgent. Negotiate normally.

Seller

Price competitively from day one or risk a 60+ day listing. Staging, photography, and presentation matter more in Stable markets than in Hot ones.

Investor

Stable cap rates, no big appreciation story to lean on. Underwrite this as a pure cash-flow play — the math has to work on rent alone.

Local safety & alerts

No active National Weather Service alerts for Pinellas County right now.

NWS active alerts (FL)Florida Emergency ManagementHow to prepare (NWS)

Public-safety links are official .gov sources, not curated by us. Pinellas County routes NWS alerts; check the state EM portal for non-weather emergencies.

Cities like Tarpon Springs

Palmetto, FL44 · CoolingPinellas Park, FL46 · CoolingDania Beach, FL49 · StablePort Orange, FL51 · Stable

Run the numbers for Tarpon Springs

ToolCan I afford Tarpon Springs?Income → city shortlistToolROI on a Tarpon Springs rentalCap rate, cash-on-cash, DSCRToolCompare Tarpon Springs to anywhereSide-by-side up to 3 citiesToolTarpon Springs cost-of-livingEquivalent income elsewhere

Sources: Zillow ZHVI (home values), Zillow ZORI (rents), US Census ACS + place population. Updated when source agencies publish revisions.

Climate & natural-disaster risk

Winter (Jan)
70° / 51°
avg high / low
Summer (Jul)
90° / 73°
avg high / low
Sunny days/yr
233
~64% of year
Annual precip
54″ rain
0″ snow
Disaster risk (1=very low, 5=very high)
Hurricane
Very high
Tornado
Moderate
Wildfire
Low
Earthquake
Very low
Flood
Very high

State-level averages from NOAA Climate Normals (1991-2020) and FEMA National Risk Index. City-level conditions can vary significantly within a state.

Local sports teams

Major professional teams the Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater area cheers for. Detailed stats, schedules, and player pages on intherafters.com.

Current weather

Loading current conditions…

7-day forecast on weather.gov →

Find rentals & listings

Open current Tarpon Springs listings on the major real-estate sites.

Links open the live search on the destination site — results are always current.

Local news & community

Updated 2026-05-21 from Google News + Reddit RSS. Headlines link to original sources.

Local economy & environment

Humidity
76%
Very humid climate
Median household income
$67,900
Florida state median
Top industries (state-level)
TourismHealthcareConstruction

Humidity is annual average relative humidity (NOAA). Income is Census ACS 5-year estimate. Industries are largest employment sectors statewide (BLS); the local mix in a given city may vary.

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