Bonita Springs, FL — Momentum Score, Home Values & Best-For

All states·Florida·Bonita Springs

Lee County · Cape Coral-Fort Myers · population 57,112

Bonita Springs, FL
Image: Wikipedia · Bonita Springs, Florida
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48
Stable
Momentum score · 0–100

Where Bonita Springs stands

Home values down 7.4% in the last year.

Median home $510,942
1-year -7.4%
5-yr CAGR +6.1%
vs 5-yr peak -14.9%
Population +1.6%/yr

Home value trajectory · last 10 years

Zillow ZHVI · monthly
peak 2022-08$511k$305k$411k$518k$624k201620182020202220242026

Lifestyle scores

🚶
Walkability
30/100
Very car-dependent
Estimated from population density. Higher = denser, more amenities within walking distance.
🚉
Public transit
22/100
Transit limited
Curated list of major US transit systems + population-based estimate. Higher = real subway/rail/bus options.
💻
Remote work fit
84/100
Excellent for remote work
Composite of city size, housing cost, state tax structure, and region's remote-work track record.

Scores are heuristic estimates from population density, state, and known transit/walkable cities. Not based on a paid Walk Score / Transit Score API — see methodology for the formula.

Rent trajectory · last 5 years

Zillow ZORI · monthly
$2,532/mo$1,887$2,411$2,935202220242026

Home value vs rent · indexed to 100

Both rebased at first month of ZORI data (~2015)
Home valueRent119126100120140202220242026

Rent vs buy

Price-to-rent ratio: 16.8
Lean buy

At a 16.8 price-to-rent ratio, Bonita Springs is in the 'depends on horizon' zone. Buy if you'll be there 5+ years and value flexibility on the home; rent if you might move, want zero maintenance friction, or expect rates to drop.

How the momentum score breaks down

methodology →
Home YoY
15 · w22%
Home 5-yr CAGR
70 · w22%
Distance from peak
30 · w18%
Population growth
74 · w16%
Rent YoY
51 · w12%
Home 10-yr CAGR
58 · w10%
Long thesis

Bonita Springs has held up across the cycle: home values at $510,942 with +6.1% 5-year CAGR. The bull case is structural — population, location, employer base — and holds even if next year's print is soft.

Short thesis

Bonita Springs is down 7.4% over the last 12 months and the trend isn't flattening. Falling knife rule applies: you don't catch one with your hands, you wait for it to hit the floor and stop moving.

About Bonita Springs

Bonita Springs is a city in Lee County, Florida, with an estimated population of 57,112. It anchors the Cape Coral-Fort Myers metro area. The population grew 1.6% annually from 2020 to 2024, a moderate gain. The median home value in Bonita Springs is $510,942 as of 2026-04, down 7.4% over the last 12 months. Over the last five years, home values have averaged +6.1% annual growth, and the market currently sits about 15% below its 5-year peak. Rents in Bonita Springs average $2,532 per month, roughly flat year-over-year (+0.9%). The composite momentum score is 48 of 100 (Stable). Conditions are neither hot nor cold, so the local fit matters more than market timing.

Bull case

Healthy 5-year run: +6.1% annualized over 5 years, outpacing US inflation.
Net positive migration: population up 1.6% per year — demand fundamentals are intact.

Bear case

Prices actively falling: down 7.4% in the last 12 months — buyer sentiment has flipped. Sellers competing on price.
15% off recent peak — buyers are getting through-the-cycle pricing, not the peak.

About Bonita Springs (Wikipedia)

Bonita Springs is a city in Lee County, Florida, United States. The population was 53,644 at the 2020 census, up from 43,914 at the 2010 census. It is part of the Cape Coral-Fort Myers, Florida Metropolitan Statistical Area, on the state's southwest coast.

Source: Wikipedia · this summary is contributed and licensed under CC-BY-SA.

City facts

MayorMike Gibson (term ends in 2028)
Area46.51 sq mi
Elevation10 ft
Settled (Town Of Survey)Late 1800s-1912Cite web
NicknameGateway to the Gulf
Motto"Small Town Charm, Big Bright Future"
Density1396.32/sq mi

Extracted from the Wikipedia infobox. Values may be slightly out of date relative to the latest sources.

Playbook

Buyer

Lifestyle fit matters more than market timing in a Stable market. Take your time on the home and neighborhood; the macro trend isn't urgent. Negotiate normally.

Seller

Price competitively from day one or risk a 60+ day listing. Staging, photography, and presentation matter more in Stable markets than in Hot ones.

Investor

Stable cap rates, no big appreciation story to lean on. Underwrite this as a pure cash-flow play — the math has to work on rent alone.

Local safety & alerts

No active National Weather Service alerts for Lee County right now.

Public-safety links are official .gov sources, not curated by us. Lee County routes NWS alerts; check the state EM portal for non-weather emergencies.

Cities like Bonita Springs

Sources: Zillow ZHVI (home values), Zillow ZORI (rents), US Census ACS + place population. Updated when source agencies publish revisions.

Climate & natural-disaster risk

Winter (Jan)
70° / 51°
avg high / low
Summer (Jul)
90° / 73°
avg high / low
Sunny days/yr
233
~64% of year
Annual precip
54″ rain
0″ snow
Disaster risk (1=very low, 5=very high)
Hurricane
Very high
Tornado
Moderate
Wildfire
Low
Earthquake
Very low
Flood
Very high

State-level averages from NOAA Climate Normals (1991-2020) and FEMA National Risk Index. City-level conditions can vary significantly within a state.

Current weather

Loading current conditions…

7-day forecast on weather.gov →

Find rentals & listings

Open current Bonita Springs listings on the major real-estate sites.

Links open the live search on the destination site — results are always current.

Local news & community

Updated 2026-05-21 from Google News + Reddit RSS. Headlines link to original sources.

Local sports teams

Major professional teams the Cape Coral-Fort Myers area cheers for. Detailed stats, schedules, and player pages on intherafters.com.

Local economy & environment

Humidity
76%
Very humid climate
Median household income
$67,900
Florida state median
Top industries (state-level)
TourismHealthcareConstruction

Humidity is annual average relative humidity (NOAA). Income is Census ACS 5-year estimate. Industries are largest employment sectors statewide (BLS); the local mix in a given city may vary.

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