Maui County · Kahului-Wailuku-Lahaina · population 12,702
Where Lahaina stands
16% off 5-year peak. home values down 10.2% in the last year. rents up 6.2% in the last year.
Home value trajectory · last 10 years
Zillow ZHVI · monthlyLifestyle scores
Scores are heuristic estimates from population density, state, and known transit/walkable cities. Not based on a paid Walk Score / Transit Score API — see methodology for the formula.
Rent trajectory · last 5 years
Zillow ZORI · monthlyHome value vs rent · indexed to 100
Both rebased at first month of ZORI data (~2015)Rent vs buy
At a 20.7 price-to-rent ratio, the math is starting to lean toward renting in Lahaina. Owner-occupier ROI requires longer holds and the assumption that prices keep appreciating roughly at the rate of rent.
How the momentum score breaks down
methodology →Lahaina has held up across the cycle: home values at $956,255 with +3.1% 5-year CAGR. The bull case is structural — population, location, employer base — and holds even if next year's print is soft.
Lahaina is down 10.2% over the last 12 months and the trend isn't flattening. Falling knife rule applies: you don't catch one with your hands, you wait for it to hit the floor and stop moving.
About Lahaina
Lahaina is a city in Maui County, Hawaii, with an estimated population of 12,702. It anchors the Kahului-Wailuku-Lahaina metro area. The median home value in Lahaina is $956,255 as of 2026-04, down 10.2% over the last 12 months. Over the last five years, home values have averaged +3.1% annual growth, and the market currently sits about 16% below its 5-year peak. Rents in Lahaina average $3,850 per month, up 6.2% year-over-year. The composite momentum score is 40 of 100 (Cooling). Buyers may find more room to negotiate; sellers should price realistically.
▲ Bull case
▼ Bear case
Playbook
You have leverage. Negotiate price, ask for closing-cost credits, and don't waive inspection. Walk-away power is real in a Cooling market — use it.
Price aggressively (at or below recent sold comps) or be prepared to wait. Concessions — rate buydowns, closing costs, repair credits — are how deals close right now.
Cap rates are more attractive than they were 12 months ago but the appreciation tailwind is gone. Confirm tenant demand, vacancy rates, and exit liquidity before committing capital.
Local safety & alerts
No active National Weather Service alerts for Maui County right now.
Public-safety links are official .gov sources, not curated by us. Maui County routes NWS alerts; check the state EM portal for non-weather emergencies.
Cities like Lahaina
Run the numbers for Lahaina
Sources: Zillow ZHVI (home values), Zillow ZORI (rents), US Census ACS + place population. Updated when source agencies publish revisions.
Climate & natural-disaster risk
State-level averages from NOAA Climate Normals (1991-2020) and FEMA National Risk Index. City-level conditions can vary significantly within a state.
Current weather
Find rentals & listings
Open current Lahaina listings on the major real-estate sites.
Links open the live search on the destination site — results are always current.
Local sports teams
Major professional teams the Kahului-Wailuku-Lahaina area cheers for. Detailed stats, schedules, and player pages on intherafters.com.
Local economy & environment
Humidity is annual average relative humidity (NOAA). Income is Census ACS 5-year estimate. Industries are largest employment sectors statewide (BLS); the local mix in a given city may vary.
Cities similar to Lahaina
Explore other places with comparable momentum or affordability.