Burnsville, MN — Momentum Score, Home Values & Best-For

All states·Minnesota·Burnsville

Dakota County · Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington · population 64,864

Burnsville, MN
Image: Wikipedia · Burnsville, Minnesota
OverviewCost of livingMoving guide
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63
Rising
Momentum score · 0–100

Where Burnsville stands

At or near all-time high.

Median home $370,965
1-year +2.5%
5-yr CAGR +3.3%
vs 5-yr peak -0.1%
Population +0.2%/yr

Home value trajectory · last 10 years

Zillow ZHVI · monthly
peak 2026-03$371k$208k$268k$327k$386k201620182020202220242026

Lifestyle scores

🚶
Walkability
40/100
Car-dependent
Estimated from population density. Higher = denser, more amenities within walking distance.
🚉
Public transit
22/100
Transit limited
Curated list of major US transit systems + population-based estimate. Higher = real subway/rail/bus options.
💻
Remote work fit
82/100
Excellent for remote work
Composite of city size, housing cost, state tax structure, and region's remote-work track record.

Scores are heuristic estimates from population density, state, and known transit/walkable cities. Not based on a paid Walk Score / Transit Score API — see methodology for the formula.

Rent trajectory · last 5 years

Zillow ZORI · monthly
$1,430/mo$1,165$1,348$1,531202220242026

Home value vs rent · indexed to 100

Both rebased at first month of ZORI data (~2015)
Home valueRent118115100120202220242026

Rent vs buy

Price-to-rent ratio: 21.6
Lean rent

At a 21.6 price-to-rent ratio, the math is starting to lean toward renting in Burnsville. Owner-occupier ROI requires longer holds and the assumption that prices keep appreciating roughly at the rate of rent.

How the momentum score breaks down

methodology →
Home YoY
62 · w22%
Home 5-yr CAGR
55 · w22%
Distance from peak
89 · w18%
Population growth
49 · w16%
Rent YoY
62 · w12%
Home 10-yr CAGR
62 · w10%
Long thesis

Burnsville has held up across the cycle: home values at $370,965 with +3.3% 5-year CAGR. The bull case is structural — population, location, employer base — and holds even if next year's print is soft.

Short thesis

Burnsville's bear case is the boring one: the cycle is real and any market that's run hard can stall. Watch for slowing population growth, rising days-on-market, or builder discounts as the early warning signals.

About Burnsville

Burnsville is a city in Dakota County, Minnesota, with an estimated population of 64,864. It anchors the Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington metro area. The median home value in Burnsville is $370,965 as of 2026-04, up 2.5% over the last 12 months. Over the last five years, home values have averaged +3.3% annual growth, with prices at or near the 5-year peak. Rents in Burnsville average $1,430 per month, roughly flat year-over-year (+2.6%). The composite momentum score is 63 of 100 (Rising). The market is healthy with prices supported by underlying demand.

▲ Bull case

●Quiet strength: +2.5% over the trailing year — not a melt-up, but the market is bid.
●Held the highs: currently -0.1% from the 5-year peak — this market refused to give back gains.

▼ Bear case

○Local nuance: city-level data smooths over neighborhood differences. School zones, HOA rules, and street-level character matter — visit before deciding.

About Burnsville (Wikipedia)

Burnsville is a city 15 miles (24 km) south of downtown Minneapolis in Dakota County, Minnesota. The city is situated on a bluff overlooking the south bank of the Minnesota River, upstream from its confluence with the Mississippi River. Burnsville and nearby suburbs form the southern portion of Minneapolis–Saint Paul, the 16th-largest metropolitan area in the United States, with about 3.7 million residents. At the 2020 census the population was 64,317.

Source: Wikipedia · this summary is contributed and licensed under CC-BY-SA.

City facts

MayorElizabeth Kautz
Area26.98 sq mi
Elevation971 ft
Founded1855
NicknameSouth of the River
Density2579.18/sq mi

Extracted from the Wikipedia infobox. Values may be slightly out of date relative to the latest sources.

Playbook

Buyer

You're not in a frenzy but you're not getting bargains either. Make a competitive offer with normal inspection terms. Don't lowball — the listing will move with or without you.

Seller

Price at fair market value; expect movement in 30-45 days. Don't get clever with terms (rent-back, contingencies) — buyers in a Rising market have options.

Investor

Appreciation tailwind exists but cash flow requires discipline on price. Run the numbers conservatively and confirm rent comps before committing.

Local safety & alerts

No active National Weather Service alerts for Dakota County right now.

NWS active alerts (MN)Minnesota Emergency ManagementHow to prepare (NWS)

Public-safety links are official .gov sources, not curated by us. Dakota County routes NWS alerts; check the state EM portal for non-weather emergencies.

Cities like Burnsville

Coon Rapids, MN67 · RisingEden Prairie, MN62 · RisingBloomington, MN60 · StableAndover, MN65 · Rising

Run the numbers for Burnsville

ToolCan I afford Burnsville?Income → city shortlistToolROI on a Burnsville rentalCap rate, cash-on-cash, DSCRToolCompare Burnsville to anywhereSide-by-side up to 3 citiesToolBurnsville cost-of-livingEquivalent income elsewhere

Sources: Zillow ZHVI (home values), Zillow ZORI (rents), US Census ACS + place population. Updated when source agencies publish revisions.

Climate & natural-disaster risk

Winter (Jan)
22° / 4°
avg high / low
Summer (Jul)
82° / 62°
avg high / low
Sunny days/yr
198
~54% of year
Annual precip
28″ rain
45″ snow
Disaster risk (1=very low, 5=very high)
Hurricane
Very low
Tornado
High
Wildfire
Very low
Earthquake
Very low
Flood
Low

State-level averages from NOAA Climate Normals (1991-2020) and FEMA National Risk Index. City-level conditions can vary significantly within a state.

Local sports teams

Major professional teams the Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington area cheers for. Detailed stats, schedules, and player pages on intherafters.com.

Current weather

Loading current conditions…

7-day forecast on weather.gov →

Find rentals & listings

Open current Burnsville listings on the major real-estate sites.

Links open the live search on the destination site — results are always current.

Local news & community

Updated 2026-05-21 from Google News + Reddit RSS. Headlines link to original sources.

Local economy & environment

Humidity
71%
Humid climate
Median household income
$84,300
Minnesota state median
Top industries (state-level)
Medical DevicesFinanceManufacturing

Humidity is annual average relative humidity (NOAA). Income is Census ACS 5-year estimate. Industries are largest employment sectors statewide (BLS); the local mix in a given city may vary.

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