McMinnville, OR — Momentum Score, Home Values & Best-For

All states·Oregon·McMinnville

Yamhill County · Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro · population 35,255

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McMinnville, OR
Image: Wikipedia · McMinnville, Oregon
OverviewCost of livingMoving guide
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56
Stable
Momentum score · 0–100

Where McMinnville stands

At or near all-time high.

Median home $488,630
1-year -1.1%
5-yr CAGR +2.6%
vs 5-yr peak -2.0%
Population +0.7%/yr

Home value trajectory · last 10 years

Zillow ZHVI · monthly
peak 2022-07$489k$248k$338k$428k$518k201620182020202220242026

Lifestyle scores

🚶
Walkability
32/100
Very car-dependent
Estimated from population density. Higher = denser, more amenities within walking distance.
🚉
Public transit
22/100
Transit limited
Curated list of major US transit systems + population-based estimate. Higher = real subway/rail/bus options.
💻
Remote work fit
84/100
Excellent for remote work
Composite of city size, housing cost, state tax structure, and region's remote-work track record.

Scores are heuristic estimates from population density, state, and known transit/walkable cities. Not based on a paid Walk Score / Transit Score API — see methodology for the formula.

Rent trajectory · last 5 years

Zillow ZORI · monthly
$1,964/mo$1,726$1,941$2,15720242026

Home value vs rent · indexed to 100

Both rebased at first month of ZORI data (~2015)
Home valueRent10110710020242026

Rent vs buy

Price-to-rent ratio: 20.7
Lean rent

At a 20.7 price-to-rent ratio, the math is starting to lean toward renting in McMinnville. Owner-occupier ROI requires longer holds and the assumption that prices keep appreciating roughly at the rate of rent.

How the momentum score breaks down

methodology →
Home YoY
44 · w22%
Home 5-yr CAGR
51 · w22%
Distance from peak
78 · w18%
Population growth
58 · w16%
Rent YoY
43 · w12%
Home 10-yr CAGR
69 · w10%
Long thesis

McMinnville has held up across the cycle: home values at $488,630 with +2.6% 5-year CAGR. The bull case is structural — population, location, employer base — and holds even if next year's print is soft.

Short thesis

McMinnville's bear case is the boring one: the cycle is real and any market that's run hard can stall. Watch for slowing population growth, rising days-on-market, or builder discounts as the early warning signals.

About McMinnville

McMinnville is a city in Yamhill County, Oregon, with an estimated population of 35,255. It anchors the Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro metro area. The population grew 0.7% annually from 2020 to 2024, a moderate gain. The median home value in McMinnville is $488,630 as of 2026-04, down 1.1% over the last 12 months. Over the last five years, home values have averaged +2.6% annual growth, with prices at or near the 5-year peak. Rents in McMinnville average $1,964 per month, roughly flat year-over-year (-0.4%). The composite momentum score is 56 of 100 (Stable). Conditions are neither hot nor cold, so the local fit matters more than market timing.

▲ Bull case

●Held the highs: currently -2.0% from the 5-year peak — this market refused to give back gains.
○The data is the data: McMinnville has at least 5 years of Zillow tracking, full Census identification, and is included in the 2-criteria momentum score on this page.

▼ Bear case

○Local nuance: city-level data smooths over neighborhood differences. School zones, HOA rules, and street-level character matter — visit before deciding.

About McMinnville (Wikipedia)

McMinnville is the county seat of and the most populous city in Yamhill County, Oregon, United States, at the base of the Oregon Coast Range. As of the 2020 census, the city had a population of 34,319.

Source: Wikipedia · this summary is contributed and licensed under CC-BY-SA.

Playbook

Buyer

Lifestyle fit matters more than market timing in a Stable market. Take your time on the home and neighborhood; the macro trend isn't urgent. Negotiate normally.

Seller

Price competitively from day one or risk a 60+ day listing. Staging, photography, and presentation matter more in Stable markets than in Hot ones.

Investor

Stable cap rates, no big appreciation story to lean on. Underwrite this as a pure cash-flow play — the math has to work on rent alone.

Local safety & alerts

No active National Weather Service alerts for Yamhill County right now.

NWS active alerts (OR)Oregon Emergency ManagementHow to prepare (NWS)

Public-safety links are official .gov sources, not curated by us. Yamhill County routes NWS alerts; check the state EM portal for non-weather emergencies.

Cities like McMinnville

Forest Grove, OR53 · StableOregon City, OR59 · StableFairview, OR54 · StableWilsonville, OR58 · Stable

Run the numbers for McMinnville

ToolCan I afford McMinnville?Income → city shortlistToolROI on a McMinnville rentalCap rate, cash-on-cash, DSCRToolCompare McMinnville to anywhereSide-by-side up to 3 citiesToolMcMinnville cost-of-livingEquivalent income elsewhere

Sources: Zillow ZHVI (home values), Zillow ZORI (rents), US Census ACS + place population. Updated when source agencies publish revisions.

Climate & natural-disaster risk

Winter (Jan)
47° / 35°
avg high / low
Summer (Jul)
82° / 53°
avg high / low
Sunny days/yr
178
~49% of year
Annual precip
28″ rain
12″ snow
Disaster risk (1=very low, 5=very high)
Hurricane
Very low
Tornado
Very low
Wildfire
High
Earthquake
High
Flood
Low

State-level averages from NOAA Climate Normals (1991-2020) and FEMA National Risk Index. City-level conditions can vary significantly within a state.

Current weather

Loading current conditions…

7-day forecast on weather.gov →

Find rentals & listings

Open current McMinnville listings on the major real-estate sites.

Links open the live search on the destination site — results are always current.

Local news & community

Updated 2026-05-21 from Google News + Reddit RSS. Headlines link to original sources.

Local sports teams

Major professional teams the Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro area cheers for. Detailed stats, schedules, and player pages on intherafters.com.

Local economy & environment

Humidity
75%
Very humid climate
Median household income
$80,400
Oregon state median
Top industries (state-level)
Tech (Intel)ManufacturingForestry

Humidity is annual average relative humidity (NOAA). Income is Census ACS 5-year estimate. Industries are largest employment sectors statewide (BLS); the local mix in a given city may vary.

Cities similar to McMinnville

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